Stifel Financial Corp., a financial services and bank holding company, provides retail and institutional wealth management, and investment banking services to individual investors, corporations, municipalities, and institutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group, and Other. The company provides private client services, including securities transaction and financial planning services; institutional equity and fixed income sales, trading and research, and municipal finance services; investment banking services, such as mergers and acquisitions, public offerings, and private placements; and retail and commercial banking services comprising personal and commercial lending programs, as well as deposit accounts. It participates in and manages underwritings for corporate and public finance; and offers financial advisory and securities brokerage services. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Stifel Financial Corporation демонстрирует смешанную картину с точки зрения фундаментальных метрик. Мультипликаторы, такие как P/E (21.14), существенно выше медианы отрасли, что может указывать на переоцененность акций. В то же время, коэффициенты рентабельности (ROE 15.32 и ROA 2.12) показывают высокие результаты по сравнению с отраслевыми стандартами. Долговая нагрузка низкая (debt/equity 0.25), что является позитивным фактором. Однако, текущие и быстрые коэффициенты (0.84 и 0.79 соответственно) ниже медианы, что может вызывать опасения относительно ликвидности. Выручка и чистая прибыль значительно превышают отраслевые значения, что указывает на сильную финансовую позицию. Тем не менее, снижение марж прибыли (net profit margin 11.70) и операционной маржи (operating margin 16.10) по сравнению с отраслью создает риски. В целом, компания показывает сильные стороны в прибыльности и рентабельности, но высокие мультипликаторы и проблемы с ликвидностью могут негативно сказаться на оценке акций.

Stifel Financial Corporation

Stifel Financial (SF) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.45 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.39 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.33 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +4.32%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this brokerage and investment banking firm would post earnings of $1.65 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.75, delivering a surprise of +6.06%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.
Stifel, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry, posted revenues of $1.48 billion for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.78%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $1.26 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Stifel shares have lost about 1.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 3.2%.
What's Next for Stifel?
While Stifel has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Stifel was unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.46 on $1.48 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $6.27 on $6.12 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial - Investment Bank is currently in the bottom 33% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
One other stock from the same industry, LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA), is yet to report results for the quarter ended March 2026. The results are expected to be released on April 30.
This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $5.49 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +6.6%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 4.3% lower over the last 30 days to the current level.
LPL Financial Holdings Inc.'s revenues are expected to be $4.98 billion, up 34.9% from the year-ago quarter.
Should You Invest in Stifel Financial Corporation (SF)?
Before you invest in Stifel Financial Corporation (SF), want to know the best stocks to buy for the next 30 days? Check out Zacks Investment Research for our free report on the 7 best stocks to buy.
Zacks Investment Research has been committed to providing investors with tools and independent research since 1978. For more than a quarter century, the Zacks Rank stock-rating system has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +24.08% per year. (These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through May 6, 2024.)
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stifel Financial (SF) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates

Key Points
One analyst raised his price target significantly on the company.
Another opined that it was well-positioned to benefit from Oracle's pivot into data centers.
Two positive analyst moves in recent days, including a meaty price target hike, provided a significant lift for Ciena (NYSE: CIEN) stock on Monday. Investors took these updates to heart, and the tech equipment supplier's share price increased robustly, ultimately ending the day more than 6% higher.
A bull gets more bullish
Of the two, that price target increase was likely the more impactful. Before market open Monday, Stifel's Ruben Roy upped his Ciena fair value assessment to $430 per share from $320, maintaining his existing buy recommendation.
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The change was made after Roy attended the company's investor breakfast and, afterwards, met with management at the pivotal Optical Fiber Communication Conference and Exhibition (OFC). According to reports, the analyst waxed bullish about Ciena's market positioning, which places it nicely to take advantage of numerous opportunities in the current feverish artificial intelligence (AI) build-out.
Roy feels that the company's solid fiscal first-quarter 2026 results have already indicated it can capture plenty of this business.
Separately, on Saturday, Wolfe Research issued an update noting that Oracle's aggressive pivot into a next-generation data center landlord will directly benefit Ciena. This is because the latter company is a notable supplier of the type of hardware sorely needed for this effort.
A victim of popularity?
It's easy to imagine Ciena capturing a significant share of the AI boom, which looks set to be massive and sustainable for years. The catch is that, as a well-known provider of hardware that supports this technology, Ciena has been a very popular stock and is therefore now quite an expensive one. I'd still consider it a buy, but I fear much of its potential upside has already been priced in.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Why Ciena Stock Rocked the Market on Monday

