LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates in six segments: Olefins and PolyolefinsAmericas; Olefins and PolyolefinsEurope, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; Refining; and Technology. It produces and markets olefins and co-products, polyethylene, and polypropylene; and propylene oxide and derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomer, acetyls, ethylene oxide, and ethylene glycol. In addition, the company produce and markets compounding and solutions including polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, engineered composites, colors and powders, and advanced polymers including catalloy and polybutene-1; and refines heavy, high-sulfur crude oil and other crude oils, as well as refined products, including gasoline and distillates. Further, it develops and licenses chemical and polyolefin process technologies; manufactures and sells polyolefin catalysts; and serves food packaging, home furnishings, automotive components, and paints and coatings applications. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Фундаментальные метрики LyondellBasell Industries показывают, что компания сталкивается с серьезными вызовами. Показатели P/E и ROE находятся на нулевом уровне, что указывает на отсутствие прибыли и низкую рентабельность по сравнению с отраслью. Долговая нагрузка превышает медиану, что создает дополнительные риски для инвесторов. Хотя выручка осталась высокой и значительно превышает медиану, другие показатели эффективности, такие как чистая прибыль и операционные маржи, демонстрируют негативную динамику. Дивиденды отсутствуют, что также является негативным фактором. Уровень активов и долга указывает на необходимость улучшения финансового положения. В целом, компания демонстрирует слабые результаты, что негативно сказывается на оценке и целевой цене. Однако высокая выручка и положительные EPS добавляют некоторую надежду на восстановление, но текущие показатели требуют внимания.

LyondellBasell Industries NV

The market expects LyondellBasell (LYB) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.
The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 1. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.
While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on theearnings call it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.
Zacks Consensus Estimate
This oil refiner and chemical company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.31 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -6.1%.
Revenues are expected to be $7.52 billion, down 2.1% from the year-ago quarter.
Estimate Revisions Trend
The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 48.6% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.
Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.
Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Earnings Whisper
Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).
The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.
Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.
A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.
Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).
How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for LyondellBasell?
For LyondellBasell, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +10.28%.
On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #2.
So, this combination indicates that LyondellBasell will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate.
Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?
Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.
For the last reported quarter, it was expected that LyondellBasell would post earnings of $0.18 per share when it actually produced a loss of -$0.26, delivering a surprise of -244.44%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates just once.
Bottom Line
An earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.
That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
LyondellBasell appears a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.
Expected Results of an Industry Player
Eastman Chemical (EMN), another stock in the Zacks Chemical - Diversified industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $1.07 for the quarter ended March 2026. This estimate points to a year-over-year change of -44%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $2.21 billion, down 3.4% from the year-ago quarter.
The consensus EPS estimate for Eastman Chemical has been revised 1% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. However, a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -6.72%.
When combined with a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold), this Earnings ESP makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Eastman Chemical will beat the consensus EPS estimate. Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed EPS estimates just once.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Should You Invest in LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB)?
Before you invest in LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB), want to know the best stocks to buy for the next 30 days? Check out Zacks Investment Research for our free report on the 7 best stocks to buy.
Zacks Investment Research has been committed to providing investors with tools and independent research since 1978. For more than a quarter century, the Zacks Rank stock-rating system has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +24.08% per year. (These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through May 6, 2024.)
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

LyondellBasell (LYB) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?

