Dow Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various materials science solutions for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings segments. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment provides ethylene, and propylene and aromatics products; and polyethylene, polyolefin elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubbers for mobility and transportation, consumer, wire and cable, and construction end-markets. The Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment offers purified ethylene, ethylene and ethanol amines, propylene glycol and polyether polyols, aromatic isocyanates and coatings, adhesives, sealants, elastomers, and composites. This segment also provides caustic soda, and ethylene dichloride and vinyl chloride monomers; and cellulose ethers, redispersible latex powders, and acrylic emulsions. The Performance Materials and Coatings segment provides architectural paints and coatings, and industrial coatings that are used in maintenance and protective industries, wood, metal packaging, traffic markings, thermal paper, and leather; and silicon metal, siloxanes, and intermediates used as key materials in manufacturing differentiated downstream silicone products. It also engages in property and casualty insurance, as well as reinsurance business. Dow Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Midland, Michigan.

Dow Inc.

Key Points
A pundit's price-target raise was relatively hefty, improving sentiment on the weakened stock.
He didn't change his recommendation on the company, however.
An analyst's price-target raise brightened the outlook on beaten-down chemical stock Dow (NYSE: DOW) on Monday. The company's shares enjoyed a nearly 4% gain on the day as a result, easily eclipsing the 1.2% advance of the S&P 500 index across that trading session.
A pundit gets cautiously more positive
That adjustment, made by Deutsche Bank's David Begleiter, was enacted before market open that day. Begleiter now feels that Dow is worth $26 per share, quite some distance above his previous estimation of $22. That didn't change his outlook on the stock, however, as he maintained his hold recommendation.
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The reasoning behind Begleiter's price-target raise wasn't immediately clear. What is apparent is that Dow is a stock that's fallen well out of favor with the market -- so far this year it's lost nearly 36% of its value in a generally bullish environment for equities. By contrast, the S&P 500 index has largely moved higher since the middle of the year and year to date has posted an almost 17% gain.
Dow has numerous challenges it's contending with these days, not least of which is the sluggish demand for chemicals on theglobal market This is due to a number of factors, including but certainly not limited to overcapacity and the negative effects of geopolitical developments.
Waiting for an unswing
Dow is a classic American industrial, so there are certainly investors out there who are capitalizing on a relatively low stock price to take advantage of an eventual upswing in the cyclical chemical sector. While the industry is sure to recover at some point, investors might have to be patient for the more lingering negative factors to play themselves out.
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Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Why Investors Drove Dow Stock Higher Today

Fintel reports that on October 24, 2025, JP Morgan maintained coverage of Dow (NYSE:DOW) with a Neutral recommendation.
Analyst Price Forecast Suggests 15.61% Upside
As of September 30, 2025, the average one-year price target for Dow is $28.71/share. The forecasts range from a low of $20.20 to a high of $45.70. The average price target represents an increase of 15.61% from its latest reported closing price of $24.84 / share.
See our leaderboard of companies with the largest price target upside.
The projected annual revenue for Dow is 56,714MM, an increase of 38.62%. The projected annual non-GAAP EPS is 5.25.
What is the Fund Sentiment?
There are 1,839 funds or institutions reporting positions in Dow. This is an decrease of 123 owner(s) or 6.27% in the last quarter. Average portfolio weight of all funds dedicated to DOW is 0.13%, an increase of 24.18%. Total shares owned by institutions increased in the last three months by 1.49% to 540,030K shares. The put/call ratio of DOW is 0.71, indicating a bullish outlook.
What are Other Shareholders Doing?
Pzena Investment Management holds 27,091K shares representing 3.82% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 24,957K shares , representing an increase of 7.88%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 23.33% over the last quarter.
Capital Research Global Investors holds 26,230K shares representing 3.70% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 12,284K shares , representing an increase of 53.17%. The firm increased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 49.09% over the last quarter.
VTSMX - Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Investor Shares holds 22,709K shares representing 3.20% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 22,166K shares , representing an increase of 2.39%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 30.69% over the last quarter.
VFINX - Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares holds 20,065K shares representing 2.83% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 19,554K shares , representing an increase of 2.54%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 30.87% over the last quarter.
Geode Capital Management holds 18,004K shares representing 2.54% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 18,098K shares , representing a decrease of 0.52%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 64.44% over the last quarter.
Fintel is one of the most comprehensive investing research platforms available to individual investors, traders, financial advisors, and small hedge funds.
Our data covers the world, and includes fundamentals, analyst reports, ownership data and fund sentiment, options sentiment, insider trading, options flow, unusual options trades, and much more. Additionally, our exclusive stock picks are powered by advanced, backtested quantitative models for improved profits.
This story originally appeared on Fintel.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

JP Morgan Maintains Dow (DOW) Neutral Recommendation

Fintel reports that on October 24, 2025, UBS maintained coverage of Dow (NYSE:DOW) with a Neutral recommendation.
Analyst Price Forecast Suggests 15.61% Upside
As of September 30, 2025, the average one-year price target for Dow is $28.71/share. The forecasts range from a low of $20.20 to a high of $45.70. The average price target represents an increase of 15.61% from its latest reported closing price of $24.84 / share.
