Fox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States (U.S.). The company operates through four segments: Cable Network Programming, Television, Credible, and The FOX Studio Lot. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news and sports content for distribution through traditional cable television systems, direct broadcast satellite operators and telecommunication companies, virtual multi-channel video programming distributors, and other digital platforms primarily in the U.S. Television segment produces, acquires, markets, and distributes programming through the FOX broadcast network, advertising supported video-on-demand service Tubi, and operates power broadcast television stations including duopolies and other digital platform; and produces content for third parties. The Credible segment engages in the consumer finance marketplace. The FOX Studio Lot segment provides television and film production services along with office space, studio operation services and includes all operations of the facility. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Fox Corporation

The following are the top rated Communication Services stocks according to Validea's Low PE Investor model based on the published strategy of John Neff. This strategy looks for firms with persistent earnings growth that trade at a discount relative to their earnings growth and dividend yield.
WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP (WMG) is a large-cap growth stock in the Business Services industry. The rating according to our strategy based on John Neff is 60% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Warner Music Group Corp. is a global music entertainment company. The Company brings together artists, songwriters, entrepreneurs, and technology that are moving entertainment culture across the globe. Its record labels include Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records, Parlophone Records, and Cloud 9 Recordings. Its recorded music segment includes labels, such as 10K Projects, 300 Entertainment, Asylum, Atlantic, Big Beat, Elektra, Erato, First Night, Fueled By Ramen, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Rhino, Roadrunner, Sire, Spinnin', Warner Records, Warner Classics, and Warner Music Nashville. Its music publishing arm, Warner Chappell Music, has a catalog of over one million copyrights spanning every musical genre. It is also home to the Alternative Distribution Alliance (ADA), which supports the independent community, as well as artist services division WMX. In addition, it counts film and television storytelling powerhouse, Warner Music Entertainment, among its many brands.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy's tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy's criteria.
Detailed Analysis of WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP
FOX CORP (FOXA) is a large-cap value stock in the Broadcasting & Cable TV industry. The rating according to our strategy based on John Neff is 60% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Fox Corporation produces and distributes news, sports, and entertainment content through its primary domestic brands, including FOX News Media, FOX Sports, FOX Entertainment, FOX Television Stations and Tubi Media Group. Its operating segments include Cable Network Programming, Television, Credible and the FOX Studio Lot. Cable Network Programming produces and licenses news and sports content distributed through traditional cable television systems, direct broadcast satellite operators and telecommunication companies, virtual multi-channel video programming distributors and other digital platforms. Television produces, acquires, markets and distributes programming through the FOX broadcast network, advertising supported video-on-demand service Tubi, approximately 29 full power broadcast television stations, including 11 duopolies, and other digital platforms. The FOX Studio Lot provides television and film production services. Credible is a United States consumer finance marketplace.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy's tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy's criteria.
Detailed Analysis of FOX CORP
ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INC (RCI) is a large-cap growth stock in the Communications Services industry. The rating according to our strategy based on John Neff is 60% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Rogers Communications Inc. is a wireless, cable, and media company. The Company provides connectivity and entertainment to Canadian consumers and businesses across the country. The Company also has a portfolio of media properties, which includes sports media and entertainment, television and radio broadcasting properties, multi-platform televised and online shopping and digital media. Its wireless segment provides wireless telecommunications operations for Canadian consumers and businesses. Its cable segment is engaged in cable telecommunications operations, including Internet, television, and other video, satellite, telephony, and smart home monitoring services for Canadian consumers and businesses, and network connectivity through its fiber network and data center assets to support a range of voice, data, networking, hosting, and cloud-based services. Its media segment offers a diversified portfolio of media properties, including specialty channels, digital media, and others.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy's tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy's criteria.