Investors looking for stocks in the Chemical - Diversified sector might want to consider either LyondellBasell (LYB) or Albemarle (ALB). But which of these two stocks offers value investors a better bang for their buck right now? We'll need to take a closer look.
We have found that the best way to discover great value opportunities is to pair a strong Zacks Rank with a great grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system. The Zacks Rank is a proven strategy that targets companies with positive earnings estimate revision trends, while our Style Scores work to grade companies based on specific traits.
Right now, LyondellBasell is sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), while Albemarle has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold). Investors should feel comfortable knowing that LYB likely has seen a stronger improvement to its earnings outlook than ALB has recently. However, value investors will care about much more than just this.
Value investors also tend to look at a number of traditional, tried-and-true figures to help them find stocks that they believe are undervalued at their current share price levels.
Our Value category highlights undervalued companies by looking at a variety of key metrics, including the popular P/E ratio, as well as the P/S ratio, earnings yield, cash flow per share, and a variety of other fundamentals that have been used by value investors for years.
LYB currently has a forward P/E ratio of 15.45, while ALB has a forward P/E of 24.58. We also note that LYB has a PEG ratio of 0.29. This figure is similar to the commonly-used P/E ratio, with the PEG ratio also factoring in a company's expected earnings growth rate. ALB currently has a PEG ratio of 1.54.
Another notable valuation metric for LYB is its P/B ratio of 2.28. The P/B is a method of comparing a stock's market value to its book value, which is defined as total assets minus total liabilities. By comparison, ALB has a P/B of 3.09.
These are just a few of the metrics contributing to LYB's Value grade of A and ALB's Value grade of D.
LYB has seen stronger estimate revision activity and sports more attractive valuation metrics than ALB, so it seems like value investors will conclude that LYB is the superior option right now.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

LYB vs. ALB: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Key Points
LyondellBasell stock surged last month as disruptions connected to the Iran war suggested stronger pricing outlooks for U.S. chemical producers.
The stock received multiple price-target increases from analysts.
Shares have moved lower in April amid de-escalation for the war.
LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE: LYB) stock enjoyed a month of monster gains in March. The company's share price surged 40.1% higher across the month, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 5.1% slide in the period.
LyondellBasell's explosive stock gains stemmed from dynamics connected to the U.S. and Israel's war with Iran -- which kicked off at the end of February. With the war disrupting the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S.-based petrochemical company has a stronger demand outlook.
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LyondellBasell surges as war creates shifting petrol dynamics
Following the start of the war with Iran, investors and analysts bet that U.S. petrochemical producers would see substantial tailwinds. The dynamic created strong bullish momentum for LyondellBasell stock. With crude oil prices surging, the price for commodity petrochemicals is also seeing upward pressure.
On March 3, KeyBanc published new coverage on LyondellBasell and raised its rating on the stock to overweight from sector weight. The firm also set a one-year price target of $73 per share on the stock.
KeyBanc analyst Aleksey Yefremov said that he saw rising prices for crude oil boosting commodity prices over the next few quarters. Specific to LyondellBasell's business, the analyst said that between 11% and 15% of global ethylene and polyethylene production is being impacted by the war with Iran. With supply chain disruptions stemming from the war, Yefremov said he saw conditions shifting in favor of U.S.-based suppliers.
Following KeyBanc's report and increases in oil prices, LyondellBasell stock saw various ratings upgrades and price-target increases from other investment firms. RBC Capital raised its rating on the stock from sector perform to outperform on March 9 and raised its one-year target from $51 per share to $82 per share. On March 12, Citi raised its rating on the stock from neutral to buy in response to positive impacts related to supply chain disruptions for other players in the market.
LyondellBasell has fallen in April
On the heels of last month's big gains, LyondellBasell stock has lost some ground in April. The company's share price is down 7.9% in the month so far. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index is up 3.9%.
In addition to investors betting that the war with Iran could be resolved following the recent ceasefire announcement, analyst coverage may have also played a role in the stock's sell-off. Bank of America updated its coverage on the stock and downgraded its rating from neutral to underperform. While the firm raised its price target from $55 per share to $68 per share, the new target still suggests a downside of roughly 8% as of this writing.
The firm's analysts saw justification compared to their previous valuation target, but they also raised concerns that the rally had gone too far. While disruptive impacts in the petrochemical market connected to the Iran war can be expected to continue for a period extending past a potential resolution, pricing trends will continue to be pivotal for LyondellBasell.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Why LyondellBasell Industries Stock Skyrocketed 40.1% Last Month But Is Pulling Back in April