Key Points
There's every reason they should be, as the company is a specialist in artificial intelligence (AI) hardware.
And the AI boom shows no sign of moderating anytime soon.
A well-received presentation at a key industry conference and an analyst's price target bump made Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ: LITE) a popular stock on Wednesday. Shares of the photonics company rose in excess of 6% in reaction to these developments.
Solid momentum for Lumentum
Lumentum held an investor briefing at this year's Optical Fiber Communication Conference (OFC), an event marked by bullish pronouncements from numerous company executives about the future of the industry. Many were excited about supplying goods for the exploding build-out of artificial intelligence (AI).
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Lumentum's event prompted one analyst in particular, Stifel's Ruben Roy, to reiterate his optimistic take on the company's proximate future. According to reports, he cited the briefing in his Wednesday morning update on the stock. He noted several encouraging forecasts from management, including its estimate of a $90 billion total addressable market for optical AI products by 2030.
Roy also noted Lumentum's announcement of a multi-year contract with one large customer that the company did not name. This deal, covering optical circuit switching (OCS) products, is worth billions of dollars, management said.
The analyst reiterated his buy recommendation on Lumenteum and his $800 per share price target.
Seeing a bright future
Lumentum stock has been on quite a tear so far this year, and that's understandable given its role as a reliable supplier of goods essential to the smooth functioning of AI. Although the company isn't the bargain it was before hordes of investors piled into it, it's very well positioned to reap the long-term rewards of operating in the right business at the right time in history.
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Why Lumentum Holdings Stock Zoomed 6% Higher Today

Legendary investor Warren Buffett advises to be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. One way we can try to measure the level of fear in a given stock is through a technical analysis indicator called the Relative Strength Index, or RSI, which measures momentum on a scale of zero to 100. A stock is considered to be oversold if the RSI reading falls below 30.
In trading on Monday, shares of Stifel Financial Corporation (Symbol: SF) entered into oversold territory, hitting an RSI reading of 29.7, after changing hands as low as $69.97 per share. By comparison, the current RSI reading of the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is 39.1. A bullish investor could look at SF's 29.7 RSI reading today as a sign that the recent heavy selling is in the process of exhausting itself, and begin to look for entry point opportunities on the buy side. The chart below shows the one year performance of SF shares:
Looking at the chart above, SF's low point in its 52 week range is $48.8467 per share, with $89.8267 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $69.83.
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Also see:
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SPGM shares outstanding history
S&P 500 Components Hedge Funds Are Buying
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Oversold Conditions For Stifel Financial (SF)

Looking at the universe of stocks we cover at Dividend Channel, on 3/2/26, Nicolet Bankshares Inc (Symbol: NIC), Stifel Financial Corporation (Symbol: SF), and Houlihan Lokey Inc (Symbol: HLI) will all trade ex-dividend for their respective upcoming dividends. Nicolet Bankshares Inc will pay its quarterly dividend of $0.32 on 3/16/26, Stifel Financial Corporation will pay its quarterly dividend of $0.34 on 3/16/26, and Houlihan Lokey Inc will pay its quarterly dividend of $0.60 on 3/15/26. As a percentage of NIC's recent stock price of $160.50, this dividend works out to approximately 0.20%, so look for shares of Nicolet Bankshares Inc to trade 0.20% lower — all else being equal — when NIC shares open for trading on 3/2/26. Similarly, investors should look for SF to open 0.30% lower in price and for HLI to open 0.36% lower, all else being equal.
Below are dividend history charts for NIC, SF, and HLI, showing historical dividends prior to the most recent ones declared.
Nicolet Bankshares Inc (Symbol: NIC):
Stifel Financial Corporation (Symbol: SF):
Houlihan Lokey Inc (Symbol: HLI):
In general, dividends are not always predictable, following the ups and downs of company profits over time. Therefore, a good first due diligence step in forming an expectation of annual yield going forward, is looking at the history above, for a sense of stability over time. This can help in judging whether the most recent dividends from these companies are likely to continue. If they do continue, the current estimated yields on annualized basis would be 0.80% for Nicolet Bankshares Inc, 1.18% for Stifel Financial Corporation, and 1.45% for Houlihan Lokey Inc.
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In Thursday trading, Nicolet Bankshares Inc shares are currently up about 2.2%, Stifel Financial Corporation shares are up about 1.8%, and Houlihan Lokey Inc shares are up about 0.1% on the day.
Click here to learn which 25 S.A.F.E. dividend stocks should be on your radar screen »
Also see:
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Ex-Dividend Reminder: Nicolet Bankshares, Stifel Financial and Houlihan Lokey