See our leaderboard of companies with the largest price target upside.
The projected annual revenue for Dow is 56,714MM, an increase of 38.62%. The projected annual non-GAAP EPS is 5.25.
What is the Fund Sentiment?
There are 1,839 funds or institutions reporting positions in Dow. This is an decrease of 123 owner(s) or 6.27% in the last quarter. Average portfolio weight of all funds dedicated to DOW is 0.13%, an increase of 24.18%. Total shares owned by institutions increased in the last three months by 1.49% to 540,030K shares. The put/call ratio of DOW is 0.71, indicating a bullish outlook.
What are Other Shareholders Doing?
Pzena Investment Management holds 27,091K shares representing 3.82% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 24,957K shares , representing an increase of 7.88%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 23.33% over the last quarter.
Capital Research Global Investors holds 26,230K shares representing 3.70% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 12,284K shares , representing an increase of 53.17%. The firm increased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 49.09% over the last quarter.
VTSMX - Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Investor Shares holds 22,709K shares representing 3.20% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 22,166K shares , representing an increase of 2.39%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 30.69% over the last quarter.
VFINX - Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares holds 20,065K shares representing 2.83% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 19,554K shares , representing an increase of 2.54%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 30.87% over the last quarter.
Geode Capital Management holds 18,004K shares representing 2.54% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 18,098K shares , representing a decrease of 0.52%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in DOW by 64.44% over the last quarter.
Fintel is one of the most comprehensive investing research platforms available to individual investors, traders, financial advisors, and small hedge funds.
Our data covers the world, and includes fundamentals, analyst reports, ownership data and fund sentiment, options sentiment, insider trading, options flow, unusual options trades, and much more. Additionally, our exclusive stock picks are powered by advanced, backtested quantitative models for improved profits.
This story originally appeared on Fintel.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

UBS Maintains Dow (DOW) Neutral Recommendation

Key Points
Domino's Pizza is a Michigan success story: the largest pizza company in the world.
The company has been growing revenue, earnings, and, crucially, same-store sales.
As an inexpensive chain, Domino's is likely to benefit from value-conscious consumers.
With a number of Michigan's top companies -- including Detroit automaker Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), chemical company Dow Inc. (NYSE: DOW), and appliance maker Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR) -- undergoing recent slumps, it's good to see a homegrown Michigan business thriving. That business is Domino's Pizza (NASDAQ: DPZ).
Headquartered outside Ann Arbor, where approximately 6,500 of its employees work, Domino's claims to be the largest pizza company in the world, with thousands of franchises across the U.S. and in more than 90 international markets.
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Here's why investments in this Michigan-based juggernaut could soon pay off for investors.
Serving up extra-large growth
Despite being a mature company, Domino's has been consistently growing. Over the past 10 years, it has increased its number of U.S. stores, its international footprint, its revenue, its profits, and its dividend. Some of its strongest growth occurred during the pandemic lockdown era as people ordered food in instead of going out to eat. However, unlike many other U.S. companies, Domino's managed to hang onto its pandemic-era revenue gains in the post-lockdown era.
Over the last 10 years, annual revenue has climbed 119% to $4.8 billion, while net income has grown 206% to $589.5 million. Free-cash-flow growth has been lumpier, but still is up 176% over the past decade to $631.5 million. That free cash flow helps fund the company's dividend, which has increased for each of the last 12 consecutive years, including a 25% increase in 2024. Management is expected to boost the payout again for 2026.
Domino's growth has even outperformed the overall U.S. pizza industry. Its same-store sales grew 5.2% in the U.S. in the most recent quarter. Rival Papa John's only saw its same-store sales grow 1.6% in its most recent quarter, and Pizza Hut's same-store sales actually declined by roughly 1% during the same period.
But Domino's isn't resting on its laurels. Earlier this month, the company unveiled a brand refresh -- its first in 13 years -- featuring a new logo, employee uniforms, pizza boxes, and signage. The chain even rolled out a short three-second jingle ("Dom-mmm!-mino's") by music artist Shaboozey, which is the first time the company has had a jingle in its 65-year history. Management has also indicated a willingness to offer deals to drive orders, like the "Best Deal Ever" that helped drive traffic in Q2.
Bang for the buck
Domino's is poised to succeed in a world where value-conscious consumers are looking to cut their budgets. A large Domino's pizza will feed a family of four, and currently costs $9.99 in many markets (including in Michigan). That's roughly the same cost as a McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) quarter-pounder extra value meal, which, of course, only feeds one person. It's hard to find any restaurant that can compete with Domino's on sheer volume of food for the money. And, of course, pizza is usually appealing to even the most finicky of eaters, making it an easy and popular choice for families.
Recent earnings results from various restaurant chains seem to bolster the thesis that restaurant customers are prioritizing value at present. Sit-down restaurant Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (NASDAQ: RRGB) reported lower guest traffic in Q2, and predicted comparable sales would decline 3% to 4% in the second half of the year. Same-store sales at Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) also slipped in Q2, by 4%. Meanwhile, comparable sales at McDonald's were up 2.5% in the U.S. If this trend continues in the near term, Domino's is likely to continue to benefit.
