Brinker International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the ownership, development, operation, and franchising of casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates and franchises Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy restaurant brands. The company also operates virtual brands, It's Just Wings. Brinker International, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Brinker International appears to be a company with strong operating profitability, but with a noticeably strained balance sheet and a relatively expensive valuation on an asset and revenue basis. Its P/E of 13.98 is below the industry median, which supports the case for reasonable earnings per share, especially in light of EPS growth to 2.90 and an improved EPS forecast of 2.85. At the same time, P/S of 1.13 is above the industry median, while P/B of 17.75 is extremely high, indicating a premium to book value and limiting further upside potential. P/FCF, at around the median, looks neutral and suggests that free cash flow is already partially reflected in the price. Profitability is impressive: ROE, ROA, ROI, and return on tangible equity are significantly above industry levels, and operating and net margins are also stronger than the median. The margin trend is generally positive, but gross margin remains below the industry level, showing pressure on cost of goods sold and limiting the quality of growth. Revenue, gross profit, EBITDA, and operating income are generally holding at stable or slightly improving levels, confirming the business’s resilience. The weak point is liquidity: the quick ratio is zero, and the current ratio is 0.40, which means there is very limited short-term financial flexibility. Debt burden is also higher than the industry average, although debt/equity has declined compared with earlier periods, partially mitigating the risk. Low cash on hand combined with significant liabilities increases sensitivity to a deterioration in the operating cycle or rising interest rates. The 1.25% dividend yield is not, by itself, a strong re-rating driver and looks more like a secondary than a primary argument for an investor. Overall, the fundamentals support a moderately positive view of the business, but the high P/B valuation and weak liquidity restrain any upward revision to the target, so any adjustment should remain small and conservative.

Brinker International, Inc.

Сильный индекс, значительно упал. Быки в растерянности.

Strong index, significantly down. The bulls are confused.

Сильный индекс, значительно вырос. Рынок на стороне быков.

Strong index, significantly up. The market is on the bulls' side.

Сильный индекс, значительно вырос. Приток средств в лонги на высоком уровне.

Strong index, significantly up. Inflow of funds into longs at a high level.

Strong EAT profitability and margins support the valuation, but weak liquidity, a high P/B ratio, and elevated debt limit upside potential.

Looking today at week-over-week shares outstanding changes among the universe of ETFs covered at ETF Channel, one standout is the Principal US Small-Cap ETF (Symbol: PSC) where we have detected an approximate $309.6 million dollar outflow -- that's a 12.1% decrease week over week (from 37,320,001 to 32,800,001). Among the largest underlying components of PSC, in trading today WisdomTree Inc (Symbol: WT) is off about 3.9%, Brinker International, Inc. (Symbol: EAT) is up about 2.7%, and Zeta Global Holdings Corp (Symbol: ZETA) is up by about 1.5%. For a complete list of holdings, visit the PSC Holdings page » The chart below shows the one year price performance of PSC, versus its 200 day moving average:
Looking at the chart above, PSC's low point in its 52 week range is $51.34 per share, with $70.5638 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $68.15. Comparing the most recent share price to the 200 day moving average can also be a useful technical analysis technique -- learn more about the 200 day moving average ».
Exchange traded funds (ETFs) trade just like stocks, but instead of ''shares'' investors are actually buying and selling ''units''. These ''units'' can be traded back and forth just like stocks, but can also be created or destroyed to accommodate investor demand. Each week we monitor the week-over-week change in shares outstanding data, to keep a lookout for those ETFs experiencing notable inflows (many new units created) or outflows (many old units destroyed). Creation of new units will mean the underlying holdings of the ETF need to be purchased, while destruction of units involves selling underlying holdings, so large flows can also impact the individual components held within ETFs.
Further PSC Research:
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Notable ETF Outflow Detected - PSC, WT, EAT, ZETA

