Airbnb, Inc.

Сильный индекс, значительно упал. Быки в растерянности.

Strong index, significantly down. The bulls are confused.

Слабый индекс, значительно упал. Медведи сохранили, но резко ослабили уверенность в своих позициях.

Weak index, significantly down. The bears retained but sharply weakened their confidence in their positions.

Сильный индекс, значительно вырос. Рынок на стороне быков.

Strong index, significantly up. The market is on the bulls' side.

Средний индекс, незначительно вырос. Приток средств в лонги остается положительным.

Medium index, slightly up. The inflow of funds into longs remains positive.

Сильный индекс, без изменений. Приток средств в шорты на высоком уровне.

Strong index, flat. Inflow of funds into shorts at a high level.

Key Points
Airbnb maintains a unique market position with a vast network of 5.5 million hosts and deep brand recognition.
Booking Holdings continues to dominate the broader travel market through its massive scale and diversified multi-brand ecosystem.
Which travel giant is the better fit for your portfolio in the current market environment?
As global travel evolves, investors are weighing the unique peer-to-peer model of Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) against the diversified scale of Booking (NASDAQ:BKNG). Which one offers the better path for your capital?
Airbnb transformed the industry by making home-sharing a global standard, focusing on community and unique experiences. Booking operates as a titan of the travel sector, managing a massive portfolio of brands including Booking.com and Priceline. This comparison evaluates their financial health and market position to help you decide.
The case for Airbnb
Airbnb operates a two-sided global marketplace that has become a staple of travel and tourism stocks for many investors. The company connects over 5.5 million hosts with guests across 150,000 cities, relying on a vast network of third-party payment providers to facilitate global transactions. A recent office acquisition in Manhattan for nearly $81.5 million signals its continued commitment to maintaining a robust operational infrastructure.
In FY 2025, revenue reached nearly $12.2 billion, representing roughly 10.3% year-over-year growth. The company reported a net income of close to $2.5 billion, resulting in a net margin of approximately 20.5%. This reflects a slight decrease from the net margin of nearly 23.9% achieved during the previous fiscal year.
As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio was nearly 0.3x, measuring total debt against shareholder equity, and the current ratio was roughly 1.4x. Free cash flow reached close to $4.6 billion in FY 2025, which represents cash from operations after subtracting capital expenditures.
The case for Booking
Booking employs a multi-brand strategy through platforms like Booking.com, Priceline, and Agoda to capture a wide range of travelers globally. The company announced a strategic partnership in June 2026 with The Trade Desk to enhance its data-driven advertising capabilities across its ecosystem. This expansive network supported approximately 1.2 billion room nights booked in 2025.
In FY 2025, revenue reached nearly $26.9 billion, representing growth of roughly 13.4% over the previous year. The company generated a net income of close to $5.4 billion during this period. This performance resulted in a net margin of approximately 20.1%, which demonstrates consistent profitability even at its massive scale.
As of the December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio was nearly -3.5x, indicating that total liabilities exceed shareholder equity. The current ratio, which compares short-term assets to short-term liabilities, was approximately 1.3x. Free cash flow for FY 2025 was close to $9.1 billion, reflecting the significant cash available for the business after accounting for capital expenditures.
Risk profile comparison
Regulatory headwinds in New York City and upcoming European Union regulations create significant compliance challenges for Airbnb. The rise of generative artificial intelligence tools from competitors could also lead to higher customer acquisition costs if the platform is disintermediated. Additionally, the company carries debt obligations like its 2026 Notes that require disciplined financial management to maintain liquidity.
Competition from Alphabet and other tech platforms remains a primary risk as they may prioritize their own travel products over external links. Compliance with the Digital Markets Act adds operational costs and regulatory scrutiny to the multi-brand platform strategy used by Booking. Furthermore, global travel demand remains highly sensitive to economic volatility and geopolitical tensions, which can impact bookings abruptly.
Valuation comparison
While Airbnb carries a higher Forward P/E and P/S ratio, Booking offers a more modest valuation for investors seeking exposure to the travel industry.
Metric
Airbnb
Booking
Forward P/E
30.0x
19.3x
P/S ratio
7.4x
5.8x
Valuation metrics sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from other data providers.
Which stock would I buy in 2026?
I'd go with Airbnb. Booking Holdings is a formidable business that operates across more than 200 countries, continues to beat earnings estimates, and is returning enormous amounts of cash to shareholders. For investors who want steady, profitable exposure to global travel, it checks a lot of boxes.
But the stock has had a rough year, weighed down by geopolitical headwinds and a more cautious revenue outlook than investors expected. Although these aren't permanent problems, they're creating a cloud over the near-term story.
Airbnb, by contrast, is firing on all cylinders. Revenue growth is accelerating while bookings are climbing. Management just raised its full-year outlook after a strong quarter. And I like that the company is expanding into experiences, hotels, and AI-driven features that could really broaden what the platform offers travelers. Partnering with Delta is another creative move that brings in new users through a loyalty channel Booking doesn't have.
Airbnb has a younger, more focused platform with a sharper growth trajectory right now. For a long-term investor, that's the more exciting travel bet.