Even legendary investor Warren Buffett has apparently taken notice of Domino's strength in an uncertain economy. He's been loading up on shares of the pizza chain since Q3 2024 through his company Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) (NYSE: BRK.A), amassing more than 2.6 million shares. In Q2 2025, Buffett increased Berkshire's stake even further, buying 13,255 additional shares, bringing Berkshire's total stake in the company to a value of nearly $1.2 billion.
With excellent growth prospects and a solid dividend currently yielding 1.6%, Domino's looks like a Michigan company that's worth an investment.
Should you invest $1,000 in Domino's Pizza right now?
Before you buy stock in Domino's Pizza, consider this:
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John Bromels has positions in Berkshire Hathaway, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Dow, and Ford Motor Company. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway, Chipotle Mexican Grill, and Domino's Pizza. The Motley Fool recommends Whirlpool and recommends the following options: short December 2025 $45 calls on Chipotle Mexican Grill. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Why This Michigan-Based Company Could Be a Top Pick for Retail Investors

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Thursday closed up +0.58%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up +0.31%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up +0.88%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25) rose +0.58%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQZ25) rose up +0.90%.
Stock indexes settled higher on Thursday, led by strength in energy producers after WTI crude oil jumped more than +5% when the US blacklisted state-run Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, Russia’s largest oil producers, which threatens to tighten global oil supplies. Also, Dow Inc. rose more than +12% after reporting stronger-than-expected Q3 adjusted operating Ebitda. In addition, Honeywell International rose by more than +6% after reporting better-than-expected Q3 sales.
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Stocks also found support on Thursday’s US economic news that showed Sep existing home sales rose +1.5% m/m to a 7-month high of 4.06 million, right on expectations.
Stocks added to their gains Thursday afternoon as US-China trade tensions eased slightly when the White House confirmed that President Trump will meet directly with President Xi Jinping next Thursday on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea.
On the negative side, Molina Healthcare closed down more than -17% to lead health insurers lower after cutting its full-year adjusted EPS forecast. Also, Super Micro Computer (SMCI) closed down more than -8% after reporting weaker-than-expected Q1 preliminary sales.
Late Wednesday, the Trump administration announced sanctions on Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, Russia’s biggest oil producers, due to “Russia’s lack of serious commitment to a peace process to end the war in Ukraine.” The new sanctions could bar foreign countries or companies from conducting business with the oil companies and cut them off from much of the international financial system.
The markets are focusing on progress in US-China trade talks, as President Trump reiterated his threat on Monday to boost tariffs on Chinese goods “if there isn’t a deal” by November 1. President Trump is scheduled to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping next Thursday on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation conference in South Korea.
The US government shutdown continues into its fourth week, weighing on market sentiment and delaying key economic reports. The government shutdown is delaying the release of government reports, including the last four weeks of weekly initial unemployment claims and the September payroll report. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said the September consumer price report, which was initially scheduled to be released last Wednesday, will be released this Friday. The White House has warned that if the government shutdown lingers, it would trigger widespread dismissals of employees in government programs that don’t align with President Trump’s priorities. Bloomberg Economics estimates that 640,000 federal workers will be furloughed during the shutdown, which would expand jobless claims and push the unemployment rate up to 4.7%.
The markets this week will focus on earnings results as the Q3 earnings season continues. Rising corporate earnings expectations are a bullish backdrop for stocks. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, 85% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten forecasts, on course for the best quarter since 2021. Also, more than 22% of companies in the S&P 500 that have provided guidance for their Q3 earnings results are expected to beat analysts’ expectations, the highest in a year. However, Q3 profits are expected to have risen by +7.2% y/y, the smallest increase in two years. Also, Q3 sales growth is projected to slow to +5.9% y/y from 6.4% in Q2.
The markets are pricing in a 99% chance of a -25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on Oct 28-29.
Overseas stock markets settled mixed on Thursday. The Euro Stoxx 50 closed up +0.52%. China’s Shanghai Composite closed up +0.22%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 closed down -1.35%.
Interest Rates
December 10-year T-notes (ZNZ5) on Thursday closed down -10 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +4.4 bp to 3.993%. T-notes were under pressure on Thursday amid inflation concerns, as a +5% surge in WTI crude oil prices boosted inflation expectations and pushed the 10-year breakeven inflation rate to a 1-week high of 2.31%. Also, Thursday’s rally in stocks curbed safe-haven demand for T-notes.
T-notes have ongoing support due to the ongoing US government shutdown, which could lead to additional job losses, reduced consumer spending, and a weakened US economy, potentially allowing the Fed to continue cutting interest rates.
European government bond yields moved higher on Thursday. The 10-year German bund yield rose +2.0 bp to 2.583%. The 10-year UK gilt yield rose +0.6 bp to 4.423%.
The Eurozone Oct consumer confidence indicator survey unexpectedly rose +0.7 to an 8-month high of -14.2, stronger than expectations of a decline to -15.0.
Swaps are discounting a 1% chance for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at its next policy meeting on October 30.
