Tyson Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. The company processes live fed cattle and hogs; fabricates dressed beef and pork carcasses into primal and sub-primal meat cuts, as well as case ready beef and pork, and fully cooked meats; raises and processes chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products, including breaded chicken strips, nuggets, patties, and other ready-to-fix or fully cooked chicken parts; and supplies poultry breeding stock. It also manufactures and markets frozen and refrigerated food products, including ready-to-eat sandwiches, flame-grilled hamburgers, Philly steaks, pepperoni, bacon, breakfast sausage, turkey, lunchmeat, hot dogs, flour and corn tortilla products, appetizers, snacks, prepared meals, ethnic foods, side dishes, meat dishes, breadsticks, and processed meats under the Tyson, Jimmy Dean, Hillshire Farm, Ball Park, Wright, Aidells, ibp, and State Fair brands. The company sells its products through its sales staff to grocery retailers, grocery wholesalers, meat distributors, warehouse club stores, military commissaries, industrial food processing companies, chain restaurants or their distributors, live markets, international export companies, and domestic distributors who serve restaurants and food service operations, such as plant and school cafeterias, convenience stores, hospitals, and other vendors, as well as through independent brokers and trading companies. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas.

Tyson Foods, Inc.

It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Tyson Foods (TSN). Shares have added about 3.2% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.
But investors have to be wondering, will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Tyson due for a pullback? Well, first let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent drivers for Tyson Foods, Inc. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.
Tyson Foods' Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Rise Y/Y
Tyson Foods reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with the top and bottom lines increasing year over year and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
TSN’s Quarterly Performance: Key Insights
Tyson Foods posted adjusted earnings of 91 cents per share, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 72 cents. The bottom line jumped 4.6% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure of 87 cents.
Total sales of $13,884 million rose 4% year over year. The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13,628 million. Average price changes had a 3.7% positive impact on the top line, while total volumes dipped 0.1% year over year. Solid gains from the multi-protein portfolio and operational excellence bolstered top and bottom-line improvement.
The gross profit in the quarter was $1.1 billion, up from the $878 million reported in the year-ago period.
Tyson Foods’ adjusted operating income rose 2.9% to $505 million from the $491 million reported in the year-ago period. The adjusted operating margin fell 10 basis points year over year to 3.6%.
Decoding TSN’s Segmental Details
Beef: Sales in the segment increased to $5,603 million from $5,241 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes fell 3.1%, and the average price jumped 10% in the segment.
Pork: Sales in the segment rose to $1,506 million from $1,462 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes grew 1.5% but the average price fell 1.6%.
Chicken: Sales in the segment improved to $4,220 million from $4,076 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes grew 2.4% and the average price was up 1.1%.
Prepared Foods: Sales in the segment came in at $2,515 million, up from $2,432 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes dipped 2.3% and the average price rose 5.7%.
International/Other: Sales in the segment were $557 million compared with $582 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes fell 0.8%, whereas the average sales price declined 3.5%.
Tyson Foods’ Other Financial Updates
The company exited the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1.5 billion, long-term debt of $8.2 billion and total shareholders’ equity (including non-controlling interests) of $18.5 billion. For the nine months ended June 28, 2025, cash provided by operating activities amounted to $846 million.
Liquidity was $4 billion as of June 28. Management expects total liquidity to stay above the company’s minimum target of $1 billion in fiscal 2025. Tyson Foods projects capital expenditure at or below $1.0 billion for fiscal 2025, involving investments in profit-improvement projects and projects for maintenance and repair. Free cash flow in fiscal 2025 is expected to be in the range of $1-$1.3 billion.
What to Expect From TSN in FY25?
For fiscal 2025, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) suggests domestic protein production (beef, pork, chicken and turkey) to be relatively flat from the fiscal 2024 level.
For the Beef segment, the USDA projects domestic protein production to dip nearly 2% year over year, with an adjusted operating loss of $375-$475 million in fiscal 2025. For Pork, the USDA projects domestic production to grow slightly, with adjusted operating income of $175-$200 million. For Chicken, the USDA expects domestic protein production to grow about 2% year over year and adjusted operating income of $1.3-$1.4 billion.
For Prepared Foods, management projects adjusted operating income of $925 million-1 billion for fiscal 2025, while for International/Other, it expects improved results from foreign operations on an adjusted basis during fiscal 2025.
Total company revenue growth is anticipated in the range of 2-3% in fiscal 2025 compared with the fiscal 2024 level. Adjusted operating income is envisioned in the $2.1-$2.3 billion band. It forecasts net interest expenses to be $375 million and the adjusted effective tax rate to be nearly 25% for fiscal 2025.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in estimates review.
The consensus estimate has shifted -5.35% due to these changes.
VGM Scores
At this time, Tyson has a great Growth Score of A, though it is lagging a lot on the Momentum Score front with a C. However, the stock was allocated a score of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for value investors.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of this revision indicates a downward shift. Notably, Tyson has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
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Tyson (TSN) Up 3.2% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the JPMorgan US Value Factor ETF (Symbol: JVAL), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $51.18 per unit.