Should you buy stock in Airbnb right now?
Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $390,394!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,209,184!*
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*Stock Advisor returns as of July 29, 2026.
Sara Appino has positions in Airbnb. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb, Alphabet, Booking Holdings, and The Trade Desk. The Motley Fool recommends Delta Air Lines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Airbnb vs. Booking: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Key Points
SpaceX values its total addressable market at $28.5 billion, and it attributes most of that sum to AI products and services.
Wall Street says SpaceX's sales will grow at 102% annually through 2028; that makes the current valuation of 78 times sales tolerable.
Among the 10 largest U.S. IPOs in the past decade, the average stock returned 24% during its first year on the public market.
Elon Musk's Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) completed its historic initial public offering (IPO) on Friday, June 12. The rocket and satellite company raised a record $75 billion at an unprecedented market value of $1.7 trillion.
SpaceX stock is down 42% from its post-IPO high, partly because some insiders will be allowed to sell shares two days after the company reports second-quarter financial results on August 4. But a rich valuation, debt issuance, and launch delays have also factored into the decline.
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Nevertheless, Wall Street is overwhelmingly bullish. Among 37 analysts, SpaceX has a median target of $225 per share, implying 96% upside from its current share price of $115. My prediction is a little more conservative: I think SpaceX will trade at $167 per share by June 2027.
Here's why.
SpaceX is chasing a $26.5 trillion opportunity in AI products and services
SpaceX is a vertically integrated business that designs hardware and software across three operating segments: space, connectivity, and artificial intelligence. The company has a key competitive advantage in reusable rockets, which dramatically reduce launch costs. That economic moat has helped SpaceX build Starlink, the largest satellite internet service in the world.
SpaceX also runs two Colossus data centers, which collectively form the largest AI training cluster on the planet. Using its low-cost launch capabilities, massive satellite network, and AI expertise, the company plans to provide AI cloud services from orbital (space-based) data centers. Solar power and cold temperatures could solve the energy and cooling problems that limit terrestrial data centers.
"We believe we are the only company with a commercially viable path to building orbital AI compute at scale," SpaceX explains its SEC Form S-1. The company values its addressable market at $28.5 billion, and the vast majority of that sum ($26.5 trillion) is attributed to AI products and services.
Wall Street says SpaceX's revenue will grow at 102% annually through 2028
In the first quarter, SpaceX reported a net loss of $4.2 billion, but the company has plenty of cash on its balance sheet after raising $75 billion from its initial public offering (IPO) and AI revenue is likely to grow quickly in the quarters ahead. Anthropic and Alphabet have agreed to rent cloud capacity from SpaceX for monthly fees of $1.25 billion and $920 million, respectively.
SpaceX brought in revenue of $19.3 billion in the past year, and the company currently has a market value of $1.5 trillion as of July 25. Those figures give SpaceX a price-to-sales ratio of 78. That would be a very rich valuation in almost any circumstance, but it's tolerable here because Wall Street estimates sales will increase at 102% annually through 2028. In other words, SpaceX currently trades at about 11 times projected sales for 2028.
History says SpaceX's stock price will increase 45% by June 2027
SpaceX had a market capitalization of $1.7 trillion at its IPO price of $135 per share. That made it the largest IPO in history by a wide margin. There is no perfect comparison, but we can look at how other large IPOs have performed to make an educated guess about where SpaceX is headed.
The following chart shows the 10 largest U.S. IPOs (as measured by market value at the IPO price) between 2016 and 2025. It also details how those stocks performed during their first year on the market.
IPO Stock
1-Year Return (Post-IPO)
Uber Technologies
(27%)
Airbnb
284%
Rivian Automotive
(58%)
Coinbase Global
(41%)
Venture Global
(60%)
Roblox
(8%)
DoorDash
62%
Rocket Companies
(3%)
Snowflake
170%
Robinhood Markets
(76%)
Average
24%
Among the 10 largest U.S. IPOs in history, the average stock returned 24% during its first year on the public market. If SpaceX follows that trajectory, the stock will trade at $167 per share in June 2027. That implies 45% upside from the current share price of $115.
I think $167 per share is a sensible forecast. It implies a market value of $2.1 trillion, which means the stock would trade at 30 times projected sales for 2027. That is not cheap, but it is much cheaper than the current valuation.
More importantly, even if I am wrong about SpaceX reaching $167 per share by June 2027, I think patient investors who buy the stock today will outperform the S&P 500 over the next five years. I would start with a small position and add shares if the stock continues to move lower.
Should you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies right now?
Before you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Space Exploration Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $377,990!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,269,518!*
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*Stock Advisor returns as of July 27, 2026.
Trevor Jennewine has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb, Alphabet, BlackRock, DoorDash, Roblox, Rocket Companies, Snowflake, and Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends Coinbase Global. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Prediction: This Will Be SpaceX's Stock Price by June 2027 (Hint: It's Time to Buy)