US Stock Movers
Energy stocks and energy service providers moved higher on Thursday after the price of WTI crude oil surged more than +5% to a 2-week high. APA Corp (APA) closed up more than +7% and Valero Energy (VLO) closed up more than +6%. Also, Diamondback Energy (FANG), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Halliburton (HAL), Baker Hughes (BKR), Devon Energy (DVN), and Phillips 66 (PSX) closed up more than +3%. In addition, Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and ConocoPhillips (COP) closed up more than +2%.
Quantum-computing stocks rallied on Thursday after the Wall Street Journal reported that the firms are in talks to give the Commerce Department equity stakes in exchange for federal funding. As a result, IonQ (IONQ), Rigetti Computing (RGTI), D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), and Quantum Computing (QUBT) closed up more than +6%.
Molina Healthcare (MOH) closed down more than -17% to lead health insurers lower and losers in the S&P 500 after cutting its full-year adjusted EPS forecast to $14.00 from a previous estimate of $19.00, well below the consensus of $18.65. Also, Centene (CNC) closed down -5% and Oscar Health (OSCR) closed down more than -3%.
Dow Inc. (DOW) closed up more than +12% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 after reporting Q3 adjusted operating Ebitda of $868 million, well above the consensus of $759.7 million.
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) closed up more than +12% after reporting Q3 net revenue of $3.33 billion, above the consensus of $3.04 billion.
West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) closed up more than +10% after raising its full-year adjusted EPS estimate to $7.06-$7.11 from a previous forecast of $6.65-$6.85.
Dover Corp (DOV) closed up more than +8% after boosting its full-year adjusted EPS continuing operations estimate to $9.50-$9.60 from a previous estimate of $9.35-$9.55.
Honeywell International (HON) closed up more than +6% to lead gainers in the Dow Jones Industrials and Nasdaq 100 after reporting Q3 sales of $10.41 billion, stronger than the consensus of $10.15 billion.
TransUnion (TRU) closed up more than +3% after reporting Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.10, better than the consensus of $1.05.
Trucking companies moved lower Thursday, led by a -7% fall in Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) after it forecasted Q4 adjusted EPS of 34 cents to 40 cents, the midpoint below the consensus of 39 cents. Saia Inc (SAIA) closed down more than -5% on the news, and Schneider National (SNDR) and Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) closed down more than -3%.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) closed down more than -8% after reporting Q1 preliminary sales of $5.00 billion, well below the consensus of $6.49 billion.
Southwest Airlines (LUV) closed down by more than -6% after reporting Q3 operating revenue of $6.90 billion, below the consensus of $6.92 billion.
Roper Technologies (ROP) closed down more than -5% to lead losers in the Nasdaq 100 after forecasting Q4 adjusted EPS from continuing operations $5.11 to $5.16, weaker than the consensus of $5.24.
T-Mobile US (TMUS) closed down more than -3% after reporting Q3 revenue of $21.96 billion, weaker than the consensus of $21.98 billion.
Moderna (MRNA) closed down more than -2% after saying its vaccine to prevent cytomegalovirus, a common cause of birth defects, failed to meet its goal in a late-stage trial.
Earnings Reports(10/24/2025)
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Co (BAH), First Hawaiian Inc (FHB), General Dynamics Corp (GD), Gentex Corp (GNTX), HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA), Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW), Procter & Gamble Co/The (PG).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Rally on Strength in Energy Shares and US-China Trade Hopes

Looking at options trading activity among components of the S&P 500 index, there is noteworthy activity today in United Rentals Inc (Symbol: URI), where a total volume of 3,361 contracts has been traded thus far today, a contract volume which is representative of approximately 336,100 underlying shares (given that every 1 contract represents 100 underlying shares). That number works out to 85.4% of URI's average daily trading volume over the past month, of 393,595 shares. Particularly high volume was seen for the $840 strike put option expiring November 21, 2025, with 260 contracts trading so far today, representing approximately 26,000 underlying shares of URI. Below is a chart showing URI's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $840 strike highlighted in orange:
Las Vegas Sands Corp (Symbol: LVS) options are showing a volume of 39,657 contracts thus far today. That number of contracts represents approximately 4.0 million underlying shares, working out to a sizeable 73.6% of LVS's average daily trading volume over the past month, of 5.4 million shares. Especially high volume was seen for the $55 strike call option expiring October 24, 2025, with 2,224 contracts trading so far today, representing approximately 222,400 underlying shares of LVS. Below is a chart showing LVS's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $55 strike highlighted in orange:
And Dow Inc (Symbol: DOW) saw options trading volume of 69,251 contracts, representing approximately 6.9 million underlying shares or approximately 54.8% of DOW's average daily trading volume over the past month, of 12.6 million shares. Especially high volume was seen for the $25 strike call option expiring October 24, 2025, with 5,756 contracts trading so far today, representing approximately 575,600 underlying shares of DOW. Below is a chart showing DOW's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $25 strike highlighted in orange:
For the various different available expirations for URI options, LVS options, or DOW options, visit StockOptionsChannel.com.
Also see:
ETFs Holding EWBC
Funds Holding CCX
Institutional Holders of ETO
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Noteworthy Thursday Option Activity: URI, LVS, DOW

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +0.38%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +0.12%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +0.61%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25) are up +0.34%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQZ25) are up +0.59%.