With JVAL trading at a recent price near $46.73 per unit, that means that analysts see 9.52% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of JVAL's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Tyson Foods Inc (Symbol: TSN), H & R Block, Inc. (Symbol: HRB), and Pinnacle West Capital Corp (Symbol: PNW). Although TSN has traded at a recent price of $56.12/share, the average analyst target is 10.13% higher at $61.80/share. Similarly, HRB has 9.89% upside from the recent share price of $50.05 if the average analyst target price of $55.00/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting PNW to reach a target price of $97.92/share, which is 9.69% above the recent price of $89.28. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of TSN, HRB, and PNW:
Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:
Name
Symbol
Recent Price
Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target
% Upside to Target
JPMorgan US Value Factor ETF
JVAL
$46.73
$51.18
9.52%
Tyson Foods Inc
TSN
$56.12
$61.80
10.13%
H & R Block, Inc.
HRB
$50.05
$55.00
9.89%
Pinnacle West Capital Corp
PNW
$89.28
$97.92
9.69%
Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.
Also see:
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Sum Up The Pieces: JVAL Could Be Worth $51

Looking at the universe of stocks we cover at Dividend Channel, on 8/29/25, Whirlpool Corp (Symbol: WHR), Kraft Heinz Co (Symbol: KHC), and Tyson Foods Inc (Symbol: TSN) will all trade ex-dividend for their respective upcoming dividends. Whirlpool Corp will pay its quarterly dividend of $0.90 on 9/15/25, Kraft Heinz Co will pay its quarterly dividend of $0.40 on 9/26/25, and Tyson Foods Inc will pay its quarterly dividend of $0.50 on 9/12/25. As a percentage of WHR's recent stock price of $95.00, this dividend works out to approximately 0.95%, so look for shares of Whirlpool Corp to trade 0.95% lower — all else being equal — when WHR shares open for trading on 8/29/25. Similarly, investors should look for KHC to open 1.44% lower in price and for TSN to open 0.87% lower, all else being equal.
Below are dividend history charts for WHR, KHC, and TSN, showing historical dividends prior to the most recent ones declared.
Whirlpool Corp (Symbol: WHR):
Kraft Heinz Co (Symbol: KHC):
Tyson Foods Inc (Symbol: TSN):
In general, dividends are not always predictable, following the ups and downs of company profits over time. Therefore, a good first due diligence step in forming an expectation of annual yield going forward, is looking at the history above, for a sense of stability over time. This can help in judging whether the most recent dividends from these companies are likely to continue. If they do continue, the current estimated yields on annualized basis would be 3.79% for Whirlpool Corp, 5.78% for Kraft Heinz Co, and 3.50% for Tyson Foods Inc.
In Wednesday trading, Whirlpool Corp shares are currently up about 1.5%, Kraft Heinz Co shares are trading flat, and Tyson Foods Inc shares are off about 0.4% on the day.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Ex-Dividend Reminder: Whirlpool, Kraft Heinz and Tyson Foods

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) Monday closed up +1.47%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up +1.34%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up +1.87%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25) rose +1.58%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU25) rose +1.96%.
Stock indexes rallied sharply on Monday as they recovered from some of last Friday's steep losses. Recent stellar earnings results boosted Magnificent Seven technology stocks and semiconductor chip makers, supporting gains in the broader market. Stocks also have support from speculation that last Friday's dismal payroll and ISM manufacturing reports will prompt the Fed to cut interest rates. The chances of a Fed rate cut at the September FOMC meeting rose to 90% from 40% before the reports were released.
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Monday's US economic news was mixed for stocks. US June factory orders fell -4.8% m/m, right on expectations and the biggest decline in more than 5 years. However, June factory orders ex-transportation rose +0.4% m/m, stronger than the expectations of +0.3% m/m and the largest increase in 7 months.
In the latest tariff news, President Trump said Monday that he would be "substantially raising" the tariff on US imports from India from the current 25% due to India's purchases of Russian oil. Last Thursday, President Trump raised tariffs on some Canadian goods to 35% from 25% and announced a 10% global minimum, along with tariffs of 15% or higher for countries with trade surpluses with the US, effective after midnight on August 7. According to Bloomberg Economics, the average US tariff will rise to 15.2% if rates are implemented as announced, up from 13.3% earlier, and significantly higher than the 2.3% in 2024 before the tariffs were announced.
The markets this week will focus on earnings reports and any fresh tariff or trade news. On Tuesday, the June trade deficit is expected to narrow to -$61.1 billion from -$71.5 billion in May. Also on Tuesday, the July ISM services index is expected to climb by +0.7 to 51.5. On Thursday, weekly initial unemployment claims are expected to increase by +3,000 to 221,000. Also on Thursday, Q2 nonfarm productivity is expected to be +2.0% with unit labor costs rising +1.5%.
Federal funds futures prices are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 90% at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and 70% at the following meeting on October 28-29.
Q2 earnings reports released thus far suggest that S&P 500 earnings are on track to rise +9.1% for the second quarter, much better than the pre-season expectations of +2.8% y/y and the most in four years, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. With over 66% of S&P 500 firms having reported Q2 earnings, around 82% exceeded profit estimates.