Key Points
Airbnb's brand and network effect are traits rivals can't copy.
The company's innovative culture continuously improves the experience for hosts and guests.
Given analyst forecasts for profit growth, the current valuation is compelling.
Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) is a leading enterprise that was propelled by the mobile internet wave. Consequently, it's viewed as a major success story in the technology space, thanks to its disruption of the hospitality industry.
This business is always in the spotlight. That attention is warranted. And investors should take a closer look at Airbnb.
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Here are three reasons why this travel stock is a smart buy right now.
There's a durable competitive advantage
With 5.5 million hosts listing 9 million properties worldwide and 2.5 billion all-time guest arrivals, Airbnb has built a massive two-sided network effect. This setup makes the business incredibly difficult to disrupt. And the platform is positioned to boost its value proposition over time, as the number of hosts/listings and bookings increases.
Airbnb's brand has also become a key contributor to its success. The company name is so widely recognized that it's used interchangeably as a verb. This is a clear indicator of the mindshare Airbnb has among travelers and hosts.
This shows up in the data. According to the S-1 filing, direct and unpaid channels represented a whopping 91% of traffic that came to the site in the first nine months of 2020. I suspect this trend is still true today. This is tremendous brand awareness that can support lower marketing expenses.
Innovation is a strategic priority
Last summer, Airbnb refreshed its platform to include experiences and services. The leadership team's goal is clear, which is to make this a comprehensive travel tool.
The innovation pipeline is still robust. In May, the business introduced new services like car rentals and airport pickups. And it launched new experiences, such as behind-the-scenes access to chefs and expert-led landmark tours.
As a tech-forward company, it's no surprise that Airbnb is leaning into artificial intelligence capabilities. This technology is already being used to improve customer support and to highlight reviews based on what travelers care about most.
At the end of the day, Airbnb's success is a direct result of its intense focus on improving the experience for both hosts and guests.
Value is what you get
Investors might be surprised to learn that this stock has been basically flat over the past five years. However, the next half-decade could be much better.
The stock's valuation is compelling. Airbnb trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26.9. On the one hand, this is a notable premium to the S&P 500 index.
But the upside is meaningful. According to consensus analyst estimates, Airbnb's diluted earnings per share will grow at a compound annual rate of 21% from 2025 to 2028. This is exactly the tailwind that can reward investors in the coming years.
Should you buy stock in Airbnb right now?
Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $377,990!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,269,518!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 896% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 206% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of July 26, 2026.
Neil Patel has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Airbnb Is in the Spotlight for All the Right Reasons. Here's Why It's a Buy Now.

Key Points
The director sold ~237,000 shares across multiple transactions at a weighted average price of $150.17 per share.
The disposition represented 10% of the insider's total equity holdings in the company.
The transactions were executed indirectly through the Sycamore Trust, which retains ~2.1 million shares.
The activity was completed under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted by the insider on Feb. 27, 2026.
Joseph Gebbia, a Director at Airbnb, Inc. (NASDAQ:ABNB), sold 236,601 shares of Class A Common Stock on July 15, 2026, and July 16, 2026, for a total transaction value of $35.5 million, according to this SEC Form 4 filing.
Transaction summary
Transaction value
$35.5 million
Shares sold (indirectly held)
236,601
Post-transaction shares
2,096,256
Post-transaction shares (directly held)
2,738
Post-transaction shares (indirectly held)
2,093,518
Post-transaction value
$309.83 million
Transaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($150.17); post-transaction value based on July 16, 2026, market close ($147.80).
Key questions
What was the primary mechanism for this disposition?
The sale was executed according to a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan established on Feb. 27, 2026. These plans allow insiders to schedule stock trades in advance to mitigate concerns regarding the use of material non-public information.
How does this affect Joseph Gebbia's remaining exposure?
Following the sale of ~237,000 shares, the director continues to hold ~2.1 million shares. The vast majority of these holdings, totaling 2,093,518 shares, are held indirectly via the Sycamore Trust, while a residual 2,738 shares are held directly.
What is the current valuation context for the transaction?
The shares were sold at a weighted average price of $150.17, while Airbnb shares were priced at $147.80 as of the July 16, 2026, market close. The company's stock had delivered an 8% return over the 12 months preceding the transaction.
What are the fundamental characteristics of the company?
As of the transaction period, Airbnb reported trailing twelve-month revenue of $12.6 billion and net income of $2.5 billion. The San Francisco-based travel services company maintains a market capitalization of $86.6 billion and employs approximately 8,200 people.
Company Overview
Share Price (as of market close 2026-07-16)
$147.80
Market Capitalization
$86.6 billion
Revenue (TTM)
$12.7 billion
Net Income (TTM)
$2.5 billion
Company Snapshot
Airbnb operates a global digital marketplace that enables hosts to list accommodations ranging from private rooms and primary residences to vacation homes, generating revenue through booking commissions and service fees from guests worldwide.
The company's business model leverages a two-sided platform that connects supply (hosts offering accommodations) with demand (guests seeking lodging), capturing value through transaction-based fees on each completed booking.
Airbnb's primary customers include leisure and business travelers seeking alternative accommodations, as well as property owners and hosts looking to monetize residential spaces in aglobal market
Airbnb operates as a leading global digital marketplace for short-term lodging and experiences, with a market capitalization of $86.6 billion and TTM revenue of $12.6 billion. The company's competitive advantage derives from its expansive network of hosts, proprietary technology platform, and brand recognition in the travel services sector. As of the most recent period, Airbnb maintains a strong financial position with TTM net income of $2.5 billion, demonstrating the profitability of its asset-light, commission-based business model.
What this transaction means for investors
It would be more encouraging if Airbnb’s largest shareholders were keen to retain all their shares. That said, this insider sale probably isn’t anything to get worked up about. It was conducted through a trading plan set in motion nearly five months earlier. The important thing to remember about these plans is that they can usually be terminated if an insider believes that great news could become public knowledge in the near future.
Airbnb will release results from the second quarter of 2026 after the market closes on Aug. 6, 2026. During the first quarter, the online reservation business reported gross booking value that soared 19% year over year, or 13% excluding the benefits of a weaker dollar.
It looks like the jump in booking value came on the heels of significant price increases or a shift toward higher-priced accommodation. The number of nights and seats booked rose just 9% year over year to 156.2 million.
Should you buy stock in Airbnb right now?
Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $371,842!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,244,783!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 900% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 207% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of July 19, 2026.
Cory Renauer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Is Airbnb a Stock to Sell After an Insider Let Go of 237,000 Shares?