Stock indexes are moving higher today, led by strength in energy producers after WTI crude oil jumped more than +5% when the US blacklisted state-run Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, Russia’s largest oil producers, which threatens to tighten global oil supplies. Also, Dow Inc. is up more than +8% after reporting stronger-than-expected Q3 adjusted operating Ebitda. In addition, Honeywell International is up more than +7% after reporting better-than-expected Q3 sales.
Join 200K+ Subscribers: Find out why the midday Barchart Brief newsletter is a must-read for thousands daily.
Stocks also found support on today’s US economic news that showed Sep existing home sales rose +1.5% m/m to a 7-month high of 4.06 million, right on expectations.
On the negative side, Molina Healthcare is down more than -20% to lead health insurers lower after cutting its full-year adjusted EPS forecast. Also, International Business Machines is down more than -4% after reporting a smaller-than-expected increase in its Q3 hybrid cloud unit. In addition, Tesla is down more than -3% after reporting Q3 EPS below consensus.
Late Wednesday, the Trump administration announced sanctions on Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, Russia’s biggest oil producers, due to “Russia’s lack of serious commitment to a peace process to end the war in Ukraine.” The new sanctions could bar foreign countries or companies from conducting business with the oil companies and cut them off from much of the international financial system.
The markets are focusing on progress in US-China trade talks, as President Trump reiterated his threat on Monday to boost tariffs on Chinese goods “if there isn’t a deal” by November 1. President Trump is scheduled to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping next week on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation conference in South Korea.
The shutdown of the US government continues into its fourth week, weighing on market sentiment and delaying key economic reports. The government shutdown means delays in the release of government reports, including the last four weeks of weekly initial unemployment claims and the September payroll report. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said the September consumer price report, which was initially scheduled to be released last Wednesday, will be released this Friday. The White House has warned that if the government shutdown lingers, it would trigger widespread dismissals of employees in government programs that don’t align with President Trump’s priorities. Bloomberg Economics estimates that 640,000 federal workers will be furloughed during the shutdown, which would expand jobless claims and push the unemployment rate up to 4.7%.
The markets this week will focus on earnings results as the Q3 earnings season continues. Rising corporate earnings expectations are a bullish backdrop for stocks. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, 85% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten forecasts, on course for the best quarter since 2021. Also, more than 22% of companies in the S&P 500 that have provided guidance for their Q3 earnings results are expected to beat analysts’ expectations, the highest in a year. However, Q3 profits are expected to have risen by +7.2% y/y, the smallest increase in two years. Also, Q3 sales growth is projected to slow to +5.9% y/y from 6.4% in Q2.
The markets are pricing in a 99% chance of a -25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on Oct 28-29.
Overseas stock markets are mixed today. The Euro Stoxx 50 is up +0.44%. China’s Shanghai Composite closed up +0.22%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 closed down -1.35%.
Interest Rates
December 10-year T-notes (ZNZ5) today are down -7 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is up +3.2 bp to 3.982%. T-notes are under pressure today amid inflation concerns, as a +5% surge in WTI crude oil prices has boosted inflation expectations and pushed the 10-year breakeven inflation rate to a 1-week high of 2.309%. Also, supply pressures are negative for T-notes as the Treasury will auction $26 billion of 5-year TIPS later today.
T-notes have ongoing support due to the ongoing US government shutdown, which could lead to additional job losses, reduced consumer spending, and a weakened US economy, potentially allowing the Fed to continue cutting interest rates.
European government bond yields are mixed today. The 10-year German bund yield is up +1.6 bp to 2.579%. The 10-year UK gilt yield is down -0.5 bp to 4.413%.
The Eurozone Oct consumer confidence indicator survey unexpectedly rose +0.7 to an 8-month high of -14.2, stronger than expectations of a decline to -15.0.
Swaps are discounting a 1% chance for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at its next policy meeting on October 30.
US Stock Movers
Energy stocks and energy service providers are climbing today, with the price of WTI crude oil up more than +5% at a 2-week high. Valero Energy (VLO) is up more than +7% and APA Corp (APA) is up more than +6%. Also, Diamondback Energy (FANG) is up more than +4%, and Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is up more than +3%. In addition, Devon Energy (DVN), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), ConocoPhillips (COP), Halliburton (HAL), Phillips 66 (PSX), and Baker Hughes (BKR) are up more than +2%.
Quantum-computing stocks are rallying today after the Wall Street Journal reported that the firms are in talks to give the Commerce Department equity stakes in exchange for federal funding. As a result, IonQ (IONQ), Rigetti Computing (RGTI), D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), and Quantum Computing (QUBT) are up more than +9%.
Molina Healthcare (MOH) is down more than -20% to lead health insurers lower and losers in the S&P 500 after cutting its full-year adjusted EPS forecast to $14.00 from a previous estimate of $19.00, well below the consensus of $18.65. Also, Centene (CNC) and Oscar Health (OSCR) are down more than -6%. In addition, United Health Services (UHS) and UnitedHealth Group (UNH) are down more than -1%.