Overseas stock markets on Monday settled mixed. The Euro Stoxx 50 closed up sharply by +1.49%. China's Shanghai Composite rebounded from a 2-week low and closed up +0.66%. Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 fell to a 1.5-week low and closed down -1.25%.
Interest Rates
September 10-year T-notes (ZNU25) Monday closed up +5.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -2.4 bp to 4.192%. Sep T-notes on Monday recovered from overnight losses and rallied to a 3-month nearest-futures high, and the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 1-month low of 4.192%.
T-notes have positive carryover support from last Friday's weaker-than-expected payroll and ISM manufacturing reports, which boosted the chance of a Fed rate cut at next month's FOMC meeting to 90% from 40% before the reports. Also, Monday's -1% drop in WTI crude oil prices reduced inflation expectations, a bullish factor for T-notes. In addition, Monday's strength in European government bonds provided carryover support to T-notes.
Gains in T-notes were limited by a sharp rebound in equity markets, which curbed safe-haven demand for government securities. Also, supply pressures are weighing on T-notes as the Treasury will auction $125 billion of T-notes and T-bonds in this week's August quarterly refunding, beginning with Tuesday's $58 billion auction of 3-year T-notes.
European government bond yields on Monday moved lower. The 10-year German bund yield fell to a 1.5-week low of 2.624% and finished down -5.4 bp to 2.624%. The 10-year UK gilt yield dropped to a 1-month low of 4.501% and finished down -1.9 bp to 4.509%.
The Eurozone Aug Sentix investor confidence index unexpectedly fell -8.2 to -3.7, weaker than expectations of an increase to 6.9.
Swaps are discounting the chances at 15% for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at the September 11 policy meeting.
US Stock Movers
Strength in the Magnificent Seven technology stocks supported gains in the broader market. Nvidia (NVDA), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (META) closed up more than +3%. Also, Microsoft (MSFT) and Tesla (TSLA) closed up more than +2%. In addition, Apple (AAPL) closed up +0.48%.
Chip stocks rallied on Monday, a supportive factor for the overall market. Broadcom (AVGO) and KLA Corp (KLAC) closed up more than +3%. Also, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Micron Technology (MU), Marvell Technology (MRVL), and Lam Research (LRCX) closed up more than +2%. In addition, ARM Holdings Plc (ARM), Applied Materials (AMAT), and ASML Holding NV (ASML) closed up more than +1%.
Steelcase (SCS) closed up more than +60% after being acquired by HNI for $2.2 billion or about $18.30 per share.
Idexx Labs (IDXX) closed up more than +27% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after reporting Q2 revenue of $1.11 billion, better than the consensus of $1.07 billion, and raising its full-year EPS forecast to $12.40-$12.76 from a previous forecast of $11.93-$12.43, stronger than the consensus of $12.21.
Wayfair (W) closed up more than +11% after reporting Q2 adjusted EPS of 87 cents, well above the consensus of 33 cents.
Spotify (SPOT) closed up more than +5% after it said it will increase the monthly cost of premium subscriptions in Markets across South Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, and Latin America.
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) closed up more than +3% after raising its full-year adjusted Ebitda forecast to $2.30 billion from a previous forecast of $2.15 billion-$2.45 billion, stronger than the consensus of $2.27 billion.
Tyson Foods (TSN) closed up more than +2% after reporting Q3 sales of $13.88 billion, above the consensus of $13.55 billion.
ON Semiconductor (ON) closed down more than -16% to lead losers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after forecasting Q3 adjusted gross margin of 36.5% to 38.5%, the midpoint weaker than the consensus of 37.7%.
Bruker Corp (BRKR) closed down more than -8% after reporting Q2 revenue of $797.4 million, below the consensus of $810.2 million.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) closed down more than -4% after reporting Q2 adjusted Ebitda of $715 million, weaker than the consensus of $743.9 million.
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) closed down more than -3% after reporting Q2 operating earnings fell -3.8% y/y to $11.16 billion.
Waters (WAT) closed down more than -1% after forecasting Q3 adjusted EPS of $3.15-$3.25, the midpoint below the consensus of $3.23.
Earnings Reports (8/5/2025)
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Aflac Inc (AFL), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Apollo Global Management Inc (APO), Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM), Arista Networks Inc (ANET), Assurant Inc (AIZ), Ball Corp (BALL), Broadridge Financial Solutions (BR), Caterpillar Inc (CAT), Cummins Inc (CMI), DaVita Inc (DVA), Devon Energy Corp (DVN), Duke Energy Corp (DUK), DuPont de Nemours Inc (DD), Eaton Corp PLC (ETN), Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD), Fidelity National Information (FIS), Fox Corp (FOXA), Gartner Inc (IT), Henry Schein Inc (HSIC), International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF), Jacobs Solutions Inc (J), Leidos Holdings Inc (LDOS), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Marriott International Inc/MD (MAR), Match Group Inc (MTCH), Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP), Mosaic Co/The (MOS), News Corp (NWSA), Pfizer Inc (PFE), Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG), Skyworks Solutions Inc (SWKS), Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), TransDigm Group Inc (TDG), Yum! Brands Inc (YUM), Zebra Technologies Corp (ZBRA), Zoetis Inc (ZTS).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Rally on Fed Rate Cut Speculation

Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with the top and bottom lines increasing year over year and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
With consumer demand for protein remaining robust, TSN’s diversified multi-channel, multi-protein portfolio positions it well to meet this need while solidifying its status as a leading global food company.