Detailed Analysis of ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INC
About John Neff: While known as the manager with whom many top managers entrusted their own money, Neff was far from the smooth-talking, high-profile Wall Streeter you might expect. He was mild-mannered and low-key, and the same might be said of the Windsor Fund that he managed for more than three decades. In fact, Neff himself described the fund as "relatively prosaic, dull, [and] conservative." There was nothing dull about his results, however. From 1964 to 1995, Neff guided Windsor to a 13.7 percent average annual return, easily outpacing the S&P 500's 10.6 percent return during that time. That 3.1 percentage point difference is huge over time -- a $10,000 investment in Windsor (with dividends reinvested) at the start of Neff's tenure would have ended up as more than $564,000 by the time he retired, more than twice what the same investment in the S&P would have yielded (about $233,000). Considering the length of his tenure, that track record may be the best ever for a manager of such a large fund.
About Validea: Validea is aninvestment researchservice that follows the published strategies of investment legends. Validea offers both stock analysis and model portfolios based on gurus who have outperformed the market over the long-term, including Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch and Martin Zweig. For more information about Validea, click here
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Validea's Top Communication Services Stocks Based On John Neff - 7/27/2025

$60,000 of FOX CORPORATION lobbying was just disclosed, from Q4 of 2024, in a new Lobbying Disclosure Act filing.
This included lobbying on issues like:
"Copyright and content carriage issues; online privacy; spectrum-related issues; media ownership issues; First Amendment issues; streaming issues; advertising issues; Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act; antitrust enforcement and reform; unmanned aerial vehicle issues; corporate tax issues.
Copyright and content carriage issues; online privacy; spectrum-related issues; media ownership issues; First Amendment issues; streaming issues; advertising issues; Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act; antitrust enforcement and reform; unmanned aerial vehicle issues; corporate tax issues."
You can find more data on corporate lobbying on Quiver Quantitative.
FOX Insider Trading Activity
FOX insiders have traded $FOX stock on the open market 7 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 1 have been purchases and 6 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $FOX stock by insiders over the last 6 months:
KEITH RUPERT MURDOCH has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 1,057,895 shares for an estimated $48,363,253.
JOHN NALLEN (Chief Operating Officer) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 235,355 shares for an estimated $10,039,865.
LACHLAN K MURDOCH (Executive Chair, CEO) has made 1 purchase buying 119,705 shares for an estimated $4,675,677 and 1 sale selling 119,705 shares for an estimated $4,675,677.
FOX Hedge Fund Activity
We have seen 180 institutional investors add shares of FOX stock to their portfolio, and 167 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.
Here are some of the largest recent moves:
BRANDES INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LP removed 1,273,492 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q3 2024, for an estimated $49,411,489
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC removed 1,205,025 shares (-59.8%) from their portfolio in Q3 2024, for an estimated $46,754,970
ASSENAGON ASSET MANAGEMENT S.A. added 1,095,073 shares (+58.4%) to their portfolio in Q4 2024, for an estimated $50,088,639
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC added 1,062,664 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q4 2024, for an estimated $48,606,251
NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA /FI/ added 977,907 shares (+212.7%) to their portfolio in Q3 2024, for an estimated $37,942,791
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC removed 887,479 shares (-46.0%) from their portfolio in Q3 2024, for an estimated $34,434,185
YACKTMAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LP removed 735,540 shares (-8.4%) from their portfolio in Q3 2024, for an estimated $28,538,951
This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information.
This article was originally published on Quiver News, read the full story.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Lobbying Update: $60,000 of FOX CORPORATION lobbying was just disclosed

Investors in Fox Corp (Symbol: FOXA) saw new options become available today, for the September 19th expiration. At Stock Options Channel, our YieldBoost formula has looked up and down the FOXA options chain for the new September 19th contracts and identified the following put contract of particular interest.
The put contract at the $55.00 strike price has a current bid of 60 cents. If an investor was to sell-to-open that put contract, they are committing to purchase the stock at $55.00, but will also collect the premium, putting the cost basis of the shares at $54.40 (before broker commissions). To an investor already interested in purchasing shares of FOXA, that could represent an attractive alternative to paying $55.79/share today.