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) is up more than +12% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 after reporting Q3 net revenue of $3.33 billion, above he consensus of $3.04 billion.
West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) is up more than +11% after raising its full-year adjusted EPS estimate to $7.06-$7.11 from a previous forecast of $6.65-$6.85.
Dow Inc. (DOW) is up more than +9% after reporting Q3 adjusted operating Ebitda of $868 million, well above the consensus of $759.7 million.
Honeywell International (HON) is up more than +6% to lead gainers in the Dow Jones Industrials and Nasdaq 100 after reporting Q3 sales of $10.41 billion, stronger than the consensus of $10.15 billion.
TransUnion (TRU) is up more than +3% after reporting Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.10, better than the consensus of $1.05.
CME Group (CME) is up more than +1% after Deutsche Bank upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $300.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is down more than -7% after reporting Q1 preliminary sales of $5.00 billion, well below the consensus of $6.49 billion.
Roper Technologies (ROP) is down more than -6% to lead losers in the Nasdaq 100 after forecasting Q4 adjusted EPS from continuing operations $5.11 to $5.16, weaker than the consensus of $5.24.
Southwest Airlines (LUV) is down by more than -6% after reporting Q3 operating revenue of $6.90 billion, below the consensus of $6.92 billion.
International Business Machines (IBM) is down more than -3% to lead losers in the Dow Jones Industrials after reporting a +14% increase in its Q3 hybrid cloud unit, below the consensus of +16%.
Tesla (TSLA) is down more than -2% after reporting Q3 EPS of 50 cents, weaker than the consensus of 54 cents.
T-Mobile US (TMUS) is down more than -3% after reporting Q3 revenue of $21.96 billion, weaker than the consensus of $21.98 billion.
Moderna (MRNA) is down more than -1% after saying its vaccine to prevent cytomegalovirus, a common cause of birth defects, failed to meet its goal in a late-stage trial.
Earnings Reports(10/23/2025)
Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK), Allegion plc (ALLE), American Airlines Group Inc (AAL), AutoNation Inc (AN), Baker Hughes Co (BKR), Blackstone Inc (BX), Boston Beer Co Inc/The (SAM), Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD), Brunswick Corp/DE (BC), Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS), CBRE Group Inc (CBRE), CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP), Comfort Systems USA Inc (FIX), Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR), Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK), Digital Realty Trust Inc (DLR), Dover Corp (DOV), Dow Inc (DOW), EastGroup Properties Inc (EGP), Euronet Worldwide Inc (EEFT), First Citizens BancShares Inc/ (FCNCA), Ford Motor Co (F), Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX), FTI Consulting Inc (FCN), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Healthpeak Properties Inc (DOC), Honeywell International Inc (HON), Intel Corp (INTC), Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM), Kinsale Capital Group Inc (KNSL), Lazard Inc (LAZ), Millrose Properties Inc (MRP), Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK), MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM), Newmont Corp (NEM), Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC), Old Republic International Cor (ORI), PG&E Corp (PCG), Pool Corp (POOL), Popular Inc (BPOP), Roper Technologies Inc (ROP), Ryder System Inc (R), SLM Corp (SLM), Spirit AeroSystems Holdings In (SPR), SS&C Technologies Holdings Inc (SSNC), TechnipFMC PLC (FTI), Textron Inc (TXT), T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS), Tractor Supply Co (TSCO), TransUnion (TRU), Union Pacific Corp (UNP), Valero Energy Corp (VLO), VeriSign Inc (VRSN), West Pharmaceutical Services Inc (WST), Western Union Co/The (WU).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Supported by Strength in Energy Producers and Earnings

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +0.32%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +0.18%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +0.33%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25) are up +0.35%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQZ25) are up +0.35%.
Stock indexes are moving higher today, led by strength in energy producers after WTI crude oil jumped more than +5% when the US blacklisted state-run Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, Russia's largest oil producers, which threatens to tighten global oil supplies. Also, Dow Inc. is up more than +11% after reporting stronger-than-expected Q3 adjusted operating Ebitda. In addition, Honeywell International is up more than +5% after reporting better-than-expected Q3 sales.
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On the negative side, Molina Healthcare is down more than -20% to lead health insurers lower after cutting its full-year adjusted EPS forecast. Also, International Business Machines is down more than -4% after reporting a smaller-than-expected increase in its Q3 hybrid cloud unit. In addition, Tesla is down more than -3% after reporting Q3 EPS below consensus.
Late Wednesday, the Trump administration announced sanctions on Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, Russia's biggest oil producers, due to "Russia's lack of serious commitment to a peace process to end the war in Ukraine." The new sanctions could bar foreign countries or companies from conducting business with the oil companies and cut them off from much of the international financial system.
The markets are focusing on progress in US-China trade talks, as President Trump reiterated his threat on Monday to boost tariffs on Chinese goods "if there isn't a deal" by November 1. President Trump is scheduled to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping next week on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation conference in South Korea.