Looking at options trading activity among components of the S&P 500 index, there is noteworthy activity today in LyondellBasell Industries NV (Symbol: LYB), where a total volume of 55,513 contracts has been traded thus far today, a contract volume which is representative of approximately 5.6 million underlying shares (given that every 1 contract represents 100 underlying shares). That number works out to 59.4% of LYB's average daily trading volume over the past month, of 9.3 million shares. Especially high volume was seen for the $70 strike put option expiring April 17, 2026, with 15,084 contracts trading so far today, representing approximately 1.5 million underlying shares of LYB. Below is a chart showing LYB's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $70 strike highlighted in orange:
Occidental Petroleum Corp (Symbol: OXY) options are showing a volume of 112,292 contracts thus far today. That number of contracts represents approximately 11.2 million underlying shares, working out to a sizeable 53.2% of OXY's average daily trading volume over the past month, of 21.1 million shares. Particularly high volume was seen for the $60 strike call option expiring April 17, 2026, with 7,035 contracts trading so far today, representing approximately 703,500 underlying shares of OXY. Below is a chart showing OXY's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $60 strike highlighted in orange:
And Exxon Mobil Corp (Symbol: XOM) saw options trading volume of 134,297 contracts, representing approximately 13.4 million underlying shares or approximately 52.5% of XOM's average daily trading volume over the past month, of 25.6 million shares. Especially high volume was seen for the $180 strike call option expiring April 17, 2026, with 13,433 contracts trading so far today, representing approximately 1.3 million underlying shares of XOM. Below is a chart showing XOM's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $180 strike highlighted in orange:
For the various different available expirations for LYB options, OXY options, or XOM options, visit StockOptionsChannel.com.
Also see:
Investment Brokerages Dividend Stocks
Institutional Holders of PMMY
CEF Channel
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Notable Wednesday Option Activity: LYB, OXY, XOM

Looking today at week-over-week shares outstanding changes among the universe of ETFs covered at ETF Channel, one standout is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (Symbol: RSP) where we have detected an approximate $586.3 million dollar inflow -- that's a 0.7% increase week over week in outstanding units (from 441,800,000 to 444,830,000). Among the largest underlying components of RSP, in trading today APA Corp (Symbol: APA) is down about 10.9%, LyondellBasell Industries NV (Symbol: LYB) is off about 13.7%, and Dow Inc (Symbol: DOW) is lower by about 11.5%. For a complete list of holdings, visit the RSP Holdings page » The chart below shows the one year price performance of RSP, versus its 200 day moving average:
Looking at the chart above, RSP's low point in its 52 week range is $150.81 per share, with $205.24 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $197.91. Comparing the most recent share price to the 200 day moving average can also be a useful technical analysis technique -- learn more about the 200 day moving average ».
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Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade just like stocks, but instead of ''shares'' investors are actually buying and selling ''units''. These ''units'' can be traded back and forth just like stocks, but can also be created or destroyed to accommodate investor demand. Each week we monitor the week-over-week change in shares outstanding data, to keep a lookout for those ETFs experiencing notable inflows (many new units created) or outflows (many old units destroyed). Creation of new units will mean the underlying holdings of the ETF need to be purchased, while destruction of units involves selling underlying holdings, so large flows can also impact the individual components held within ETFs.
Also see:
Contrarian Outlook
Institutional Holders of RJMI
Carl Icahn Stock Picks
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Noteworthy ETF Inflows: RSP, APA, LYB, DOW

In early trading on Wednesday, shares of Carnival (CCL) topped the list of the day's best performing components of the S&P 500 index, trading up 14.5%. Year to date, Carnival has lost about 5.5% of its value.
And the worst performing S&P 500 component thus far on the day is LyondellBasell Industries (LYB), trading down 13.1%. LyondellBasell Industries is showing a gain of 61.1% looking at the year to date performance.
Two other components making moves today are CF Industries Holdings (CF), trading down 12.6%, and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), trading up 13.1% on the day.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