Key Points
The disposition involved 265,000 shares at $145.50 per share for a total transaction value of $38.6 million on July 13.
The sale reduced the director's total equity holdings by 10%.
All shares in this transaction were sold indirectly through Sycamore Trust, with the director maintaining a residual direct position of 2,738 shares.
Joseph Gebbia, the co-founder and current director at Airbnb, Inc. (NASDAQ:ABNB), sold 265,000 shares of the company on July 13, 2026. SEC Form 4 filing.
Transaction summary
Transaction value
$38.6 million
Shares sold (indirectly held)
265,000
Post-transaction shares (total)
2,332,857
Post-transaction shares (directly held)
2,738
Post-transaction shares (indirectly held)
2,330,119
Post-transaction value
$341.37 million
Transaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average sale price ($145.50); post-transaction value based on July 13 market close ($146.33).
Key questions
What were the mechanics of this share disposition?
Joseph Gebbia conducted the sale of 265,000 shares exclusively through the Sycamore Trust. This activity was governed by a Rule 10b5-1 plan established in February 2026, which allows corporate insiders to set a predetermined schedule for selling stock to avoid potential conflicts arising from material non-public information.
How does this impact the director's remaining equity position?
After the sale, the director continues to hold a significant interest in the company through ~2.3 million shares held indirectly via Sycamore Trust. Including the 2,738 shares held directly, the total beneficial ownership is valued at $341.37 million based on the market close on the day of the transaction.
What is the current market context for the stock?
The shares were sold at $145.50 per share, while the stock has recorded a one-year return of about 4% as of the July 13 transaction date. As of the July 14 market close, the share price was $146.54, corresponding to a total market capitalization of $87 billion for the San Francisco-based travel services company.
What are the fundamental characteristics of the company?
The firm manages a global marketplace connecting hosts and guests for accommodations and local experiences. It reported trailing twelve-month revenue of $12.6 billion and net income of $2.5 billion, supporting a workforce of 8,200 employees.
Company Overview
Share Price (as of market close 2026-07-14)
$146.54
Market Capitalization
$87.0 billion
Revenue (TTM)
$12.6 billion
Net Income (TTM)
$2.5 billion
Company Snapshot
Airbnb operates a global digital marketplace that connects hosts offering accommodations and local experiences with guests seeking travel services, generating revenue primarily through booking commissions and service fees on transactions across its online and mobile platforms.
The company's business model leverages a peer-to-peer marketplace structure, monetizing through host service fees and guest service charges while maintaining minimal capital requirements as a technology-enabled intermediary.
Airbnb's primary customers include leisure and business travelers seeking alternative accommodations, as well as property owners and experience providers looking to monetize their assets to a global audience.
Airbnb is a leading global marketplace for short-term lodging and experiential travel services, with a market capitalization of $87.0 billion and trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $12.6 billion. The company has established a significant competitive advantage through its network effects, diverse inventory spanning 220+ countries and regions, and proprietary technology platform that facilitates seamless transactions between hosts and guests. With 8,200 employees and strong profitability metrics (TTM net income of $2.5 billion), Airbnb has demonstrated resilience and growth in the travel and hospitality sector.
What this transaction means for investors
Investors rarely want an insider to be selling shares of their company. But there are many reasons an insider may sell that have nothing to do with their outlook on the stock’s direction. These can include meeting a tax bill or paying a large personal expense.
Though Gebbia didn’t cite a reason for the sale, the fact that it was done under a preexisting trading plan mitigates the bearishness of the $39 million sale. Investors may be comforted by the fact that studies show insider sales predict a share price decline in the subsequent 30 days less than half the time.
Still, insiders with a trading plan aren’t compelled to follow through on a planned sale. They can cancel a trade provided they are not acting on insider information. If Gebbia was exceedingly bullish on Airbnb shares, he had that option.
Nevertheless, the outlook for Airbnb is good. Wall Street expects the business to post high-teens revenue and earnings growth from new services and increased travel in its core markets. An acceleration in active listings in Latin America and the Asia Pacific is helping too.
For its first quarter fiscal 2026. Airbnb posted revenue of $2.68 billion, up 12% from the prior-year period, beating consensus and management guidance. The revenue increase reflected greater booked nights and the growth of the company's Reserve Now, Pay Later feature. With 2026 sales seen rising 15% to almost $14 billion, with $3.6 billion net income, the outlook appears bullish for shares, regardless of Gebbia’s sale.
Should you buy stock in Airbnb right now?
Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $397,351!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,304,257!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 937% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 211% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of July 16, 2026.
Brendan Coffey has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Airbnb Co-Founder Joseph Gebbia Sells $39 Million in Stock. Should Investors Worry About What 2026 Holds?