The shutdown of the US government continues into its fourth week, weighing on market sentiment and delaying key economic reports. The government shutdown means delays in the release of government reports, including the last four weeks of weekly initial unemployment claims and the September payroll report. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said the September consumer price report, which was initially scheduled to be released last Wednesday, will be released this Friday. The White House has warned that if the government shutdown lingers, it would trigger widespread dismissals of employees in government programs that don't align with President Trump's priorities. Bloomberg Economics estimates that 640,000 federal workers will be furloughed during the shutdown, which would expand jobless claims and push the unemployment rate up to 4.7%.
The markets this week will focus on earnings results as the Q3 earnings season continues. Rising corporate earnings expectations are a bullish backdrop for stocks. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, 85% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten forecasts, on course for the best quarter since 2021. Also, more than 22% of companies in the S&P 500 that have provided guidance for their Q3 earnings results are expected to beat analysts' expectations, the highest in a year. However, Q3 profits are expected to have risen by +7.2% y/y, the smallest increase in two years. Also, Q3 sales growth is projected to slow to +5.9% y/y from 6.4% in Q2.
The markets are pricing in a 99% chance of a -25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on Oct 28-29.
Overseas stock markets are mixed today. The Euro Stoxx 50 is up +0.17%. China's Shanghai Composite closed up +0.22%. Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 closed down -1.35%.
Interest Rates
December 10-year T-notes (ZNZ5) today are down -8 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is up +3.4 bp to 3.984%. T-notes are under pressure today due to inflation concerns, as a +5% surge in WTI crude oil prices has boosted inflation expectations and pushed the 10-year breakeven inflation rate up to a 1-week high of 2.309%. Also, supply pressures are negative for T-notes as the Treasury will auction $26 billion of 5-year TIPS later today.
T-notes have ongoing support due to the ongoing US government shutdown, which could lead to additional job losses, reduced consumer spending, and a weakened US economy, potentially allowing the Fed to continue cutting interest rates.
European government bond yields are moving higher today. The 10-year German bund yield is up +1.6 bp to 2.579%. The 10-year UK gilt yield is up +0.8 bp to 4.425%.
Swaps are discounting a 1% chance for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at its next policy meeting on October 30.
US Stock Movers
Energy stocks and energy service providers are climbing today, with the price of WTI crude oil up more than +5% at a 2-week high. APA Corp (APA) is up more than +6% and Valero Energy (VLO) is up more than +5%. Also, Diamondback Energy (FANG) and Devon Energy (DVN) are up more than +4%, and Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and ConocoPhillips (COP) are up more than +3%. In addition, Halliburton (HAL), Phillips 66 (PSX), and Baker Hughes (BKR) are up more than +2%.
Quantum-computing stocks are rallying today after the Wall Street Journal reported that the firms are in talks to give the Commerce Department equity stakes in exchange for federal funding. As a result, IonQ (IONQ), Rigetti Computing (RGTI), D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), and Quantum Computing (QUBT) are up more than +6%.
Molina Healthcare (MOH) is down more than -20% to lead health insurers lower and losers in the S&P 500 after cutting its full-year adjusted EPS forecast to $14.00 from a previous estimate of $19.00, well below the consensus of $18.65. Also, Centene (CNC) and Oscar Health (OSCR) are down more than -7%. In addition, Humana (HUM) is down -2%, and Elevance Health (ELV), United Health Services (UHS), and UnitedHealth Group (UNH) are down more than -1%.
West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) is up more than +12% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 after raising its full-year adjusted EPS estimate to $7.06-$7.11 from a previous forecast of $6.65-$6.85.
Dow Inc. (DOW) is up more than +11% after reporting Q3 adjusted operating Ebitda of $868 million, well above the consensus of $759.7 million.
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) is up more than +9% after reporting Q3 net revenue of $3.33 billion, above he consensus of $3.04 billion.
Honeywell International (HON) is up more than +5% to lead gainers in the Dow Jones Industrials and Nasdaq 100 after reporting Q3 sales of $10.41 billion, stronger than the consensus of $10.15 billion.
TransUnion (TRU) is up more than +3% after reporting Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.10, better than the consensus of $1.05.
CME Group (CME) is up more than +1% after Deutsche Bank upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $300.
Roper Technologies (ROP) is down more than -7% to lead losers in the Nasdaq 100 after forecasting Q4 adjusted EPS from continuing operations $5.11 to $5.16, weaker than the consensus of $5.24.
International Business Machines (IBM) is down more than -4% to lead losers in the Dow Jones Industrials after reporting a +14% increase in its Q3 hybrid cloud unit, below the consensus of +16%.
Tesla (TSLA) is down more than -3% after reporting Q3 EPS of 50 cents, weaker than the consensus of 54 cents.
Southwest Airlines (LUV) is down by more than -3% after reporting Q3 operating revenue of $6.90 billion, below the consensus of $6.92 billion.
Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) is down more than -3% after narrowing its full-year comparable sales forecast to +1.4% to +2.4% from a previous forecast of 0% to +4.0%.
Packaging Corp (PKG) is down more than -1% after reporting Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.73, below the consensus of $2.82.
Moderna (MRNA) is down more than -4% after saying its vaccine to prevent cytomegalovirus, a common cause of birth defects, failed to meet its goal in a late-stage trial.