In a market shaped by shifting macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, investors should avoid relying solely on stock price movements when making decisions. Instead, reviewing a company’s fundamentals — financial strength, earnings trends and business outlook — is essential for identifying stocks that can better withstand uncertainty. Although the U.S. stock market closed higher on Friday, concerns over inflation and rising borrowing costs cannot be ignored.
Against this backdrop, assessing a company’s debt-servicing ability becomes especially important, as elevated borrowing costs can pressure profitability and financial flexibility. While sales and earnings are often the primary metrics investors track, they may not fully reflect whether a company can comfortably meet its financial obligations. This is where the interest coverage ratio becomes particularly important, as it measures how easily a company can pay interest expenses on its outstanding debt.
Dell Technologies Inc. DELL, Brinker International, Inc. EAT, Tapestry, Inc. TPR and Alcon Inc. ALC stand out for their strong interest coverage ratios.
Why Interest Coverage Ratio?
The interest coverage ratio is used to determine how effectively a company can pay interest charges on its debt.
Debt, which is crucial to financing operations for the majority of companies, comes at a cost called interest. Interest expense has a direct bearing on the profitability of a company. The company’s creditworthiness depends on how effectively it meets its interest obligations. Therefore, the interest coverage ratio is one of the important criteria to factor in before making any investment decision.
Interest Coverage Ratio = Earnings before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) divided by Interest Expense.
The interest coverage ratio suggests how many times the interest could be paid from earnings and gauges the margin of safety a firm has for paying interest.
An interest coverage ratio lower than 1 suggests that the company is unable to fulfill its interest obligations and could default on repaying debt. A company capable of generating earnings well above its interest expense can withstand financial hardships. One should also track the company’s past performance to determine whether the interest coverage ratio has improved or worsened over time.
The Winning Strategy
Apart from having an interest coverage ratio that is more than the industry average, adding a favorable Zacks Rank and a VGM Score of A or B to your search criteria should lead to better results.
Interest coverage ratio greater than X-Industry Median
Price greater than or equal to 5: The stocks must all be trading at a minimum of $5 or higher.
5-Year Historical EPS Growth (%) greater than X-Industry Median: Stocks with a strong EPS growth history.
Projected EPS Growth (%) greater than X-Industry Median: This is the projected EPS growth over the next three to five years. This shows that the stock has near-term earnings growth potential.
Average 20-Day Volume greater than 100,000: A substantial trading volume ensures that the stock is easily tradable.
Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2: Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) stocks are known to outperform irrespective of the market environment.
VGM Score of less than or equal to B: Our research shows that stocks with a VGM Score of A or B, when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 or 2, offer the best upside potential.
Here are four of the 10 stocks that qualified the screening:
Dell Technologies, a global technology company that provides IT infrastructure, cloud computing, data storage and digital transformation solutions, sports a Zacks Rank #1 and has a VGM Score of B. DELL has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 18.7%, on average. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dell Technologies’ current financial-year sales and EPS calls for growth of 50.2% and 82.2%, respectively, from the year-ago period. The stock has soared 246.2% over the past year.
Brinker International, one of the world's leading casual dining restaurant companies, carries a Zacks Rank #2 and has a VGM Score of A. EAT has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 6.8%, on average.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Brinker International’s current financial-year sales and EPS indicates growth of 7.9% and 20.8%, respectively, from the year-ago period. The stock has advanced 12.1% over the past year.
Tapestry, the parent company of Coach and kate spade new york, carries a Zacks Rank #2. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 15.6%, on average.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tapestry’s current financial-year sales and EPS implies growth of 13.9% and 36.5%, respectively, from the year-ago period. TPR has a VGM Score of A. The stock has rallied 38.6% over the past year.
Alcon, the global leader in eye care, carries a Zacks Rank #2 and has a VGM Score of B. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.7%, on average.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alcon’s current financial-year sales and EPS suggests growth of 7.3% and 14%, respectively, from the year-ago period. The stock has fallen 22.3% over the past year.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