Key Points
Among the 15 largest U.S. IPOs in history, the average stock declined 30% from its IPO price at some point during the first year.
The number of SpaceX shares available for public trading will increase greatly in the next few months, putting downward pressure on the price.
SpaceX currently trades at 101 times sales, which makes it the most expensive stock in the Nasdaq-100 by a wide margin.
Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) made its public debut on June 12. The initial public offering (IPO) was historic not only because the company raised a record $75 billion, but also because its market value was an unprecedented $1.7 trillion at the IPO price of $135 per share.
SpaceX soared 50% during the first three trading days, hitting a high of $202 per share amid strong demand from retail and institutional investors. But the stock has since fallen 26% to $150 per share because of anxiety about the company's recent bond offering and the upcoming lockup expiration dates.
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Here's what investors need to know.
History says SpaceX stock could fall much further in the coming months
Since 1980, the average IPO stock has gained about 19% on the first trading day, according to Jay Ritter, professor emeritus of finance and director of the IPO initiative at the University of Florida. SpaceX fit that pattern perfectly. Shares closed at $161 on June 12, representing 19% upside from the IPO price of $135.
However, excitement surrounding IPOs tends to fade quickly, and companies that go public at large market values have historically performed poorly during the first year. The following chart lists the 15 largest U.S. IPO stocks (by market value at the IPO price) excluding SpaceX; for each stock, it shows (1) the one-year return and (2) the maximum drawdown in the first year relative to the IPO price.
IPO Stock
1-Year Return
Max Drawdown
Meta Platforms
(31%)
(53%)
Uber Technologies
(27%)
(67%)
Rivian Automotive
(58%)
4%
Coinbase Global
(41%)
(41%)
Venture Global
(59%)
(76%)
Coupang
(46%)
(48%)
General Motors
(34%)
(40%)
Airbnb
165%
84%
Visa
28%
(4%)
Kenvue
(13%)
(17%)
DoorDash
62%
11%
Rocket Companies
(3%)
(8%)
UiPath
(68%)
(68%)
Snowflake
170%
(57%)
Robinhood Markets
(76%)
(82%)
Average
(2%)
(23%)
Among the 15 largest U.S. IPOs, the average stock traded 2% below its IPO price after a year, but it dropped 23% from its IPO price at some point during the first year. Past results are never a guarantee of future returns, but we can use those numbers to make an educated guess about what SpaceX stock might do in the future.
If SpaceX's performance matches the historical average, the stock will trade near $132 per share (2% below its IPO price) by June 2027. That implies 11% downside from the current share price of $149. In that scenario, $20,000 invested in SpaceX today would be worth about $17,800 by June 2027.
But history also says SpaceX will drop 23% from its IPO price at some point in the first year. That would bring the stock to $104 per share, which implies 30% downside from the current price. In that scenario, $20,000 invested in SpaceX today would be worth about $14,000 at some point in the next year.
SpaceX shares available for public trading will increase sharply once lockups start expiring
SpaceX issued 555 million shares for its initial public offering, bringing the total number of shares outstanding to 13.1 billion. That means less than 5% of SpaceX stock is currently available for public trading, while the other 95% (held by employees and insiders) is subject to various lock-up periods.
Those lock-up periods start expiring in a few weeks. In late July or early August, following the company's second-quarter financial report, at least 20% of early release shares (about 911 million shares) will become eligible for public trading. That means the float will more than double to reach 1.5 billion shares.
However, lockup expirations don't stop there. Another 7% of early release shares (about 320 million shares) will become eligible for public trading at 70 days, 90 days, 105 days, 120 days, and 135 days post-IPO. That means the float will double again, reaching at least 3 billion shares by late October.
Here's the big picture: Stock prices are determined by supply and demand. The number of SpaceX shares available for public trading will increase greatly in the coming months, and the stock price could drop, perhaps sharply, as the market digests that supply increase.
So investors need not rush to buy SpaceX stock today. More attractive opportunities are likely to arise in the future. That is particularly true because the stock currently trades at 101 times sales, making it the most expensive stock in the Nasdaq-100 by a wide margin. Rocket Lab ranks second at 73 times sales.
Should you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies right now?
Before you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Space Exploration Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $410,833!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,208,693!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 917% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 209% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of July 9, 2026.
Trevor Jennewine has positions in Visa. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb, DoorDash, Meta Platforms, Rocket Companies, Rocket Lab, Snowflake, Uber Technologies, UiPath, and Visa. The Motley Fool recommends Coinbase Global, Coupang, General Motors, and Kenvue. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

SpaceX Stock Is Down 26% From Its Post-IPO High. History Says a $20,000 Investment Will Be Worth This Much by Mid-2027.