S&P 500 Movers: LYB, CCL

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Monday closed up +0.44%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up +0.36%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up +0.61%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26) rose +0.64%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQM26) rose +0.88%.
Stock indexes settled higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 posting 1.5-week highs. Hopes for a potential ceasefire in the war in Iran boosted stock prices on Monday. Axios reported that the US, Iran, and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms for a potential 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war. On Sunday, President Trump extended his previous 10-day deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz by 20 hours until Tuesday evening and threatened to unleash "all hell" on Iran if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened to all shipping traffic by Tuesday. However, Mr. Trump also said the US was in "deep negotiations" with Iran and "there is a good chance to make a deal, but if they don't make a deal, I am blowing up everything over there." The chances of a ceasefire appear doubtful after a spokesman for Iran’s Foreign Ministry said, “No rational person” would accept a ceasefire proposal.
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Monday’s US economic news was negative for stocks. The US Mar ISM services index fell -2.1 to 54.0, weaker than expectations of 54.9. The Mar ISM services prices paid subindex rose +7.7 to a 3.5-year high of 70.7, stronger than expectations of 67.0.
Stocks have carryover support from last Friday’s US economic news, which showed strength in the labor market. March nonfarm payrolls rose by +178,000, stronger than expectations of +65,000 and the largest increase in 15 months. Also, the March unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 to 4.3%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of no change at 4.4%. The markets were closed last Friday for Good Friday.
Crude oil prices (CLK26) remain volatile, with trading fluctuating between gains and losses amid news headlines about Iran. Crude rose +1% on Monday when President Trump said the US has plans to decimate Iran by "12 o'clock" Tuesday night if there is no deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Wall Street Journal reported the US military is making preparations for potential strikes on energy targets in Iran. US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets continued over the weekend, while Kuwait reported fires at some of its refining facilities after Iranian drone and missile attacks. Also, the UAE reported a petrochemical plant at Ruwais and the Habshan gas facility, the UAE's largest natural gas processing facility, halted production following Iranian attacks. The New York Times, citing US intelligence reports, said Iranian personnel have been digging out underground missile bunkers and silos struck by US and Israeli bombs and returning them to operations hours after attacks. The International Energy Agency warned that even if the war were to end within a few weeks, it would still take time for normal flows through Hormuz to resume, as some energy infrastructure has been damaged and is facing lengthy repairs.
The markets are discounting a 1% chance for a +25 bp FOMC rate hike at the April 28-29 policy meeting.
Most overseas stock markets were closed on Monday for holidays. The Euro Stoxx 50 was closed for the Easter Monday holiday. China's Shanghai Composite was closed for the Tomb Sweeping Day holiday. Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 closed up +0.55%.
Interest Rates
June 10-year T-notes (ZNM6) on Monday closed up by +1.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell by -1.0 bp to 4.331%. Geopolitical risks boosted safe-haven demand for T-notes on Monday ahead of President Trump’s Tuesday deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Also, Monday’s weaker-than-expected Mar ISM services report is supportive for T-notes.
Gains in T-notes are limited today amid a rebound in stock prices, which has reduced safe-haven demand for government debt. T-notes are also weighed down today by some negative carryover from last Friday’s stronger-than-expected US Mar payroll report. In addition, rising price pressures in the US service sector are bearish for T-note prices, after the Mar ISM services prices paid sub-index rose more than expected to a 3.5-year high.
European government bonds did not trade on Monday, with markets in Europe closed for the Easter Monday holiday.
Swaps are discounting a 50% chance of a +25 bp ECB rate hike at its next policy meeting on April 30.
US Stock Movers
Chipmakers and AI-infrastructure stocks are climbing today to support gains in the broader market. Seagate Technology Holdings Plc (STX) closed up more than +5%, and Micron Technology (MU) and Western Digital (WDC) closed up more than +3%. Also, Sandisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Microchip Technology (MCHP), and Texas Instruments (TXN) closed up more than +2%.
Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks rallied on Monday as Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) climbed by more than +4% to a 1-week high. Strategy (MSTR) closed up more than +6%, and Riot Platforms (RIOT) closed up more than +5%. Also, Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) closed up more than +3%, Coinbase Global (COIN) is up more than +2%, and MARA Holdings (MARA) closed up more than +1%.
Solena Therapeutics (SLNO) closed up more than +32% after the Financial Times reported that Neurocrine is in advanced talks to acquire the company.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) closed up more than +10% after Jeffries upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $85.
Kraft Heinz Co (KHC) closed up more than +3% after a 13D filing with the SEC showed Link Co. reported a 10% stake in the company worth $2.7 billion.
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) closed up more than +3% after receiving a new $71 million order for 800G single-mode data center transceivers from a hyperscale customer.
Olin Corp (OLN) closed up more than +2% after Wells Fargo Securities upgraded the stock to overweight from equal weight with a price target of $35.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) closed down more than -5% after Mizuho Securities cut its price target on the stock to $25 from $33.
Invesco Ltd (IVZ) closed down more than -5% after BlackRock announced it will launch an ETF tracking the Nasdaq 100 Index, which could compete with Invesco’s Nasdaq ETF.
Tesla (TSLA) closed down more than -2% after JPMorgan Chase cut its 2026 EPS outlook for Tesla to $1.80 from $2.00.
Dow Inc. (DOW) closed down more than -2% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to underperform from neutral with a price target of $35.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) closed down more than -1% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to underperform from neutral with a price target of $68.
Earnings Reports(4/7/2026)
Aehr Test Systems (AEHR), Ames National Corp (ATLO), Greenbrier Cos Inc/The (GBX), Kura Sushi USA Inc (KRUS), OP Bancorp (OPBK), Phoenix Education Partners Inc (PXED), Skillsoft Corp (SKIL).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Finish Higher on Iran Ceasefire Hopes