TSN’s Quarterly Performance: Key Insights
Tyson Foods posted adjusted earnings of 91 cents per share, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 72 cents. The bottom line jumped 4.6% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure of 87 cents.
Total sales of $13,884 million rose 4% year over year. The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13,628 million. Average price changes had a 3.7% positive impact on the top line, while total volumes dipped 0.1% year over year. Solid gains from the multi-protein portfolio and operational excellence bolstered top and bottom-line improvement.
Tyson Foods, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
The gross profit in the quarter was $1.1 billion, up from the $878 million reported in the year-ago period.
Tyson Foods’ adjusted operating income rose 2.9% to $505 million from the $491 million reported in the year-ago period. The adjusted operating margin fell 10 basis points year over year to 3.6%.
Decoding TSN’s Segmental Details
Beef: Sales in the segment increased to $5,603 million from $5,241 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes fell 3.1%, and the average price jumped 10% in the segment.
Pork: Sales in the segment rose to $1,506 million from $1,462 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes grew 1.5% but the average price fell 1.6%.
Chicken: Sales in the segment improved to $4,220 million from $4,076 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes grew 2.4% and the average price was up 1.1%.
Prepared Foods: Sales in the segment came in at $2,515 million, up from $2,432 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes dipped 2.3% and the average price rose 5.7%.
International/Other: Sales in the segment were $557 million compared with $582 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Volumes fell 0.8%, whereas the average sales price declined 3.5%.
Tyson Foods’ Other Financial Updates
The company exited the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1.5 billion, long-term debt of $8.2 billion and total shareholders’ equity (including non-controlling interests) of $18.5 billion. For the nine months ended June 28, 2025, cash provided by operating activities amounted to $846 million.
Liquidity was $4 billion as of June 28. Management expects total liquidity to stay above the company’s minimum target of $1 billion in fiscal 2025. Tyson Foods projects capital expenditure at or below $1.0 billion for fiscal 2025, involving investments in profit-improvement projects and projects for maintenance and repair. Free cash flow in fiscal 2025 is expected to be in the range of $1-$1.3 billion.
What to Expect From TSN in FY25?
For fiscal 2025, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) suggests domestic protein production (beef, pork, chicken and turkey) to be relatively flat from the fiscal 2024 level.
For the Beef segment, the USDA projects domestic protein production to dip nearly 2% year over year, with an adjusted operating loss of $375-$475 million in fiscal 2025. For Pork, the USDA projects domestic production to grow slightly, with adjusted operating income of $175-$200 million. For Chicken, the USDA expects domestic protein production to grow about 2% year over year and adjusted operating income of $1.3-$1.4 billion.
For Prepared Foods, management projects adjusted operating income of $925 million-1 billion for fiscal 2025, while for International/Other, it expects improved results from foreign operations on an adjusted basis during fiscal 2025.
Total company revenue growth is anticipated in the range of 2-3% in fiscal 2025 compared with the fiscal 2024 level. Adjusted operating income is envisioned in the $2.1-$2.3 billion band. It forecasts net interest expenses to be $375 million and the adjusted effective tax rate to be nearly 25% for fiscal 2025.
The Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) company’s shares have lost 2.6% in the past three months compared with the industry’s drop of 2.2%.
Stocks to Consider in the Consumer Staples Space
Nomad Foods (NOMD), which manufactures frozen foods, currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
NOMD delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.2%, on average. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nomad Foods’ current financial-year earnings per share (EPS) indicates growth of 10.4% from the year-ago number.
Mondelez International (MDLZ), which is a leader in the snack food industry, currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
MDLZ delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 9%, on average. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MDLZ’s current financial-year sales indicates growth of 5.4% from the year-ago number.
Ingredion Incorporated (INGR), which is a provider of ingredient solutions specialized in nature-based sweeteners, starches and nutrition ingredients, currently carries a Zacks Rank of 2.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for INGR’s current financial-year EPS is expected to rise 6.8% from the corresponding year-ago reported figure. INGR delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 11.1%, on average.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Tyson Foods' Q3 Earnings Beat, Sales Rise on Growth in Most Segments

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +1.22%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +1.10%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +1.48%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25) are up +1.15%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU25) are up +1.40%.
Stock indexes are moving sharply higher today as they recover from some of last Friday’s steep losses. Strength in the Magnificent Seven technology stocks and semiconductor chip makers is supporting the broader market. Additionally, the expectation that last Friday’s dismal payroll and ISM manufacturing reports will prompt the Fed to lower interest rates is underpinning equity prices. The chances of a Fed rate cut at the September FOMC meeting rose to 90% from 40% before the reports were released.