In trading on Monday, shares of Stifel Financial Corporation (Symbol: SF) crossed below their 200 day moving average of $114.18, changing hands as low as $113.58 per share. Stifel Financial Corporation shares are currently trading off about 5% on the day. The chart below shows the one year performance of SF shares, versus its 200 day moving average:
Looking at the chart above, SF's low point in its 52 week range is $73.27 per share, with $134.74 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $114.19.
Click here to find out which 9 other dividend stocks recently crossed below their 200 day moving average »
Also see:
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Funds Holding ECX
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

SF Crosses Below Key Moving Average Level

Key Points
Centrus Energy signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power regarding the development of uranium production.
Everore ISI is bullish on the MOU and Centrus Energy in general.
Centrus Energy is one of the few producers of high-assay low-enriched uranium, making it an interesting option for nuclear energy investors.
Investors seemed little impressed with an announcement from Centrus Energy (NYSEMKT: LEU) yesterday. Shares actually closed marginally lower on Monday from where they were at when trading ended on Friday. Today, however, investors seem more confident about the company's new deal thanks to Evercore ISI's positive take.
As of 12:47 p.m., shares of Centrus Energy are up 12.9%.
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A deal that seems more "credible" is fueling investors' enthusiasm
On Monday, Centrus Energy announced that it had signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) "to explore potential investment to support expansion of Centrus' uranium enrichment plant in Piketon, Ohio."
In addition, the two companies announced they were raising the volume of a supply contract that the two companies agreed to in February 2025 in support of construction of new uranium enrichment capacity at Centrus' American Centrifuge Plant in Ohio.
While investors shrugged off the announcement yesterday, they're giving more credence to it since Evercore ISI commented that while the MoU is not binding, KHNP is "a very credible nuclear counterparty" and its signing of the MoU "suggests a confidence in Centrus and in centrifugal enrichment," according to The Fly.
Evercore further commented that the MOU suggests "significant support and confidence behind the company's ability to place itself as a foundational piece of the inevitable domestic nuclear fuel supply chain buildout."
Is now a good time to fuel your holdings with Centrus Energy stock?
The market's appetite for all things related to the nuclear energy industry remains vast. The MoU is a positive development, but the company's allure as a route to gaining nuclear energy exposure transcends the potential partnership with KHNP. As one of the few producers of high-assay low-enriched uranium, Centrus Energy provides investors with an less speculative option for gaining nuclear energy industry exposure.
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Scott Levine has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Why Centrus Energy Stock Is Powering Higher Today

In trading on Thursday, shares of Stifel Financial Corporation's 6.25% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B (Symbol: SF.PRB) were yielding above the 6.5% mark based on its quarterly dividend (annualized to $1.5625), with shares changing hands as low as $24.03 on the day. This compares to an average yield of 6.51% in the "Financial" preferred stock category, according to Preferred Stock Channel. As of last close, SF.PRB was trading at a 3.64% discount to its liquidation preference amount, versus the average discount of 10.02% in the "Financial" category. Investors should keep in mind that the shares are not cumulative, meaning that in the event of a missed payment, the company does not have to pay the balance of missed dividends to preferred shareholders before resuming a common dividend.
The chart below shows the one year performance of SF.PRB shares, versus SF:
Below is a dividend history chart for SF.PRB, showing historical dividend payments on Stifel Financial Corporation's 6.25% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B:
Free Report: Top 8%+ Dividends (paid monthly)
In Thursday trading, Stifel Financial Corporation's 6.25% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B (Symbol: SF.PRB) is currently trading flat on the day, while the common shares (Symbol: SF) are off about 4.4%.
Also see:
PDAC shares outstanding history
Institutional Holders of ACEL
ETFs Holding VRSK
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stifel Financial's Preferred Stock, Series B Yield Pushes Past 6.5%