Key Points
Airbnb maintains a light-asset business model with over 9 million active listings across more than 220 countries and regions.
MGM Resorts International anchors its value in premier physical destinations and a significant footprint in the recovering Macau market.
Which travel-focused stock offers the best combination of growth and value for your 2026 portfolio?
The travel industry is evolving as consumers choose between digital-first platforms and traditional luxury destinations. Choosing between Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) and MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) requires weighing tech-driven growth against established physical assets.
Airbnb has redefined lodging by allowing individuals to rent out their homes, creating a massive global inventory without the costs of building hotels. MGM Resorts International anchors its business in massive physical casinos and entertainment hubs that offer experiences beyond just a place to sleep. Both companies are vying for discretionary spending as travel patterns shift in 2026.
The case for Airbnb
Airbnb operates a global marketplace connecting over 5 million hosts with guests in over 220 countries and regions in the travel and tourism space. The company relies on a network of hosts to sustain its marketplace for short-term stays and experiences. Key partnerships with payment processors and insurance providers support its AirCover protection for users.
In FY 2025, revenue reached nearly $12.2 billion, up approximately 10.3% year over year. The company reported net income of close to $2.5 billion for the same period. This followed a slightly higher net income of about $2.6 billion in the prior fiscal year.
As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.3x, measuring total debt relative to shareholder equity, while the current ratio is approximately 1.4x. Free cash flow for the year was nearly $4.6 billion. Note that stock-based compensation accounted for roughly 34.3% of operating cash flow, thereby inflating reported cash generation, since SBC is a non-cash expense added back in the cash flow statement.
The case for MGM Resorts International
MGM Resorts International operates 16 domestic casino properties and maintains a majority interest in MGM China. It has a multiyear partnership with Major League Baseball and operates the BetMGM sports betting venture. Following the April 2026 divestiture of MGM Northfield Park, the company continues focusing on its core Las Vegas and Macau markets.
During FY 2025, revenue was nearly $17.5 billion, an increase of roughly 1.7% over the previous year. The company reported net income of approximately $206.2 million for the period. This net income figure was lower than the $746.6 million reported in the prior fiscal year.
According to the December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 23.1x, which measures total debt relative to shareholders’ equity. The current ratio is roughly 1.2x, indicating its ability to meet short-term obligations. Free cash flow reached close to $1.7 billion during the fiscal year.
Risk profile comparison
Airbnb faces legal challenges from cities such as Los Angeles and Chicago over rental regulations and pricing. These disputes illustrate the risks posed by regulatory fragmentation and potential operational restrictions in major markets. The platform must also comply with the EU Short-Term Rental Regulation starting in May 2026, while facing competition from Marriott International (NASDAQ:MAR).
MGM Resorts International manages substantial indebtedness and fixed financial commitments, including lease payments to VICI Properties (NYSE:VICI). These obligations limit operational flexibility and liquidity during economic downturns. Additionally, an acquisition proposal from People Incorporated has led to shareholder investigations and legal uncertainty.
Valuation comparison
MGM Resorts International appears significantly cheaper on a P/S ratio basis, though both companies trade at similar forward P/E multiples based on future earnings estimates.
Forward P/E
28.7x
27.9x
93.7x
P/S ratio
7.1x
0.7x
n/a
Sector benchmark uses the SPDR XLY sector ETF.
Valuation metrics sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from other data providers.
Which stock would I buy in 2026?
The travel industry has been picking up in recent years, post-pandemic. Both Airbnb and MGM are benefiting from that recovery, but which is the better investment in 2026?
Airbnb has a lot going for it. For one thing, its asset-light business model enables it to generate revenue without the capital investment required by traditional hotels. And since it doesn’t own the rental properties, it also avoids many of the costs and risks associated with owning and maintaining real estate. Currently, it partners with over 5 million hosts and has 8 million active listings. But it has been dealing with regulatory issues from cities cracking down on short-term rentals. It trades at a premium, reflecting investors’ optimism regarding its future earnings potential.
MGM operates a variety of property types, including Las Vegas casinos and regional hotels. It also has a stake in BetMGM, an online gaming and tournament poker platform. Las Vegas tourism has been softening recently, and unlike Airbnb, MGM must continue supporting expensive physical properties even during periods of weaker demand.
Between these two companies, I would choose to buy stock in Airbnb. Its asset-light model reduces its risk in times of economic uncertainty and means it can scale up when times are good. That strategy gives it an edge in today’s economy compared to MGM and many other travel stocks, and I think it could pay off for investors despite its high valuation.
Should you buy stock in Airbnb right now?
Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $400,101!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,212,683!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 911% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 208% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of July 2, 2026.
Pamela Kock has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb. The Motley Fool recommends Marriott International and Vici Properties. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Airbnb vs. MGM Resorts International: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Looking today at week-over-week shares outstanding changes among the universe of ETFs covered at ETF Channel, one standout is the First Trust NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Fund (Symbol: QQEW) where we have detected an approximate $358.1 million dollar outflow -- that's a 16.5% decrease week over week (from 13,600,002 to 11,350,002). Among the largest underlying components of QQEW, in trading today Axon Enterprise Inc (Symbol: AXON) is off about 0.5%, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Symbol: VRTX) is up about 4.1%, and Airbnb Inc (Symbol: ABNB) is higher by about 0.1%. For a complete list of holdings, visit the QQEW Holdings page » The chart below shows the one year price performance of QQEW, versus its 200 day moving average:
Looking at the chart above, QQEW's low point in its 52 week range is $122.38 per share, with $162.19 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $160.01. Comparing the most recent share price to the 200 day moving average can also be a useful technical analysis technique -- learn more about the 200 day moving average ».
Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade just like stocks, but instead of ''shares'' investors are actually buying and selling ''units''. These ''units'' can be traded back and forth just like stocks, but can also be created or destroyed to accommodate investor demand. Each week we monitor the week-over-week change in shares outstanding data, to keep a lookout for those ETFs experiencing notable inflows (many new units created) or outflows (many old units destroyed). Creation of new units will mean the underlying holdings of the ETF need to be purchased, while destruction of units involves selling underlying holdings, so large flows can also impact the individual components held within ETFs.
Further QQEW Research:
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