Because the $55.00 strike represents an approximate 1% discount to the current trading price of the stock (in other words it is out-of-the-money by that percentage), there is also the possibility that the put contract would expire worthless. The current analytical data (including greeks and implied greeks) suggest the current odds of that happening are 59%. Stock Options Channel will track those odds over time to see how they change, publishing a chart of those numbers on our website under the contract detail page for this contract. Should the contract expire worthless, the premium would represent a 1.09% return on the cash commitment, or 6.22% annualized — at Stock Options Channel we call this the YieldBoost.
Below is a chart showing the trailing twelve month trading history for Fox Corp, and highlighting in green where the $55.00 strike is located relative to that history:
The implied volatility in the put contract example above is 32%.
Meanwhile, we calculate the actual trailing twelve month volatility (considering the last 250 trading day closing values as well as today's price of $55.79) to be 27%. For more put and call options contract ideas worth looking at, visit StockOptionsChannel.com.
LEMB YTD Return
NSIT Historical Stock Prices
Top Ten Hedge Funds Holding DENA
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

FOXA September 19th Options Begin Trading

Below is Validea's guru fundamental report for FOX CORP (FOXA). Of the 22 guru strategies we follow, FOXA rates highest using our Multi-Factor Investor model based on the published strategy of Pim van Vliet. This multi-factor model seeks low volatility stocks that also have strong momentum and high net payout yields.
FOX CORP (FOXA) is a large-cap value stock in the Broadcasting & Cable TV industry. The rating using this strategy is 100% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy's tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy's criteria.
Detailed Analysis of FOX CORP
More Information on Pim van Vliet
About Pim van Vliet: In investing, you typically need to take more risk to get more return. There is one major exception to this in the factor investing world, though. Low volatility stocks have been proven to outperform their high volatility counterparts, and do so with less risk. Pim van Vliet is the head of Conservative Equities at Robeco Asset Management. His research into conservative factor investing led to the creation of this strategy and the publication of the book "High Returns From Low Risk: A Remarkable Stock Market Paradox". Van Vliet holds a PhD in Financial and Business Economics from Erasmus University Rotterdam.
Additional Research Links
About Validea: Validea is aninvestment researchservice that follows the published strategies of investment legends. Validea offers both stock analysis and model portfolios based on gurus who have outperformed the market over the long-term, including Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch and Martin Zweig. For more information about Validea, click here
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Guru Fundamental Report for FOXA

One of the most high-profile retired athletes threw his considerable weight behind marijuana legalization on Monday, and that helped Curaleaf Holdings (OTC: CURLF) and other pot stocks move higher. In that day's trading session, Curaleaf's stock price improved by more than 5%, a rate that far outpaced the bellwether S&P 500 index's 0.5% increase.
A powerful punch for pot
That sports star was former heavyweight boxing champion Mike Tyson, and he strongly advocated for de facto marijuana legalization on one of the most influential media platforms possible.
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In an appearance on Fox's hugely popular Fox News channel, Tyson criticized current federal cannabis law in no uncertain terms. He was particularly stinging about marijuana's inclusion on Schedule I, the Drug Enforcement Agency's (DEA) list of most harmful substances.
"Cannabis is in the same category as heroin. How do you categorize it with heroin?" he asked rhetorically in an appearance on the Fox & Friends show. "Anybody that ever smoked cannabis knows there's no comparison and that it's just ridiculous."
The boxer, who owns a privately held pot company called Tyson 2.0, advocated for moving weed from Schedule I to the far more lenient Schedule III. He also decried the current lack of access to basic financial services for such businesses.
An impressive pro-reform team
Tyson is not the only well-known athlete, now or formerly active, currently pushing for pot law reform. On Friday, a new political advocacy group composed of well-known entertainers and sports stars, the Coalition of Athletes and Entertainers Supporting President Trump's Policy Objectives, sent a formal letter to the president pushing him to reschedule marijuana.
Those moves might just have some effect, as Trump is known to be a frequent viewer of Fox News and over the years has appeared numerous times on some of its programs. Over the coming days and weeks, pot industry-watchers should keep an eye on any potential shift in his administration's pot policy.
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Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Why Investors Were High on Curaleaf Stock on Monday

Fox (FOXA) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.