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Tuesday closed down -0.33%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up +0.10%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed down -0.56%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26) fell -0.30%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQH26) fell -0.50%.
Stock indexes gave up early gains on Tuesday and settled mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrials climbing to a new all-time high. The broader market initially found support from Tuesday’s weaker-than-expected reports on Dec retail sales and the Q4 employment cost index, which knocked bond yields lower and reinforced the case for the Fed to resume its interest rate cuts this year. The 10-year T-note yield fell to a 3.5-week low on Tuesday at 4.13%.
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Gains in stocks were limited as US retail sales unexpectedly stagnated in December, suggesting some weakness in consumer spending. Also, the weakness in retail sales could lead to a downward revision in Q4 GDP.
Stock indexes fell back from their best levels on Tuesday and traded mixed after hawkish Fed comments dampened speculation of imminent Fed interest rate cuts. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said, “Rather than trying to fine-tune the funds rate, I’d prefer to err on the side of patience as we assess the impact of recent rate reductions and monitor how the economy performs. Based on my forecast, the Fed could be on hold for quite some time.” Also, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said it would take “material” weakness in the US labor market for her to support more interest rate cuts.
The US Q4 employment cost index rose +0.7% q/q, weaker than expectations of +0.8% q/q and the smallest increase in 4.5 years.
US Dec retail sales were unchanged m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.4% m/m. Dec retail sales ex-autos were also unchanged m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.4% m/m.
The markets this week will focus on corporate earnings results and economic news. On Wednesday, Jan nonfarm payrolls are expected to climb +68,000, and the Jan unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.4%. Also, Jan average hourly earnings are expected to rise by +0.3% m/m and +3.7% y/y. On Thursday, initial weekly unemployment claims are expected to fall by -7,000 to 224,000. Also, Jan existing home sales are expected to decline by -4.3% m/m to 4.16 million. On Friday, Jan CPI is expected to be up +2.5% y/y, and Jan core CPI is expected to be up +2.5% y/y.
Q4 earnings season is in full swing, as more than half of the S&P 500 companies have reported earnings results. Earnings have been a positive factor for stocks, with 78% of the 319 S&P 500 companies that have reported beating expectations. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, S&P earnings growth is expected to climb by +8.4% in Q4, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. Excluding the Magnificent Seven megacap technology stocks, Q4 earnings are expected to increase by +4.6%.
The markets are discounting a 23% chance for a -25 bp rate cut at the next policy meeting on March 17-18.
Overseas stock markets settled mixed on Tuesday. The Euro Stoxx 50 fell from a new record high and closed down -0.20%. China’s Shanghai Composite rose to a 1-week high and closed up +0.13%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 rallied to a new all-time high and closed up sharply by +2.28%.
Interest Rates
March 10-year T-notes (ZNH6) on Tuesday closed up by +10.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -6.1 bp to 4.141%. Mar T-notes rallied to a 1-month high on Tuesday, and the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 3.5-week low of 4.133%. T-notes found support on Tuesday’s weaker-than-expected reports on the Q4 employment cost index and Dec retail sales, which were dovish for Fed policy. T-notes maintained their gains on strong demand for the Treasury’s $58 billion auction of 3-year T-notes that had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.62, above the 10-auction average of 2.61.
European government bond yields moved lower on Tuesday. The 10-year German bund yield fell to a 1-month low of 2.800% and finished down -3.2 bp to 2.808%. The 10-year UK gilt yield fell to a 2-week low of 4.485% and finished down by -2.1 bp to 4.506%.
An ECB blog post today said that lower interest rates can reduce the drag on inflation and economic growth caused by higher US tariffs.
ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said, “We believe that risks are balanced and the current level of interest rates is appropriate in the Eurozone.”
Swaps are discounting a 2% chance of a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at its next policy meeting on March 19.
US Stock Movers
AI-infrastructure stocks were under pressure on Tuesday, weighing on the broader market. Western Digital (WDC) closed down more than -7% to lead losers in the Nasdaq 100. Also, Seagate Technology Holdings Plc (STX) and Intel (INTC) closed down more than -6%, and Micron Technology (MU) closed down more than -2%. In addition, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), ASML Holding NV (ASML), Broadcom (AVGO), and Lam Research (LRCX) closed down more than -1%.
Wealth-management stocks tumbled on Tuesday after an AI tool unveiled by Altruist Corp that helps financial advisers personalize strategies for clients and create documents sparked concerns that AI could disrupt the financial advice and wealth-management model. Raymond James Financial (RJF) and LPL Financial Holdings (LPLA) closed down more than -8%. Also, Charles Schwab (SCHW) closed down more than -7%, and Stifel Financial (SF) closed down more than -4%.
Homebuilding stocks and building suppliers moved higher on Tuesday after the 10-year T-note yield dropped to a 3.5-week low, which lowers mortgage rates and supports housing demand. Toll Brothers (TOL) closed up more than +6%, and D.R. Horton (DHI) and KB Home (KBH) closed up more than +5%. Also, Lennar (LEN) closed up more than +4%, and PulteGroup (PHM) and Builders FirstSource (BLDR) closed up more than +3%.
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (GT) closed down more than -14% after reporting Q4 adjusted EPS of 39 cents, below the consensus of 49 cents.
Amentum Holdings (AMTM) closed down more than -12% after reporting Q1 revenue of $3.24 billion, below the consensus of $3.32 billion.
S&P Global Inc (SPGI) closed down more than -9% to lead losers in the S&P 500 after forecasting full-year adjusted EPS of $19.40 to $19.65, weaker than the consensus of $20.00.
Incyte (INCY) closed down more than -8% after forecasting dull-year total net product revenue of $4.77 billion to $4.94 billion, the midpoint below the consensus of $4.87 billion.
Xylem Inc (XYL) closed down more than -7% after forecasting 2026 revenue of $9.1 billion to $9.2 billion, below the consensus of $9.33 billion.
WESCO International (WCC) closed down by more than -5% after reporting Q4 adjusted EPS of $3.40, weaker than the consensus of $3.88.
Ichor Holdings Ltd (ICHR) is up more than +34% after forecasting Q1 adjusted EPS of 8 cents to 16 cents, well above the consensus of 6.1 cents.
Spotify (SPOT) is up more than +17% after reporting a record 38 million monthly active users in Q4, well above the consensus of 32 million.
Datadog (DDOG) is up more than +15% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after reporting Q4 revenue of $953.2 million, stronger than the consensus of $917.2 million.
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) is up more than +10% after forecasting preliminary Q3 revenue of $404 million to $408 million, well above the consensus of $341.2 million.
Masco (MAS) is up more than +9% after forecasting full-year adjusted EPS of $4.10 to $4.30, the midpoint above the consensus of $4.19.
Marriott International (MAR) is up more than +8% after forecasting 2026 adjusted EPS of $11.32 to $11.57, the midpoint above the consensus of $11.42.
Shopify (SHOP) is up more than +8% after ATB Capital upgraded the stock to outperform from sector perform with a price target of $250.
Cintas (CTAS) is up more than +2% after Bloomberg reported that UniFirst Corp. is in active discussions to be acquired by Cintas.
Earnings Reports(2/11/2026)
Albemarle Corp (ALB), Ameren Corp (AEE), AppLovin Corp (APP), Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO), Equinix Inc (EQIX), Generac Holdings Inc (GNRC), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT), Humana Inc (HUM), International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF), Kraft Heinz Co/The (KHC), Martin Marietta Materials Inc (MLM), McDonald’s Corp (MCD), Motorola Solutions Inc (MSI), NiSource Inc (NI), Paycom Software Inc (PAYC), Rollins Inc (ROL), Shopify Inc (SHOP), Smurfit Westrock PLC (SW), T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS), Westinghouse Air Brake Technol (WAB).
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Broader Market Falls Ahead of Wednesday’s US Jobs Report