QQEW, AXON, VRTX, ABNB: ETF Outflow Alert

Key Points
Earlier this week, Verizon was removed from the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Google parent Alphabet was added to the 30-stock index.
Time is running out for Nike, with its low share price and poor operating performance likely to get it kicked out of the Dow.
A trillion-dollar company or a revolutionary travel industry titan would make a logical replacement for Nike.
Change is in the air -- and it has nothing to do with the weather. Earlier this week, S&P Dow Jones Indices oversaw the removal of telecom titan Verizon Communications from the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) and the addition of Google parent Alphabet. It marked the 54th time since the Dow's inception in May 1896 that a company was added or removed.
But S&P Dow Jones Indices isn't finished. Over the next 12 months, brand-name retailer Nike (NYSE: NKE) should be given the boot, with one of two consumer-facing goliaths -- Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) or Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) -- serving as logical replacements.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The clock is ticking for Nike
Arguably, the biggest issue for Nike's tenure as a Dow component is its share price. Unlike the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which are market-cap-weighted indexes, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is a share-price-weighted index. The higher a company's share price, the more influence it holds within the Dow.
Based on after-hours trading following the release of Nike's fiscal fourth-quarter operating results on June 30, its shares have dipped below $40. Only three Dow components have share prices below $113, and Nike is, by far, the lowest of the bunch. It has minimal influence within the Dow.
Nike's operating performance isn't doing it any favors, either. Persistent sales weakness in China, spurred by intensifying competition, has weighed on sales, while Nike's initial pivot to direct-to-consumer sales has strained its relationship with wholesalers.
Although Nike has the brand appeal to right the ship, we're likely looking at a multi-year turnaround. This simply won't cut it for a company whose shares have risen by just 21% in nearly 13 years as a Dow component.
Expect Tesla or Airbnb to get the call
The committee that adds and removes stocks from the Dow aims to have 30 multinational components that represent the U.S. economy. While removing Nike wouldn't necessitate replacing it with another retailer, there's a good likelihood that the committee will stick to a consumer-driven business.
Tesla offers several benefits to the Dow. Its leading electric-vehicle segment provides a direct connection to consumer spending habits. Don't forget that General Motors was a Dow component until June 2009.
Additionally, Elon Musk's trillion-dollar company would bolster the Dow's energy exposure, which is currently limited to Chevron. Tesla's burgeoning energy generation and storage operations can add utility-esque exposure for an index that has none.
Meanwhile, Airbnb would give the Dow a direct link to an estimated $11.6 trillion travel and tourism industry. Though Walt Disney offers some travel industry connections via its theme parks and cruise ships, Airbnb's travel and hosting platform provides a comprehensive view of consumers' discretionary spending.
Most importantly, Tesla and Airbnb would have a meaningful influence within the Dow given their high share prices of $420.60 (Tesla) and $143.10 (Airbnb), as of the closing bell on June 30. It also doesn't hurt that Tesla's and Airbnb's respective shares have handily outperformed Nike in recent years and offer the Dow the potential for long-term upside.
Should you buy stock in Nike right now?
Before you buy stock in Nike, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Nike wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $400,101!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,212,683!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 911% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 208% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
Sean Williams has positions in Alphabet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb, Alphabet, Chevron, Nike, Tesla, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool recommends General Motors and Verizon Communications. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Prediction: Nike Will Be Booted From the Dow Jones Industrial Average Within 12 Months and Replaced by One of 2 Consumer-Facing Giants