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +0.27%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +0.41%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26) are up +0.37%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQM26) are up +0.54%.
Stock indexes are pushing higher today, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 posting 1.5-week highs. Hopes for a potential ceasefire in the war in Iran are lifting stock prices today. Axios reported that the US, Iran, and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms for a potential 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war. On Sunday, President Trump extended his previous 10-day deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz by 20 hours until Tuesday evening and threatened to unleash "all hell" on Iran if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened to all shipping traffic by Tuesday. However, Mr. Trump also said the US was in "deep negotiations" with Iran and "there is a good chance to make a deal, but if they don't make a deal, I am blowing up everything over there." However, the chances of a ceasefire appear doubtful after a spokesman for Iran’s Foreign Ministry said, “No rational person” would accept a ceasefire proposal.
Join 200K+ Subscribers: Find out why the midday Barchart Brief newsletter is a must-read for thousands daily.
Today’s US economic news was negative for stocks. The US Mar ISM services index fell -2.1 to 54.0, weaker than expectations of 54.9. The Mar ISM services prices paid subindex rose +7.7 to a 3.5-year high of 70.7, stronger than expectations of 67.0.
Stocks have carryover support from last Friday’s US economic news, which showed strength in the labor market. March nonfarm payrolls rose by +178,000, stronger than expectations of +65,000 and the largest increase in 15 months. Also, the March unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 to 4.3%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of no change at 4.4%. The markets were closed last Friday for the Good Friday holiday.
Crude oil prices (CLK26) remain volatile, with today's trading fluctuating between gains and losses amid news headlines about Iran. Iran rejects a ceasefire and wants a permanent end to the war. US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets continued over the weekend, while Kuwait reported fires at some of its refining facilities after Iranian drone and missile attacks. Also, the UAE reported a petrochemical plant at Ruwais and the Habshan gas facility, the UAE's largest natural gas processing facility, halted production following Iranian attacks. The New York Times, citing US intelligence reports, said Iranian personnel have been digging out underground missile bunkers and silos struck by US and Israeli bombs and returning them to operations hours after attacks. The International Energy Agency warned that even if the war were to end within a few weeks, it would still take time for normal flows through Hormuz to resume, as some energy infrastructure has been damaged and is facing lengthy repairs.
The markets are discounting a 1% chance for a +25 bp FOMC rate hike at the April 28-29 policy meeting.
Most overseas stock markets are closed for holidays. The Euro Stoxx 50 is closed for the Easter Monday holiday. China's Shanghai Composite is closed for the Tomb Sweeping Day holiday. Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 closed up +0.55%.
Interest Rates
June 10-year T-notes (ZNM6) today are up by +3 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down by -1.4 bp to 4.327%. Geopolitical risks are boosting safe-haven demand for T-notes ahead of President Trump’s Tuesday deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Also, today’s weaker-than-expected Mar ISM services report is supportive for T-notes.
Gains in T-notes are limited today amid a rebound in stock prices, which has reduced safe-haven demand for government debt. T-notes are also weighed down today by some negative carryover from last Friday’s stronger-than-expected US Mar payroll report. In addition, an increase in inflation expectations is bearish for T-notes as the 10-year breakeven inflation rate rose to a 2-week high of 2.381% today.
European government bonds are not trading today, with markets in Europe closed for the Easter Monday holiday.
Swaps are discounting a 50% chance of a +25 bp ECB rate hike at its next policy meeting on April 30.
US Stock Movers
Chipmakers and AI-infrastructure stocks are climbing today to support gains in the broader market. Seagate Technology Holdings Plc (STX) is up more than +6% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Also, Western Digital (WDC) is up more than +4%, and Sandisk (SNDK) is up more than +3%. In addition, Micron Technology (MU) is up more than +2%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Analog Devices (ADI), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Microchip Technology (MCHP), and Texas Instruments (TXN) are up more than +1%.
Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks are moving higher today, with Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) up more than +3% at a 1-week high. Strategy (MSTR) is up more than +6%, and Riot Platforms (RIOT) is up more than +5%. Also, MARA Holdings (MARA) is up more than +3%, Coinbase Global (COIN) is up more than +2%, and Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) is up +0.85%.
Solena Therapeutics (SLNO) is up more than +32% after the Financial Times reported that Neurocrine is in advanced talks to acquire the company.
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is up more than +7% after receiving a new $71 million order for 800G single-mode data center transceivers from a hyperscale customer.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is up more than +7% after Jeffries upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $85.
Olin Corp (OLN) is up more than +2% after Wells Fargo Securities upgraded the stock to overweight from equal weight with a price target of $35.
Amkor Technology (AMKR) is up more than +1% after Melius Research upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $60.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) is down more than -2% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to underperform from neutral with a price target of $68.
Dow Inc. (DOW) is down more than -2% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to underperform from neutral with a price target of $35.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is down more than -2% after Mizuho Securities cut its price target on the stock to $25 from $33.
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) is down more than -1% after Melius Research LLC downgraded the stock to sell from hold with a price target of $70.
Westlake (WLK) is down more than -1% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to neutral from buy.
Earnings Reports(4/6/2026)
ECB Bancorp Inc/MD (ECBK), Greene County Bancorp Inc (GCBC), Immersion Corp (IMMR), RxSight Inc (RXST).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Rise Amid Iran Ceasefire Hopes