Key Points
It's getting crushed along with many other software stocks.
Investors continue to worry that legacy developers will get left behind in the great artificial intelligence race.
No matter the how strong their business, software stocks as a group are taking a real clobbering these days. On Thursday this rout continued, and it claimed some of the biggest names in the segment. One was Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), which saw its shares decline by nearly 5% that trading session. The negative sentiment on software titles was exacerbated by an analyst's downgrade.
A more bearish view
Well before market open that morning, Stifel's Brad Reback changed his recommendation on Microsoft stock. He's now convinced it's only a hold, where previously he had flagged it as a buy. This was accompanied by a significant price target reduction to $392 per share from $540.
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According to reports, Reback wrote in his update that analysts' projections for the company's fiscal 2027 fundamentals are too high. He cited operational tailwinds, including supply issues with the Azure cloud computing business and the rapidly increasing prominence of artificial intelligence (AI) models such as Alphabet's Gemini.
Additionally, the analyst believes that Microsoft will have notably higher capex than many expect. He increased his forecast for the line item to $200 billion for the company in fiscal 2027; that's well above the $160 billion prognosticator average, according to his research.
Crowd mentality
To me, Microsoft's sell-off (and that of many other software and software-adjacent stocks) is now driven mostly by panic and herd behavior. We should remember that Microsoft is still a powerful force on the market, not least because its software -- legacy though it may be -- powers the systems of many PC networks and individual computers.
The company has numerous revenue streams it can boost, so I wouldn't worry much about its long-term growth prospects (or Azure's recent struggles, while we're at it). This rout feels to me like a fine opportunity for bargain hunters to grab this quality stock at a discount.
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Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stifel Financial Corporation

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