A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. The system tracks the Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus measure of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years.
Individual investors often find it hard to make decisions based on rating upgrades by Wall Street analysts, since these are mostly driven by subjective factors that are hard to see and measure in real time. In these situations, the Zacks rating system comes in handy because of the power of a changing earnings picture in determining near-term stock price movements.
As such, the Zacks rating upgrade for Fox is essentially a positive comment on its earnings outlook that could have a favorable impact on its stock price.
Most Powerful Force Impacting Stock Prices
The change in a company's future earnings potential, as reflected in earnings estimate revisions, has proven to be strongly correlated with the near-term price movement of its stock. That's partly because of the influence of institutional investors that use earnings and earnings estimates for calculating the fair value of a company's shares. An increase or decrease in earnings estimates in their valuation models simply results in higher or lower fair value for a stock, and institutional investors typically buy or sell it. Their transaction of large amounts of shares then leads to price movement for the stock.
For Fox, rising earnings estimates and the consequent rating upgrade fundamentally mean an improvement in the company's underlying business. And investors' appreciation of this improving business trend should push the stock higher.
Harnessing the Power of Earnings Estimate Revisions
As empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock movements, tracking such revisions for making an investment decision could be truly rewarding. Here is where the tried-and-tested Zacks Rank stock-rating system plays an important role, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions.
The Zacks Rank stock-rating system, which uses four factors related to earnings estimates to classify stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record, with Zacks Rank #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> .
Earnings Estimate Revisions for Fox
This TV broadcasting company is expected to earn $4.52 per share for the fiscal year ending June 2025, which represents no year-over-year change.
Analysts have been steadily raising their estimates for Fox. Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company has increased 2.6%.
Bottom Line
Unlike the overly optimistic Wall Street analysts whose rating systems tend to be weighted toward favorable recommendations, the Zacks rating system maintains an equal proportion of "buy" and "sell" ratings for its entire universe of more than 4,000 stocks at any point in time. Irrespective of market conditions, only the top 5% of the Zacks-covered stocks get a "Strong Buy" rating and the next 15% get a "Buy" rating. So, the placement of a stock in the top 20% of the Zacks-covered stocks indicates its superior earnings estimate revision feature, making it a solid candidate for producing market-beating returns in the near term.
The upgrade of Fox to a Zacks Rank #2 positions it in the top 20% of the Zacks-covered stocks in terms of estimate revisions, implying that the stock might move higher in the near term.
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What Makes Fox (FOXA) a New Buy Stock

It doesn't matter your age or experience: taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals for all investors. Luckily, Zacks Premium offers several different ways to do both.
The popular research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor, giving you access to daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens.
Zacks Premium includes access to the Zacks Style Scores as well.
What are the Zacks Style Scores?
Developed alongside the Zacks Rank, the Zacks Style Scores are a group of complementary indicators that help investors pick stocks with the best chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Each stock is given an alphabetic rating of A, B, C, D or F based on their value, growth, and momentum qualities. With this system, an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on, meaning the better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value Score
Value investors love finding good stocks at good prices, especially before the broader market catches on to a stock's true value. Utilizing ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and many other multiples, the Value Style Score identifies the most attractive and most discounted stocks.
Growth Score
While good value is important, growth investors are more focused on a company's financial strength and health, and its future outlook. The Growth Style Score takes projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow into account to uncover stocks that will see long-term, sustainable growth.
Momentum Score
Momentum traders and investors live by the saying "the trend is your friend." This investing style is all about taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook. Employing factors like one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates, the Momentum Style Score can indicate favorable times to build a position in high-momentum stocks.
VGM Score
If you want a combination of all three Style Scores, then the VGM Score will be your friend. It rates each stock on their combined weighted styles, helping you find the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum. It's also one of the best indicators to use with the Zacks Rank.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank
The Zacks Rank, which is a proprietary stock-rating model, employs earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings expectations, to make building a winning portfolio easier.