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Today’s US economic news was mixed for stocks. US June factory orders fell -4.8% m/m, right on expectations and the biggest decline in more than 5 years. However, June factory orders ex-transportation rose +0.4% m/m, stronger than the expectations of +0.3% m/m and the largest increase in 7 months.
In the latest tariff news, President Trump last Thursday raised tariffs on some Canadian goods to 35% from 25% and announced a 10% global minimum, along with tariffs of 15% or higher for countries with trade surpluses with the US, effective after midnight on August 7. According to Bloomberg Economics, the average US tariff will rise to 15.2% if rates are implemented as announced, up from 13.3% earlier, and significantly higher than the 2.3% in 2024 before the tariffs were announced.
The markets this week will focus on earnings reports and any fresh tariff or trade news. On Tuesday, the June trade deficit is expected to narrow to -$61.1 billion from -$71.5 billion in May. Also on Tuesday, the July ISM services index is expected to climb by +0.7 to 51.5. On Thursday, weekly initial unemployment claims are expected to increase by +3,000 to 221,000. Also on Thursday, Q2 nonfarm productivity is expected to be +2.0% with unit labor costs rising +1.5%.
Federal funds futures prices are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 90% at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and 76% at the following meeting on October 28-29.
Q2 earnings reports released thus far suggest that S&P 500 earnings are on track to rise +4.5% for the second quarter, better than the pre-season expectations of +2.8% y/y, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. With over 66% of S&P 500 firms having reported Q2 earnings, around 82% exceeded profit estimates.
Overseas stock markets today are mixed. The Euro Stoxx 50 is up sharply by +1.30%. China’s Shanghai Composite rebounded from a 2-week low and closed up +0.66%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 fell to a 1.5-week low and closed down -1.25%.
Interest Rates
September 10-year T-notes (ZNU25) today are up +1 tick. The 10-year T-note yield is down -0.4 bp to 4.212%. Sep T-notes today recovered from overnight losses and rallied to a 3-month nearest-futures high, and the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 1-month low of 4.196%.
T-notes have positive carryover support from last Friday’s weaker-than-expected payroll and ISM manufacturing reports, which boosted the chance of a Fed rate cut at next month’s FOMC meeting to 90% from 40% before the reports. Also, today’s -1% drop in WTI crude oil prices has reduced inflation expectations, a bullish factor for T-notes. In addition, today’s strength in European government bonds is providing carryover support to T-notes.
Gains in T-notes are limited by a rebound in equity markets, which curbs safe-haven demand for government securities. Also, supply pressures are weighing on T-notes as the Treasury will auction $125 billion of T-notes and T-bonds in this week’s August quarterly refunding, beginning with Tuesday’s $58 billion auction of 3-year T-notes.
European government bond yields today are moving lower. The 10-year German bund yield fell to a 1.5-week low of 2.627% and is down -4.7 bp to 2.632%. The 10-year UK gilt yield dropped to a 1-month low of 4.501% and is down -2.2 bp to 4.506%.
The Eurozone Aug Sentix investor confidence index unexpectedly fell -8.2 to -3.7, weaker than expectations of an increase to 6.9.
Swaps are discounting the chances at 16% for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at the September 11 policy meeting.
US Stock Movers
Strength in the Magnificent Seven technology stocks is supporting gains in the broader market. Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple (AAPL), Nvidia (NVDA), and Microsoft (MSFT) are up more than +2%.
Also, Tesla (TSLA) and Meta Platforms (META) are up more than +1%.
Chip stocks are moving higher today, a supportive factor for the overall market. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is up more than +3%. Also, Marvell Technology (MRVL), KLA Corp (KLAC), and Broadcom (AVGO) are up more than +2%. In addition, Micron Technology (MU), Lam Research (LRCX), and ASML Holding NV (ASML) are up more than +1%.
Steelcase (SCS) is up more than +59% after being acquired by HNI for $2.2 billion or about $18.30 per share.
Idexx Labs (IDXX) is up more than +25% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after reporting Q2 revenue of $1.11 billion, better than the consensus of $1.07 billion, and raising its full-year EPS forecast to $12.40-$12.76 from a previous forecast of $11.93-$12.43, stronger than the consensus of $12.21.
Wayfair (W) is up more than +8% after reporting Q2 adjusted EPS of 87 cents, well above the consensus of 33 cents.
Spotify (SPOT) is up more than +6% after it said it will increase the monthly cost of premium subscriptions in Markets across South Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, and Latin America.
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) is up more than +4% after raising its full-year adjusted Ebitda forecast to $2.30 billion from a previous forecast of $2.15 billion-$2.45 billion, stronger than the consensus of $2.27 billion.
Tyson Foods (TSN) is up more than +3% after reporting Q3 sales of $13.88 billion, above the consensus of $13.55 billion.
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down more than -10% to lead losers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after forecasting Q3 adjusted gross margin of 36.5% to 38.5%, the midpoint weaker than the consensus of 37.7%.
Bruker Corp (BRKR) is down more than -11% after reporting Q2 revenue of $797.4 million, below the consensus of $810.2 million.
LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) is down more than -3% after reporting Q2 adjusted Ebitda of $715 million, weaker than the consensus of $743.9 million.