DELL & 3 More Stocks With Strong Interest Coverage to Buy Now

Investors looking for stocks in the Retail - Restaurants sector might want to consider either Brinker International (EAT) or Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG). But which of these two stocks offers value investors a better bang for their buck right now? We'll need to take a closer look.
There are plenty of strategies for discovering value stocks, but we have found that pairing a strong Zacks Rank with an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system produces the best returns. The Zacks Rank is a proven strategy that targets companies with positive earnings estimate revision trends, while our Style Scores work to grade companies based on specific traits.
Currently, Brinker International has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), while Chipotle Mexican Grill has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold). This means that EAT's earnings estimate revision activity has been more impressive, so investors should feel comfortable with its improving analyst outlook. However, value investors will care about much more than just this.
Value investors analyze a variety of traditional, tried-and-true metrics to help find companies that they believe are undervalued at their current share price levels.
Our Value category grades stocks based on a number of key metrics, including the tried-and-true P/E ratio, the P/S ratio, earnings yield, and cash flow per share, as well as a variety of other fundamentals that value investors frequently use.
EAT currently has a forward P/E ratio of 15.63, while CMG has a forward P/E of 30.05. We also note that EAT has a PEG ratio of 1.20. This figure is similar to the commonly-used P/E ratio, with the PEG ratio also factoring in a company's expected earnings growth rate. CMG currently has a PEG ratio of 2.19.
Another notable valuation metric for EAT is its P/B ratio of 17.75. The P/B ratio pits a stock's market value against its book value, which is defined as total assets minus total liabilities. For comparison, CMG has a P/B of 18.11.
These are just a few of the metrics contributing to EAT's Value grade of B and CMG's Value grade of D.
EAT has seen stronger estimate revision activity and sports more attractive valuation metrics than CMG, so it seems like value investors will conclude that EAT is the superior option right now.
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EAT or CMG: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG have declined 37.8% in the past year compared with the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry’s 8% drop. Over the same timeframe, the stock has underperformed the S&P 500’s growth of 25.2%.
The pullback reflects mounting concerns over Chipotle’s underlying demand profile and profitability outlook. The company emphasized a more cautious consumer backdrop, while traffic trends remained modest and sales mix continued to face pressure from lower group sizes and changing purchasing patterns. At the same time, persistent inflation across key inputs, wage pressures and higher operating costs have weighed on margin expansion. These dynamics have likely prompted investors to reassess the sustainability of Chipotle’s historically strong growth and profitability trajectory, prompting a more cautious view of the stock.
CMG One-Year Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a technical perspective, CMG stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, signaling a bearish trend.
CMG Stock Trades Below 50-Day Moving Average
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Given the sharp pullback in Chipotle’s shares, investors may be tempted to view the decline as a buying opportunity. But with margin pressure and cautious consumer trends still in focus, is now the right time to buy CMG or stay on the sidelines? Let’s take a closer look.
What’s Pressuring CMG Stock?
Chipotle’s stock is facing pressure from softer profitability trends despite management’s focus on improving restaurant execution, menu innovation and guest engagement. The company noted that margins remain under pressure as pricing is running below inflation, limiting its ability to fully offset higher costs.
Cost inflation remains a key headwind, particularly in beef, freight, avocados, dairy and other food items. While some commodities have been favorable at times, management expects the cost of sales to remain pressured as higher input costs offset modest pricing benefits.
Labor and operating expenses are also weighing on profitability. Wage inflation, lower average restaurant sales volumes, higher benefits expense, increased marketing spending, utilities and delivery costs have all added pressure. Chipotle is also reinvesting efficiency gains from new equipment and technology back into the restaurants rather than using them immediately to expand margins.
The broader concern is that management remains cautious about the consumer environment. While initiatives such as limited-time menu offerings, rewards, restaurant execution and equipment upgrades are gaining traction, Chipotle is still guiding conservatively due to uncertain demand conditions, geopolitical pressure and higher gas prices.
Can Chipotle Overcome the Headwinds?
Chipotle appears focused on offsetting near-term cost and consumer pressures through stronger restaurant execution, menu innovation and deeper guest engagement. Management believes its Recipe for Growth strategy is beginning to gain traction, supported by improvements in hospitality, throughput and operational consistency.
Menu innovation remains an important lever. The company is increasing the cadence of limited-time offerings, including proteins, sauces, sides and beverages, to drive incremental visits and keep the brand relevant with guests. Management also noted that these launches can support both new customer trial and repeat frequency over time.
Chipotle is also leaning on technology and equipment upgrades to improve restaurant performance. Its high-efficiency equipment package, digital make-line display and AI-enabled tools are designed to improve speed, accuracy, prep efficiency and manager productivity. The company is using those gains to improve throughput, hospitality and the overall guest experience, rather than treating them mainly as near-term cost-saving tools.
Chipotle also has several fundamentals that may help it manage these pressures. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with no debt, continues to generate consistent new restaurant economics and still sees a long-term path toward 7,000 restaurants. At the operating level, management is using rewards, menu innovation and high-efficiency equipment to support traffic, throughput and food quality, while progress in Europe adds another layer to the company’s long-term growth story.
CMG Stock Valuation Insights
Over the past 60 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Chipotle’s fiscal 2026 earnings per share (EPS) has declined from $1.14 to $1.13. Over the same time frame, estimates for industry players, including Brinker International, Inc. EAT, CAVA Group, Inc. CAVA and Yum! Brands, Inc. YUM, have increased 0.5%, 10% and 2.1%, respectively.
CMG Earnings Estimate Trend
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Chipotle stock is currently trading at a premium. CMG is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 25.4, well above the industry average of 22.42, reflecting an attractive investment opportunity. Other industry players, such as Brinker, CAVA and Yum! Brands, have P/E ratios of 12.86, 142.54 and 21.68, respectively.
CMG’s P/E Ratio (Forward 12-Month) vs. Industry
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Our Thoughts on CMG Stock
Chipotle’s sharp pullback may make the stock look more appealing to long-term investors, but near-term caution still appears warranted. The company’s strong balance sheet, long-term unit growth runway, menu innovation, rewards push and operational investments support its broader growth story.
However, modest traffic growth, margin pressure, a cautious consumer backdrop and downward earnings estimate revisions suggest that a meaningful recovery may take time. CMG’s premium valuation also leaves limited room for execution missteps, especially when peers are seeing stronger estimate momentum.
Given the stock’s bearish technical setup and ongoing profitability headwinds, investors may prefer to hold steady and wait for clearer evidence of sustained traffic improvement and margin stabilization before becoming more constructive on the stock.
Chipotle currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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Chipotle Stock Falls 38% in a Year: Should You Buy Now or Hold Steady?