#1 (Strong Buy) stocks have produced an unmatched +25.41% average annual return since 1988, which is more than double the S&P 500's performance over the same time frame. However, the Zacks Rank examines a ton of stocks, and there can be more than 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, and another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
With more than 800 top-rated stocks to choose from, it can certainly feel overwhelming to pick the ones that are right for you and your investing journey.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
To have the best chance of big returns, you'll want to always consider stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B, which will give you the highest probability of success. If you're looking at stocks with a #3 (Hold) rank, it's important they have Scores of A or B as well to ensure as much upside potential as possible.
As mentioned above, the Scores are designed to work with the Zacks Rank, so any change to a company's earnings outlook should be a deciding factor when picking which stocks to buy.
Here's an example: a stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, even one with Style Scores of A and B, still has a downward-trending earnings outlook, and a bigger chance its share price will decrease too.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Fox (FOXA)
Headquartered in New York, Fox Corporation is a news, sports and entertainment content provider. It became a standalone, publicly-traded company on Mar 21, 2019 following the merger of Disney and Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc.
FOXA is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of A.
It also boasts a Value Style Score of A thanks to attractive valuation metrics like a forward P/E ratio of 11.71; value investors should take notice.
Five analysts revised their earnings estimate higher in the last 60 days for fiscal 2025, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.25 to $3.94 per share. FOXA also boasts an average earnings surprise of 72.3%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Value and VGM Style Scores, FOXA should be on investors' short list.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Why Fox (FOXA) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

For those looking to find strong Consumer Discretionary stocks, it is prudent to search for companies in the group that are outperforming their peers. Has Adtalem Global Education (ATGE) been one of those stocks this year? A quick glance at the company's year-to-date performance in comparison to the rest of the Consumer Discretionary sector should help us answer this question.
Adtalem Global Education is one of 255 companies in the Consumer Discretionary group. The Consumer Discretionary group currently sits at #9 within the Zacks Sector Rank. The Zacks Sector Rank considers 16 different sector groups. The average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups is measured, and the sectors are listed from best to worst.
The Zacks Rank emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find stocks with improving earnings outlooks. This system has a long record of success, and these stocks tend to be on track to beat the market over the next one to three months. Adtalem Global Education is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy).
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ATGE's full-year earnings has moved 5.1% higher within the past quarter. This means that analyst sentiment is stronger and the stock's earnings outlook is improving.
Based on the latest available data, ATGE has gained about 41.4% so far this year. At the same time, Consumer Discretionary stocks have gained an average of 11.2%. This means that Adtalem Global Education is outperforming the sector as a whole this year.
Fox (FOXA) is another Consumer Discretionary stock that has outperformed the sector so far this year. Since the beginning of the year, the stock has returned 16.9%.
Over the past three months, Fox's consensus EPS estimate for the current year has increased 2.6%. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Breaking things down more, Adtalem Global Education is a member of the Schools industry, which includes 17 individual companies and currently sits at #10 in the Zacks Industry Rank. On average, stocks in this group have gained 10.4% this year, meaning that ATGE is performing better in terms of year-to-date returns.
Fox, however, belongs to the Broadcast Radio and Television industry. Currently, this 19-stock industry is ranked #96. The industry has moved +36.2% so far this year.
Investors interested in the Consumer Discretionary sector may want to keep a close eye on Adtalem Global Education and Fox as they attempt to continue their solid performance.
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With strong earnings growth and an expanding customer base, it's positioned to feed the rampant demand for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Internet of Things. Global semiconductor manufacturing is projected to explode from $452 billion in 2021 to $803 billion by 2028.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Are Consumer Discretionary Stocks Lagging ADTALEM GBL EDU (ATGE) This Year?

Most stocks that debut on the market go through a period of volatility, as investors can take some time to figure out how they should be priced. Even considering that, however, Newsmax (NYSE: NMAX) has been a real yo-yo of an equity in its brief life on the exchange. It blasted many orders of magnitude higher in price on its market debut but almost immediately retreated to a more modest level.