Earnings Reports(10/23/2025)
Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK), Allegion plc (ALLE), American Airlines Group Inc (AAL), AutoNation Inc (AN), Baker Hughes Co (BKR), Blackstone Inc (BX), Boston Beer Co Inc/The (SAM), Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD), Brunswick Corp/DE (BC), Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS), CBRE Group Inc (CBRE), CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP), Comfort Systems USA Inc (FIX), Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR), Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK), Digital Realty Trust Inc (DLR), Dover Corp (DOV), Dow Inc (DOW), EastGroup Properties Inc (EGP), Euronet Worldwide Inc (EEFT), First Citizens BancShares Inc/ (FCNCA), Ford Motor Co (F), Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX), FTI Consulting Inc (FCN), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Healthpeak Properties Inc (DOC), Honeywell International Inc (HON), Intel Corp (INTC), Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM), Kinsale Capital Group Inc (KNSL), Lazard Inc (LAZ), Millrose Properties Inc (MRP), Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK), MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM), Newmont Corp (NEM), Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC), Old Republic International Cor (ORI), PG&E Corp (PCG), Pool Corp (POOL), Popular Inc (BPOP), Roper Technologies Inc (ROP), Ryder System Inc (R), SLM Corp (SLM), Spirit AeroSystems Holdings In (SPR), SS&C Technologies Holdings Inc (SSNC), TechnipFMC PLC (FTI), Textron Inc (TXT), T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS), Tractor Supply Co (TSCO), TransUnion (TRU), Union Pacific Corp (UNP), Valero Energy Corp (VLO), VeriSign Inc (VRSN), West Pharmaceutical Services Inc (WST), Western Union Co/The (WU).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Climb on Strength in Energy Producers

Investors in Dow Inc (Symbol: DOW) saw new options begin trading today, for the December 5th expiration. At Stock Options Channel, our YieldBoost formula has looked up and down the DOW options chain for the new December 5th contracts and identified one put and one call contract of particular interest.
The put contract at the $23.50 strike price has a current bid of 80 cents. If an investor was to sell-to-open that put contract, they are committing to purchase the stock at $23.50, but will also collect the premium, putting the cost basis of the shares at $22.70 (before broker commissions). To an investor already interested in purchasing shares of DOW, that could represent an attractive alternative to paying $23.62/share today.
Because the $23.50 strike represents an approximate 1% discount to the current trading price of the stock (in other words it is out-of-the-money by that percentage), there is also the possibility that the put contract would expire worthless. The current analytical data (including greeks and implied greeks) suggest the current odds of that happening are 58%. Stock Options Channel will track those odds over time to see how they change, publishing a chart of those numbers on our website under the contract detail page for this contract. Should the contract expire worthless, the premium would represent a 3.40% return on the cash commitment, or 28.87% annualized — at Stock Options Channel we call this the YieldBoost.
Below is a chart showing the trailing twelve month trading history for Dow Inc, and highlighting in green where the $23.50 strike is located relative to that history:
Turning to the calls side of the option chain, the call contract at the $26.50 strike price has a current bid of 52 cents. If an investor was to purchase shares of DOW stock at the current price level of $23.62/share, and then sell-to-open that call contract as a "covered call," they are committing to sell the stock at $26.50. Considering the call seller will also collect the premium, that would drive a total return (excluding dividends, if any) of 14.39% if the stock gets called away at the December 5th expiration (before broker commissions). Of course, a lot of upside could potentially be left on the table if DOW shares really soar, which is why looking at the trailing twelve month trading history for Dow Inc, as well as studying the business fundamentals becomes important. Below is a chart showing DOW's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $26.50 strike highlighted in red:
Considering the fact that the $26.50 strike represents an approximate 12% premium to the current trading price of the stock (in other words it is out-of-the-money by that percentage), there is also the possibility that the covered call contract would expire worthless, in which case the investor would keep both their shares of stock and the premium collected. The current analytical data (including greeks and implied greeks) suggest the current odds of that happening are 68%. On our website under the contract detail page for this contract, Stock Options Channel will track those odds over time to see how they change and publish a chart of those numbers (the trading history of the option contract will also be charted). Should the covered call contract expire worthless, the premium would represent a 2.20% boost of extra return to the investor, or 18.67% annualized, which we refer to as the YieldBoost.
The implied volatility in the put contract example is 73%, while the implied volatility in the call contract example is 52%.
Meanwhile, we calculate the actual trailing twelve month volatility (considering the last 250 trading day closing values as well as today's price of $23.62) to be 47%. For more put and call options contract ideas worth looking at, visit StockOptionsChannel.com.
Also see:
Top Ten Hedge Funds Holding HGR
RMCO market cap history
ETFs Holding CPL
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Interesting DOW Put And Call Options For December 5th

In early trading on Thursday, shares of West Pharmaceutical Services topped the list of the day's best performing components of the S&P 500 index, trading up 15.5%. Year to date, West Pharmaceutical Services, has lost about 2.3% of its value.
And the worst performing S&P 500 component thus far on the day is Molina Healthcare, trading down 20.8%. Molina Healthcare is lower by about 46.9% looking at the year to date performance.
Two other components making moves today are Roper Technologies, trading down 9.1%, and Dow, trading up 10.7% on the day.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Dow Inc.

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