In trading on Wednesday, shares of Brinker International, Inc. (Symbol: EAT) crossed above their 200 day moving average of $145.49, changing hands as high as $150.70 per share. Brinker International, Inc. shares are currently trading up about 15.6% on the day. The chart below shows the one year performance of EAT shares, versus its 200 day moving average:
Looking at the chart above, EAT's low point in its 52 week range is $100.30 per share, with $187.123 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $149.38.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Brinker International Breaks Above 200-Day Moving Average - Bullish for EAT

Brinker International (EAT) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.9 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.85 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.66 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +1.72%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this operator of restaurant chains Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy would post earnings of $2.53 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.87, delivering a surprise of +13.44%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.
Brinker International, which belongs to the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry, posted revenues of $1.47 billion for the quarter ended March 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.59%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $1.43 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Brinker International shares have lost about 10% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 4.3%.
What's Next for Brinker International?
While Brinker International has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Brinker International was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $3.06 on $1.53 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $10.71 on $5.81 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Retail - Restaurants is currently in the bottom 25% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Another stock from the same industry, Dine Brands (DIN), has yet to report results for the quarter ended March 2026. The results are expected to be released on May 6.
This parent company of Applebee's and IHOP restaurants is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.00 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -2.9%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.5% lower over the last 30 days to the current level.
Dine Brands' revenues are expected to be $223.73 million, up 4.2% from the year-ago quarter.
Should You Invest in Brinker International, Inc. (EAT)?
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Brinker International (EAT) Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates

Brinker International, Inc. EAT is scheduled to report third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on April 29.
EAT’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 8.2%.
Trend in the Estimate Revision of EAT
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) is pegged at $2.85, indicating a rise of 7.1% from $2.66 reported in the year-ago quarter.
For revenues, the consensus mark is pegged at $1.48 billion. The metric suggests a rise of 3.8% from the year-ago quarter’s figure.
Brinker International, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise
Let us take a look at how things might have shaped up in the quarter to be reported.
Factors Likely to Shape EAT’s Quarterly Results
Brinker’s fiscal third-quarter performance is expected to have reflected continued momentum at Chili’s, supported by sustained traffic gains, strong value positioning and ongoing improvements in food, service and atmosphere. The company is likely to have benefited from its focus on everyday value, menu upgrades and marketing effectiveness, driving guest demand. Steady pricing in the 3%-5% range, along with positive traffic trends prior to weather-related disruptions, is anticipated to have supported top-line performance during the quarter.
Chili’s performance is expected to have remained the key contributor in the quarter under review. The brand is likely to have benefited from consistent execution across its core operating pillars, including menu simplification, food quality enhancements and operational discipline. Initiatives such as the “3 For Me” platform and Margarita of the Month program, along with continued strength in core menu categories, are expected to have supported traffic and mix. Improvements in guest metrics, including lower “guests with a problem” scores and higher intent-to-return levels, are likely to have reflected ongoing progress in the underlying business. Our model predicts fiscal third-quarter revenues from Chili’s to rise 4.6% year over year to $1.36 billion.
Investments in marketing and menu innovation are expected to have supported performance during the fiscal third quarter. The company’s emphasis on value-led offerings, combined with disciplined innovation across key categories such as burgers, appetizers and beverages, is likely to have aided guest engagement. Ongoing operational focus and marketing initiatives are expected to have remained central to traffic trends during the period.
Brinker’s fiscal third-quarter bottom line is likely to have faced pressure from several factors. Weather-related disruptions, including Winter Storm Fern, are expected to have impacted traffic trends during the quarter. Additionally, Maggiano’s performance is likely to have remained a drag, with expectations for negative mid-single-digit same-store sales and continued margin pressure. Our model predicts fiscal third-quarter revenues from Maggiano's to decline 6.8% year over year to $112.7 million.
Commodity inflation, particularly in beef, along with ongoing investments in food quality and higher input costs, is likely to have weighed on margins during the fiscal third quarter. Our model predicts fiscal third-quarter Food and Beverage Costs to rise 3.8% year over year to $366.6 million.
What Our Model Says About EAT Stock
Our proven model predicts an earnings beat for Brinker this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is exactly the case here.
Earnings ESP for EAT: Brinker currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.60%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Brinker’s Zacks Rank: The company currently has a Zacks Rank #3.
Other Stocks With the Favorable Combination
Here are a few other stocks from the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector, which, according to our model, also have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this reporting cycle.
CAVA Group, Inc. CAVA currently has an Earnings ESP of +9.78% and a Zacks Rank of 3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
In the to-be-reported quarter, CAVA’s earnings are expected to decline 22.7%. CAVA’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed on one occasion, the average surprise being 26.5%.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.20% and a Zacks Rank of 3.
In the to-be-reported quarter, Cheesecake Factory’s earnings are expected to register a 7.5% year-over-year rise. Cheesecake Factory’s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average beat of 9.9%.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG has an Earnings ESP of +1.80% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present.
In the to-be-reported quarter, Chipotle’s earnings are expected to register a 17.2% year-over-year decline. Chipotle’s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average beat of 3.6%.
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Brinker to Post Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards for the Stock?

Starbucks Corporation SBUX is scheduled to report second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on April 28, after the closing bell.
SBUX’s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average miss of 12.1%.
Trend in Estimate Revision of SBUX
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal second-quarter earnings per share (EPS) is pegged at 43 cents, indicating a rise of 4.9% from 41 cents reported in the year-ago quarter.
Starbucks Corporation Price and EPS Surprise
For revenues, the consensus mark is pegged at nearly $9.2 billion. The metric suggests a rise of 4.5% from the year-ago quarter’s figure.
Let’s take a look at how things have shaped up in the quarter.
Factors Likely to Shape Starbucks’ Quarterly Results
During the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Starbucks’ performance is expected to have reflected continued progress in its “Back to Starbucks” turnaround strategy. The company is likely to have benefited from sustained transaction growth, supported by improving customer demand and broader engagement across both rewards and non-rewards cohorts.
The ongoing rollout of the Green Apron Service model is expected to remain a key operational driver. The initiative focuses on improving service consistency, staffing and service execution, and customer connection, which likely supported better throughput, order accuracy and overall store performance.
Marketing and product innovation are likely to have contributed during the fiscal second quarter. Starbucks’ revised marketing approach and focus on cultural relevance are likely to have supported improvements in brand affinity, visit consideration and first-choice positioning. At the same time, menu innovation, including continued traction in platforms such as protein beverages, likely supported customer engagement and incremental traffic.
The company’s rewards ecosystem likely remained an important engagement driver in the fiscal second quarter. Personalization within the platform likely supported engagement across customer cohorts, contributing to higher customer frequency and transaction growth.
On the international front, Starbucks is expected to have maintained momentum, with comparable sales growth across most major markets. China likely remained a key contributor, supported by product innovation, marketing effectiveness and continued expansion in delivery. Store expansion across international regions likely aided the company's performance in the to-be-reported quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for International revenues in the fiscal second quarter is pegged at $2 billion, up from $1.87 billion reported a year ago.
Starbucks’ bottom line is likely to have reflected seasonal pressures, as the fiscal second quarter is typically the lowest-margin period. However, lower depreciation and amortization linked to China’s held-for-sale accounting treatment, along with ongoing cost initiatives and investments, may have provided partial offsets. Coffee and tariff-related cost pressures are expected to have peaked in the to-be-reported quarter.
What Our Model Says About SBUX Stock
Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Starbucks this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. However, that's not the case here.
Starbucks’ Earnings ESP: Starbucks has an Earnings ESP of -0.29%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Zacks Rank of Starbucks: The company has a Zacks Rank #3 at present.
Stocks With the Favorable Combination
Here are some stocks worth considering from the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector that investors may consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat.
CAVA Group, Inc. CAVA currently has an Earnings ESP of +12.1% and a Zacks Rank of 3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
In the to-be-reported quarter, CAVA’s earnings are expected to decline 22.7%. CAVA’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed on one occasion, the average surprise being 26.5%.
Brinker International, Inc. EAT currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.93% and a Zacks Rank of 3.
In the to-be-reported quarter, Brinker’s earnings are expected to register a 7.1% year-over-year rise. Brinker's earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average beat of 8.2%.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG has an Earnings ESP of +1.11% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present.
In the to-be-reported quarter, Chipotle’s earnings are expected to register a 17.2% year-over-year decline. Chipotle’s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average beat of 3.6%.
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Starbucks to Post Q2 Earnings: What's in the Cards for the Stock?