These days, Newsmax trades down almost 8% from its opening-day price on March 31. Let's dive into the stock to determine whether it's been unfairly punished lately and belongs at the lofty highs of its debut or now trades at a more reasonable price.
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Maximizing exposure
Newsmax, for those unfamiliar, is a cable and video streaming news service known for hewing significantly to the right on the political spectrum.
This can be quite a solid business strategy, as evidenced by the enduring success and popularity of Fox News, one of the jewels in the crown of its parent, Fox. In fact, Newsmax considers Fox News to be a direct competitor; by comparison, the incumbent is more moderate and measured than the upstart.
Its political slant is a modern touch, but as a business, Newsmax functions like a traditional broadcaster. The bulk of its revenue comes from advertising, and it makes a bit of scratch with sales of products geared to its audience, such as political-themed books, nutritional supplements, and branded merchandise.
So, given the importance of advertising, the game with Newsmax is to build out its presence as a broadcaster and, in the process, grow its audience. All factors being equal, a larger footprint and greater viewership should translate into more ad revenue.
Management has done a good job with the first part of that equation; it's signed a clutch of deals to have its content beamed on partner networks and streaming services. In mid-May, it announced such an arrangement for a slot on Walt Disney's Hulu+ Live TV.
At that point, the company said confidently that its broadcasting would soon be readily accessible to 60 million households in this country. It claimed this is "on par" with the likes of CNN and, yes, Fox News.
Yet the finances haven't (yet, at least) caught up with the deals. In the company's inaugural earnings report as a publicly traded entity, it revealed that first-quarter revenue grew by 12% year over year to $45.3 million. A double-digit gain is nothing to sneeze at. However, it was on the back of a much higher -- 50% -- rise in total viewership (to 33.6 million people, for those counting).
A lag is to be expected, especially since Newsmax is a relative newcomer in the Big Media space and that audience buildup has been rapid. Still, the disparity between viewership and revenue growth is concerning; any investor or person considering this stock should keep a watchful eye on how those two metrics develop over the next quarter or two.
The bottom line is also something of a worry. While Newsmax managed to trim its net loss in the quarter to $17.2 million from the staggering $50.7 million in the year-ago period, it was still extremely deep in the red, as had been its habit before the market debut.
Plus, that reduction isn't as impressive as it first appears.
That's because tens of millions of dollars skewed the year-ago quarter's loss in charges that it booked for anticipated payouts to voting systems specialist Smartmatic. This accounts for a settlement it reached with Smartmatic to retire a defamation lawsuit; under its terms, Newsmax is on the hook to pay roughly $40 million in cash and grant a five-year warrant to buy 2,000 shares of preferred stock.
There could very well be more where that came from, as Newsmax is currently being sued by another electoral tech company, Dominion Voting Systems, for $1.6 billion in damages in a similar lawsuit.
Media companies, news broadcasters, and analysts (hello!) have to take particular care in discussing their subjects. Outside of the financial headaches the Smartmatic and Dominion suits have brought and might bring, such payouts are troubling. They suggest an approach to the news/current affairs business that reeks of carelessness.
If I were an investor, I'd be concerned that Newsmax won't exercise enough self-control to avoid future legal entanglements -- it's aiming to be the swashbuckling rival to Fox News, after all. Yet it's nowhere near the size of Fox the conglomerate or CNN parent Warner Bros Discovery. It will, therefore, have a much tougher time coughing up eight-figure payments to legal foes.
Was that pop deserved?
At this point, we have to consider that the post-IPO share price pop may be an anomaly for Newsmax. Prominence and novelty only go so far, and these days, it looks like that might have been what attracted many of those early buyers (more than a few of whom, it's apparent, quickly became profit-takers when the shares skyrocketed).
Ultimately, from what I'm seeing, Newsmax doesn't look like a buy to me. However, this is a very young stock of a company that only recently leaped into the spotlight. If it can better align audience and revenue growth, avoid cash-draining lawsuits, and at least narrow those net losses consistently, it might become a more tempting investment. For now, though, personally, I'd give its shares a pass.
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Eric Volkman has positions in Walt Disney. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Walt Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.