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) is down -0.04%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +0.50%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26) are up +0.21%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQM26) are up +0.60%.
Stock indexes are climbing, and crude oil prices are falling today amid reports of efforts to secure a potential ceasefire in the war in Iran. Axios reported that the US, Iran, and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms for a potential 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war. On Sunday, President Trump extended his previous 10-day deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz by 20 hours until Tuesday evening and threatened to unleash "all hell" on Iran if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened to all shipping traffic by Tuesday. However, Mr. Trump also said the US was in "deep negotiations" with Iran and "there is a good chance to make a deal, but if they don't make a deal, I am blowing up everything over there." However, the chances of a ceasefire appear doubtful after a spokesman for Iran’s Foreign Ministry said, “No rational person” would accept a ceasefire proposal.
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Stocks also found support from last Friday’s US economic news, which showed strength in the labor market. March nonfarm payrolls rose by +178,000, stronger than expectations of +65,000 and the largest increase in 15 months. Also, the March unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 to 4.3%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of no change at 4.4%. The markets were closed last Friday for the Good Friday holiday.
Crude oil prices (CLK26) erased overnight gains and are down more than -1% on a push to secure a potential ceasefire in the war in Iran. US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets continued over the weekend, while Kuwait reported fires at some of its refining facilities after Iranian drone and missile attacks. Also, the UAE reported a petrochemical plant at Ruwais and the Habshan gas facility, the UAE's largest natural gas processing facility, halted production following Iranian attacks. The New York Times, citing US intelligence reports, said Iranian personnel have been digging out underground missile bunkers and silos struck by US and Israeli bombs and returning them to operations hours after attacks. The International Energy Agency warned that even if the war were to end within a few weeks, it would still take time for normal flows through Hormuz to resume, as some energy infrastructure has been damaged and is facing lengthy repairs.
The markets are discounting a 1% chance for a +25 bp FOMC rate hike at the April 28-29 policy meeting.
Most overseas stock markets are closed for holidays. The Euro Stoxx 50 is closed for the Easter Monday holiday. China's Shanghai Composite is closed for the Tomb Sweeping Day holiday. Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 closed up +0.55%.
Interest Rates
June 10-year T-notes (ZNM6) today are down by -2 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is up by +0.6 bp to 4.347%. June T-notes are under pressure today from a rebound in stock prices, which has reduced safe-haven demand for government debt. T-notes are also weighed down today by some negative carryover from last Friday’s stronger-than-expected US Mar payroll report. In addition, an increase in inflation expectations is bearish for T-notes as the 10-year breakeven inflation rate rose to a 2-week high of 2.381% today.
European government bonds are not trading today, with markets in Europe closed for the Easter Monday holiday.
Swaps are discounting a 50% chance of a +25 bp ECB rate hike at its next policy meeting on April 30.
US Stock Movers
Chipmakers and AI-infrastructure stocks are climbing today to support gains in the broader market. Seagate Technology Holdings Plc (STX) is up more than +7% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Also, Intel (INTC) and Western Digital (WDC) are up more than +3%, and Micron Technology (MU), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Microchip Technology (MCHP), and NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) are up more than +2%. In addition, ARM Holdings Plc (ARM), Analog Devices (ADI), KLA Corp (KLAC), Lam Research (LRCX), and Texas Instruments (TXN) are up more than +1%.
Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks are moving higher today, with Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) up more than +3% at a 1-week high. Riot Platforms (RIOT) is up more than +5%, and Strategy (MSTR) is up more than +4%. Also, Coinbase Global (COIN) and MARA Holdings (MARA) are up more than +3%, and Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) is up more than +2%.
Solena Therapeutics (SLNO) is up more than +32% after the Financial Times reported that Neurocrine is in advanced talks to acquire the company.
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is up more than +8% after receiving a new $71 million order for 800G single-mode data center transceivers from a hyperscale customer.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is up more than +6% after Jeffries upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $85.
Netflix (NFLX) is up more than +3% after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to buy from neutral with a price target of $120.
Twilio (TWLO) is up by more than +1% after Jeffries upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $160.
Rocket Cos (RKT) is up more than +1% after Barclays upgraded the stock to overweight from equal weight with a price target of $72.
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) is down more than -2% after Melius Research LLC downgraded the stock to sell from hold with a price target of $70.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) is down more than -1% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to underperform from neutral with a price target of $68.
Dow Inc. (DOW) is down more than -1% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to underperform from neutral with a price target of $35.
Westlake (WLK) is down more than -1% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to neutral from buy.
Carvana (CVNA) is down more than -1% after Bank of America Global Research downgraded the stock to neutral from buy.
Earnings Reports(4/6/2026)
ECB Bancorp Inc/MD (ECBK), Greene County Bancorp Inc (GCBC), Immersion Corp (IMMR), RxSight Inc (RXST).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Climb on the Push for a Ceasefire in Iran