Brinker International, Inc. EAT has delivered an impressive run, climbing 23% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the broader industry’s 2.5% rise and the S&P 500's 5.9% gain.
The company’s momentum is being supported by smart pricing actions and a shift toward higher-margin menu offerings. At the same time, initiatives aimed at boosting traffic and expanding its restaurant base are contributing to steady top-line growth. Brinker is also stepping up efforts to grow Chili’s presence internationally by partnering with both new and existing franchisees, reinforcing its long-term expansion strategy.
EAT Trades Below Peak Despite Strong Rally
Even after this strong performance, the stock ended at $157.23 yesterday, about 16% below its 52-week high of $187.12. However, the stock remains well above its 52-week low of $100.30, highlighting a solid recovery trend. Notably, Brinker has outperformed peers such as Wingstop Inc. WING, Shake Shack Inc. SHAK and Domino's Pizza, Inc. DPZ during this period.
Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Growth Drivers Powering EAT Stock
Brinker continues to benefit from strong traction at Chili’s, where consistent same-store sales growth and rising guest traffic highlight the effectiveness of its turnaround efforts. The brand has built a steady growth engine by improving food quality, service standards and overall dining experience. These enhancements not only help retain existing customers but also attract new ones, creating a virtuous cycle of repeat visits and sustained sales growth.
Another key strength lies in the company’s well-balanced pricing and menu strategy. Brinker has positioned itself as a value leader within casual dining, offering compelling price points without sacrificing margins. Its focus on core menu upgrades, successful promotions and high-demand offerings has supported both traffic and ticket growth. At the same time, simplifying the menu and prioritizing top-performing items has improved operational efficiency and consistency across locations.
In addition, disciplined execution across marketing and operations is reinforcing the company’s performance. Strong advertising campaigns and brand positioning are driving awareness and customer engagement, while operational improvements are enhancing service reliability. Investments in restaurant upgrades and new product launches are expected to further strengthen brand appeal and support long-term expansion, positioning the company for continued market share gains.
Key Challenges Weighing on Performance
One of the primary concerns for Brinker remains the underperformance of Maggiano’s. The segment continues to post negative comparable sales and is dilutive to overall margins. Although management is taking steps to revive the brand through menu and service improvements, the recovery is gradual and requires ongoing investment, which is pressuring near-term profitability.
The company is also navigating a challenging cost environment. Rising input costs, particularly in commodities like beef, along with higher labor and insurance expenses, are creating margin headwinds. On top of this, external factors such as weather disruptions have impacted sales in the short term. Continued spending on advertising and operational initiatives, while important for growth, is adding to cost pressures and limiting margin expansion in the near term.
Brinker’s Bottom Line Improves
EAT’s earnings trajectory is on a sharp upward trend, with projections signaling substantial growth ahead. The company is expected to deliver earnings of $10.70 per share in fiscal 2026, marking a 20.2% year-over-year surge. The momentum is set to carry into fiscal 2027, with earnings forecast to climb up 15.2% to $12.32 per share.
This impressive earnings expansion highlights Brinker’s strong upside potential and reinforces confidence in the long-term growth story, positioning it for sustained success in the years ahead.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
EAT Trades at a Discount
Brinker is trading at a discount on a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio basis. EAT’s forward 12-month P/E ratio stands at 13.12X, lower than the industry. This indicates that despite the recent stock price increase in the past six months, it remains an attractive option for investors looking for a discounted entry point.
EAT P/E Ratio (Forward 12 Months)
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Wrapping Up
Brinker appears well-positioned for continued growth, supported by strong momentum at Chili’s, effective pricing strategies and consistent operational improvements that are driving traffic and enhancing margins. The company’s ability to balance value with profitability, along with ongoing menu innovation and marketing strength, reinforces its competitive edge in the casual dining space.
While challenges such as cost pressures and the slower recovery of Maggiano’s remain, these headwinds seem manageable given the broader strength of the core business. With earnings trending higher and valuation still relatively attractive compared with peers, investors may benefit from holding the stock to participate in its ongoing growth trajectory rather than exiting prematurely. The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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Brinker Delivers 23% Returns in 6 Months: Time to Lock Profits?