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down more than -2% after reporting Q2 operating earnings fell -3.8% y/y to $11.16 billion.
Waters (WAT) is down more than -1% after forecasting Q3 adjusted EPS of $3.15-$3.25, the midpoint below the consensus of $3.23.
Earnings Reports (8/4/2025)
Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON), Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA), Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG), Equity Residential (EQR), IDEXX Laboratories Inc (IDXX), Loews Corp (L), ON Semiconductor Corp (ON), ONEOK Inc (OKE), Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR), SBA Communications Corp (SBAC), Simon Property Group Inc (SPG), Tyson Foods Inc (TSN), Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc (VRTX), Waters Corp (WAT), Williams Cos Inc/The (WMB).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Climb on Strength in Magnificent Seven Stocks and Chip Makers

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +0.90%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +0.77%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +1.28%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25) are up +0.95%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU25) are up +1.36%.
Stock indexes are moving higher today as they recover from some of last Friday's sharp losses. Strength in the Magnificent Seven technology stocks and semiconductor chip makers is supporting the broader market. Additionally, the expectation that last Friday's dismal payroll and ISM manufacturing reports will prompt the Fed to lower interest rates is underpinning equity prices. The chances of a Fed rate cut at the September FOMC meeting rose to 90% from 40% before the reports were released.
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In the latest tariff news, President Trump last Thursday raised tariffs on some Canadian goods to 35% from 25% and announced a 10% global minimum, along with tariffs of 15% or higher for countries with trade surpluses with the US, effective after midnight on August 7. According to Bloomberg Economics, the average US tariff will rise to 15.2% if rates are implemented as announced, up from 13.3% earlier, and significantly higher than the 2.3% in 2024 before the tariffs were announced.
The markets this week will focus on earnings reports and any fresh tariff or trade news. Later this morning, Jun factory orders are expected to fall -4.8% m/m. On Tuesday, the June trade deficit is expected to narrow to -$61.3 billion. Also on Tuesday, the July ISM services index is expected to climb by +0.7 to 51.5. On Thursday, weekly initial unemployment claims are expected to increase by +3,000 to 221,000. Also on Thursday, Q2 nonfarm productivity is expected to be +2.0% with unit labor costs rising +1.5%.
Federal funds futures prices are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 90% at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and 76% at the following meeting on October 28-29.
Early results show that S&P 500 earnings are on track to rise +4.5% for the second quarter, better than the pre-season expectations of +2.8% y/y, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. With over 66% of S&P 500 firms having reported Q2 earnings, around 82% exceeded profit estimates.
Overseas stock markets today are mixed. The Euro Stoxx 50 is up sharply by +1.35%. China's Shanghai Composite rebounded from a 2-week low and closed up +0.66%. Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 fell to a 1.5-week low and closed down -1.25%.
Interest Rates
September 10-year T-notes (ZNU25) today are up +4 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down -1.4 bp to 4.202%. Sep T-notes today recovered from overnight losses and rallied to a 3-month nearest-futures high, and the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 1-month low of 4.196%. T-notes are climbing on positive carryover from last Friday's weaker-than-expected payroll and ISM manufacturing reports, which boosted the chance of a Fed rate cut at next month's FOMC meeting to 90% from 40% before the reports. Also, today's -2% drop in WTI crude oil prices has reduced inflation expectations, a bullish factor for T-notes. In addition, today's strength in European government bonds is providing carryover support to T-notes.
Gains in T-notes are limited by a rebound in equity markets, which curbs safe-haven demand for government securities. Also, supply pressures are weighing on T-notes as the Treasury will auction $125 billion of T-notes and T-bonds in this week's August quarterly refunding, beginning with Tuesday's $58 billion auction of 3-year T-notes.
European government bond yields today are moving lower. The 10-year German bund yield fell to a 1.5-week low of 2.638% and is down -3.5 bp to 2.643%. The 10-year UK gilt yield dropped to a 1-month low of 4.502% and is down -1.6 bp to 4.512%.
The Eurozone Aug Sentix investor confidence index unexpectedly fell -8.2 to -3.7, weaker than expectations of an increase to 6.9.
Swaps are discounting the chances at 16% for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at the September 11 policy meeting.
US Stock Movers
Strength in the Magnificent Seven technology stocks is supporting gains in the broader market. Alphabet (GOOGL) is up more than +1%. Also, Nvidia (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA), Meta Platforms (META), Apple (AAPL), and Microsoft (MSFT) are up more than +1%.
Chip stocks are moving higher today, a supportive factor for the overall market. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Broadcom (AVGO), Micron Technology (MU), and ARM Holdings Plc (ARM) are up more than +2%. Also, Lam Research (LRCX), ASML Holding NV (ASML), Applied Materials (AMAT), and Microchip Technology (MCHP) are up more than +1%.
Steelcase (SCS) is up more than +46% after being acquired by HNI for $2.2 billion or about $18.30 per share.
Idexx Labs (IDXX) is up more than +22% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after reporting Q2 revenue of $1.11 billion, better than the consensus of $1.07 billion, and raising its full-year EPS forecast to $12.40-$12.76 from a previous forecast of $11.93-$12.43, stronger than the consensus of $12.21.