Looking today at week-over-week shares outstanding changes among the universe of ETFs covered at ETF Channel, one standout is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (Symbol: RSP) where we have detected an approximate $504.8 million dollar outflow -- that's a 0.6% decrease week over week (from 440,460,000 to 437,810,000). Among the largest underlying components of RSP, in trading today SanDisk Corp (Symbol: SNDK) is up about 4.6%, Texas Pacific Land Corp (Symbol: TPL) is up about 1.6%, and LyondellBasell Industries NV (Symbol: LYB) is lower by about 1.2%. For a complete list of holdings, visit the RSP Holdings page » The chart below shows the one year price performance of RSP, versus its 200 day moving average:
Looking at the chart above, RSP's low point in its 52 week range is $150.35 per share, with $205.24 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $193.49. Comparing the most recent share price to the 200 day moving average can also be a useful technical analysis technique -- learn more about the 200 day moving average ».
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Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade just like stocks, but instead of ''shares'' investors are actually buying and selling ''units''. These ''units'' can be traded back and forth just like stocks, but can also be created or destroyed to accommodate investor demand. Each week we monitor the week-over-week change in shares outstanding data, to keep a lookout for those ETFs experiencing notable inflows (many new units created) or outflows (many old units destroyed). Creation of new units will mean the underlying holdings of the ETF need to be purchased, while destruction of units involves selling underlying holdings, so large flows can also impact the individual components held within ETFs.
Also see:
Cheap Services Stocks
Funds Holding KSM
Auto Manufacturers Dividend Stocks
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.