Key Points
Airbnb maintains a highly profitable, asset-light business model with strong free cash flow generation.
Carnival is seeing a significant rebound in revenue and net income as global cruise demand scales.
Which travel giant offers the most compelling value for investors looking toward 2026?
Investors are weighing the asset-light growth of Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) against the heavy-infrastructure recovery of Carnival (NYSE:CCL). Deciding between these travel giants requires a close look at their diverging paths toward profitability.
Airbnb focuses on a decentralized platform that allows individuals to rent out their homes, while Carnival Corporation & operates a massive physical fleet of cruise ships. Both companies compete for discretionary travel spending but utilize vastly different capital structures and business models. Comparing them helps you see which approach offers better value for your portfolio in 2026.
The case for Airbnb
Airbnb operates a global marketplace connecting over 5 million hosts with guests, positioning it as a leader among travel and tourism stocks. The company relies on third-party partners, such as Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), for cloud infrastructure and various payment processors for global transactions. This asset-light model allows the business to scale without the high costs of owning physical properties.
During FY 2025, revenue reached nearly $12.2 billion, up roughly 10.3% from the previous year. The company reported net income of nearly $2.5 billion for the period. This resulted in a net margin of 20.5%, slightly lower than the 23.9% recorded in 2024, as the company navigated shifting market dynamics.
As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 0.3x, which means total debt is low relative to shareholder equity. The current ratio stands at nearly 1.4x, suggesting the company has sufficient short-term assets to cover its upcoming liabilities. Free cash flow reached nearly $4.6 billion, but stock-based compensation accounted for roughly 34.3% of operating cash flow, inflating reported cash generation since SBC is a non-cash expense added back in the cash flow statement.
The case for Carnival
Carnival operates one of the largest fleets in the world with more than 90 ships across eight distinct brands. The company serves roughly 13.5 million annual guests and has recently streamlined its global footprint by sunsetting its Australian brand. This operational focus allows the company to maximize its reach across 800 global destinations.
In FY 2025, revenue reached approximately $26.6 billion, up nearly 6.4% from the prior year. This performance led to a net income of roughly $2.8 billion, a significant turnaround from the losses experienced in recent years. The net margin for the year was close to 10.4%, up from the 7.7% achieved in 2024.
According to its November 2025 balance sheet, the company has a debt-to-equity ratio of roughly 2.3x, indicating that its total debt is more than double its shareholder equity. The current ratio is approximately 0.3x, indicating that current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a common feature of capital-intensive industries. Free cash flow totaled nearly $2.6 billion for the year, providing funds for debt reduction.
Risk profile comparison
Airbnb faces significant regulatory hurdles, including the implementation of the EU STR Regulation and potential local bans similar to those seen in New York City. The company is also managing an ongoing dispute with the IRS over a $1.3 billion valuation of intellectual property. Competition from search engines like Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) and other online travel agencies continues to threaten its market share.
The cruise industry is highly sensitive to fuel price fluctuations and broader macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, that can curb discretionary spending. Carnival also faces strict environmental regulations, such as the EU ETS, which could increase capital costs for fleet upgrades. Additionally, the company is managing complex restructuring risks related to redomiciling its business to Bermuda.
Valuation comparison
Carnival appears significantly cheaper based on its earnings multiples, while Airbnb commands a premium for its high-margin marketplace model. The forward P/E ratio measures the stock price against future earnings estimates, and the P/S ratio compares it to total revenue.
Forward P/E
27.1x
12.8x
28.6x
P/S ratio
6.7x
1.5x
n/a
Sector benchmark uses the SPDR XLY sector ETF.
Valuation metrics sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from other data providers.
Which stock would I buy in 2026?
The broader travel industry has seen a significant rebound since the COVID-19 pandemic forced many people to cancel their travel plans. It’s thriving now, and although Carnival and Airbnb operate very different business models, it’s worth comparing them for investment purposes.
Carnival’s cruises are seeing record bookings and occupancy, and the company is generating strong cash flow. It has allocated $1.3 billion to upgrading its existing fleet and destinations, and carries a massive amount of debt – but, importantly, it has been paying down that debt significantly.
Airbnb has become somewhat of a household name and a viable alternative to hotels for travelers. Like Carnival, it has generated strong free cash flow and is benefiting from its asset-light business model. It has faced regulatory challenges recently, particularly in major metropolitan cities and other areas where residents want to reduce short-term rentals.
I see both companies’ stock as good investments for a long-term, diversified portfolio. The volatility inherent in many travel stocks may make conservative investors nervous, but if balanced with investments in other sectors, this is less of a concern. If I had to choose one, it would be Carnival, if only for its lower valuation relative to earnings and continued progress in reducing its debt.
Should you buy stock in Airbnb right now?
Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $387,428!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,221,398!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 895% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 205% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of June 25, 2026.
Pamela Kock has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb, Alphabet, and Amazon. The Motley Fool recommends Carnival Corp. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.