Wayfair (W) is up more than +11% after reporting Q2 adjusted EPS of 87 cents, well above the consensus of 33 cents.
Tyson Foods (TSN) is up more than +4% after reporting Q3 sales of $13.88 billion, above the consensus of $13.55 billion.
Spotify (SPOT) is up more than +7% after it said it will increase the monthly cost of premium subscriptions in Markets across South Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, and Latin America.
Walt Disney (DIS) is up more than +2% to lead gainers in the Dow Jones Industrials after Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock to $140 from $120.
BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) is up more than +1% after Benchmark Co. upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $44.
Bruker Corp (BRKR) is down more than -11% after reporting Q2 revenue of $797.4 million, below the consensus of $810.2 million.
ON Semiconductor (ON) is down more than -7% to lead losers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after forecasting Q3 adjusted gross margin of 36.5% to 38.5%, the midpoint weaker than the consensus of 37.7%.
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down more than -2% after reporting Q2 operating earnings fell -3.8% y/y to $11.16 billion.
Waters (WAT) is down more than -2% after forecasting Q3 adjusted EPS of $3.15-$3.25, the midpoint below the consensus of $3.23.
Earnings Reports (8/4/2025)
Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON), Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA), Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG), Equity Residential (EQR), IDEXX Laboratories Inc (IDXX), Loews Corp (L), ON Semiconductor Corp (ON), ONEOK Inc (OKE), Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR), SBA Communications Corp (SBAC), Simon Property Group Inc (SPG), Tyson Foods Inc (TSN), Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc (VRTX), Waters Corp (WAT), Williams Cos Inc/The (WMB).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Stocks Supported by Fed Rate Cut Hopes

Pre-market futures are back in the green this morning, after a dramatic shakeout on Friday that saw a disappointing jobs report lead to the firing of the Chief of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). We now officially see a labor market slowdown with drastic downward revisions to the prior two months, and this means that interest rates are likely to come down.
To wit, bond yields have shrunk. The 10-year has dissolved back to 4.20%, where it hasn’t been since late April. The 2-year is also at 3+ month lows, +3.67%. The odds that the Fed funds rate gets reduced from its current 4.25-4.50% at its next Federal Open Market Committee meeting (mid-September) are now near-certain. In fact, the odds for a third rate cut this year have grown, as well.
The Dow is currently up +195 points ahead of the new trading week, with the S&P 500 at +33 and the Nasdaq +188 points. The small-cap Russell 2000 is up +13. For the month of July — which had performed excellently for the most part — closed in the red for the Dow and Russell 2000, in the green for the Nasdaq and S&P 500.
August tends to be a weaker trading month, historically. However, as Q2 earnings reports continue to file in — more than 500 companies will report on Wednesday alone — and outperform expectations, if they can also raise guidance based on what they see unfolding in the economy, there is a chance for a surprise to the upside this month. Economic reports throughout the month will likely contribute to this forming narrative, as well.
Wayfair Posts Big Earnings Surprise, Tyson Beats
Ahead of today’s open, furniture retailer Wayfair (W) posted a huge +141.67% positive surprise, with earnings of 87 cents per share far ahead of the 36 cents in the Zacks consensus. The Zacks Rank #2 (Buy)-rated company also posted a +4.25% revenue beat this morning, with $3.27 billion reported on the top line. Shares are up +13% on the news, adding to its +47.2% growth year to date.
Tyson Foods (TSN) also outpaced estimates in its fiscal Q3 report this morning, albeit not by as wide of margins. Earnings of 91 cents per share surpassed the 72 cents, for a positive earnings surprise of +26.39%, on revenues of $13.88 billion bettering the Zacks consensus by +1.88%. Shares are trading up +5% in today’s pre-market, making up for most of the stock’s -8.5% loss year to date.
What to Expect from the Stock Market Today
After the opening bell this morning, we’ll take a look at Factory Orders for the month of June. These are expected to shift to a negative month over month: -4.9% from +8.2% the prior month, which was the highest single-month tally in more than 10 years. A negative print would be the second in the past three months, so we see these numbers clumping a bit.
Cybersecurity favorite Palantir (PLTR) reports Q2 earnings after today’s close. The stock, currently registering as a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), is expected to gain +55.56% on earnings year over year and +38.37% on revenues. Even with Friday’s $4 selloff per share, Palantir shares are still trading over +100% year to date.
Zacks Names #1 Semiconductor Stock
This under-the-radar company specializes in semiconductor products that titans like NVIDIA don't build. It's uniquely positioned to take advantage of the next growth stage of this market. And it's just beginning to enter the spotlight, which is exactly where you want to be.
With strong earnings growth and an expanding customer base, it's positioned to feed the rampant demand for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Internet of Things. Global semiconductor manufacturing is projected to explode from $452 billion in 2021 to $971 billion by 2028.
See This Stock Now for Free >>
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Markets Await Factor Orders Data

Monday, August 4, 2025
Pre-market futures are back in the green this morning, after a dramatic shakeout on Friday that saw a disappointing jobs report lead to the firing of the Chief of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). We now officially see a labor market slowdown with drastic downward revisions to the prior two months, and this means that interest rates are likely to come down.