Brinker International, Inc. EAT is proving that Chili’s turnaround is both real and sustainable. The brand posted 8.6% same-store sales growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, marking its 19th straight quarter of expansion. This performance has been supported by a strong combination of value positioning, disciplined operations and effective marketing efforts.
Importantly, traffic trends remain positive, indicating that the growth is not being driven solely by pricing but by genuine increases in guest demand.
At the core of Chili’s success is its focus on fundamentals. Management has leaned into menu simplification, consistent food quality and improved in-store experience. Metrics like “guests with a problem” have steadily declined, while guest satisfaction scores have climbed, reinforcing a stronger brand perception. This operational consistency, combined with sharp value offerings like the “3 For Me” platform, continues to attract new customers while retaining existing ones.
Menu innovation is another key pillar, but with discipline. Rather than relying on short-term promotions, Chili’s is upgrading core categories such as burgers, ribs and appetizers. These enhancements are building sustainable sales layers, not temporary spikes. The upcoming national launch of a revamped chicken sandwich platform represents the next demand driver, targeting a large and highly penetrated category with differentiated flavors and tiered pricing.
Looking ahead, the next growth lever extends beyond menu innovation. Store reimaging and new unit expansion are set to play a bigger role. Early remodel tests are encouraging, with management planning to accelerate reimaging and unit growth through fiscal 2027-2028. Combined with continued marketing strength and value leadership, these initiatives could unlock the next phase of growth.
In sum, Chili’s has fixed its foundation. The challenge now is scaling that success through new products, refreshed stores and disciplined expansion, without losing the operational edge that fueled its comeback.
Peers Compete on Value and Traffic Momentum
Brinker’s momentum at Chili’s is unfolding in a competitive casual dining space, where players like Darden Restaurants DRI and Texas Roadhouse TXRH are also sharpening their strategies.
Darden continues to rely on strong brand equity and measured pricing across concepts like Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse. Its focus on consistency and margin protection supports stability, though Darden’s value positioning is less aggressive compared to Chili’s, which may limit traffic upside in a price-sensitive environment.
Texas Roadhouse stands out for its strong traffic momentum, driven by quality food, generous portions and a vibrant dining experience. Its value-for-money proposition has helped Texas Roadhouse consistently outperform peers on guest traffic.
Against these competitors, Chili’s differentiates itself by blending sharp value offerings with improved operations. This enables it to capture both budget-conscious diners and experience-focused customers.
EAT’s Price Performance, Valuation and Estimates
Brinker’s shares have gained 23% over the past six months, compared with the industry’s 5.1% growth.
Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
In terms of its forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio, EAT is trading at 12.85, down from the industry average of 23.49.
P/E (F12M)
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Over the past seven days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for EAT’s fiscal 2026 earnings per share has increased, as shown in the chart.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
EAT currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Indicator	TTM Median
P/E	13.98 19.50
Price/Sales	1.13 0.68
P/B	17.75 1.79
P/FCF	14.36 14.32

Indicator	TTM Median
ROE	123.73 14.96
ROA	17.01 4.87
ROI	55.77 8.60
Net Worth	6.35 0.87
Quick Ratio	0.00 0.86
Current Ratio	0.40 1.40

Indicator	TTM Median
Net Profit Margin	8.09 5.77
Operating Margin	10.40 8.17
Gross Margin	18.59 39.42
Return on tangible equity	283.79 21.16

Indicator	TTM Median
EPS	2.90 0.49
EPS Forecast	2.85 0.46
Revenue	1.47B 192.50M
Gross Profit	282.00M —
EBITDA	222.00M —

Brinker International, Inc.

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