To wit, bond yields have shrunk. The 10-year has dissolved back to 4.20%, where it hasn’t been since late April. The 2-year is also at 3+ month lows, +3.67%. The odds that the Fed funds rate gets reduced from its current 4.25-4.50% at its next Federal Open Market Committee meeting (mid-September) are now near-certain. In fact, the odds for a third rate cut this year have grown, as well.
The Dow is currently up +195 points ahead of the new trading week, with the S&P 500 at +33 and the Nasdaq +188 points. The small-cap Russell 2000 is up +13. For the month of July — which had performed excellently for the most part — closed in the red for the Dow and Russell 2000, in the green for the Nasdaq and S&P 500.
August tends to be a weaker trading month, historically. However, as Q2 earnings reports continue to file in — more than 500 companies will report on Wednesday alone — and outperform expectations, if they can also raise guidance based on what they see unfolding in the economy, there is a chance for a surprise to the upside this month. Economic reports throughout the month will likely contribute to this forming narrative, as well.
Wayfair Posts Big Earnings Surprise, Tyson Beats
Ahead of today’s open, furniture retailer Wayfair W posted a huge +141.67% positive surprise, with earnings of 87 cents per share far ahead of the 36 cents in the Zacks consensus. The Zacks Rank #2 (Buy)-rated company also posted a +4.25% revenue beat this morning, with $3.27 billion reported on the top line. Shares are up +13% on the news, adding to its +47.2% growth year to date. For more on W’s earnings, click here.
Tyson Foods TSN also outpaced estimates in its fiscal Q3 report this morning, albeit not by as wide of margins. Earnings of 91 cents per share surpassed the 72 cents, for a positive earnings surprise of +26.39%, on revenues of $13.88 billion bettering the Zacks consensus by +1.88%. Shares are trading up +5% in today’s pre-market, making up for most of the stock’s -8.5% loss year to date. For more on TSN’s earnings, click here.
What to Expect from the Stock Market Today
After the opening bell this morning, we’ll take a look at Factory Orders for the month of June. These are expected to shift to a negative month over month: -4.9% from +8.2% the prior month, which was the highest single-month tally in more than 10 years. A negative print would be the second in the past three months, so we see these numbers clumping a bit.
Cybersecurity favorite Palantir PLTR reports Q2 earnings after today’s close. The stock, currently registering as a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), is expected to gain +55.56% on earnings year over year and +38.37% on revenues. Even with Friday’s $4 selloff per share, Palantir shares are still trading over +100% year to date.
Questions or comments about this article and/or author? Click here>>
Zacks Names #1 Semiconductor Stock
This under-the-radar company specializes in semiconductor products that titans like NVIDIA don't build. It's uniquely positioned to take advantage of the next growth stage of this market. And it's just beginning to enter the spotlight, which is exactly where you want to be.
With strong earnings growth and an expanding customer base, it's positioned to feed the rampant demand for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Internet of Things. Global semiconductor manufacturing is projected to explode from $452 billion in 2021 to $971 billion by 2028.
See This Stock Now for Free >>
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Pre-markets Back in the Green to Start New Trading Week

Tyson Foods (TSN) reported $13.88 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 4%. EPS of $0.91 for the same period compares to $0.87 a year ago.
The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.88% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.63 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $0.72, the EPS surprise was +26.39%.
While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.
Here is how Tyson performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
Volume - YoY change: -0.1% versus -0.6% estimated by two analysts on average.
Volume - Chicken-YoY change: 2.4% versus the two-analyst average estimate of 1.3%.
Volume-Prepared Foods-YoY change: -2.3% versus -2% estimated by two analysts on average.
Volume - Pork-YoY change: 1.5% compared to the -2.3% average estimate based on two analysts.
Volume - Beef-YoY change: -3.1% versus the two-analyst average estimate of -1%.
Sales- Chicken: $4.22 billion versus the two-analyst average estimate of $4.09 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +3.5%.
Sales- Beef: $5.6 billion versus the two-analyst average estimate of $5.59 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +6.9%.
Sales- International/Other: $557 million versus $580.55 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -4.3% change.
Sales- Prepared Foods: $2.52 billion versus $2.4 billion estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +3.4% change.
Intersegment Sales: $-517 million versus $-462 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +17.5% change.
Sales- Pork: $1.51 billion compared to the $1.43 billion average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +3% year over year.
Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)- Beef: $-151 million compared to the $-167.8 million average estimate based on two analysts.
Shares of Tyson have returned -8.4% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.6% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.
Zacks Names #1 Semiconductor Stock
This under-the-radar company specializes in semiconductor products that titans like NVIDIA don't build. It's uniquely positioned to take advantage of the next growth stage of this market. And it's just beginning to enter the spotlight, which is exactly where you want to be.
With strong earnings growth and an expanding customer base, it's positioned to feed the rampant demand for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Internet of Things. Global semiconductor manufacturing is projected to explode from $452 billion in 2021 to $971 billion by 2028.
See This Stock Now for Free >>
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.