Dutch Bros Inc.

Сильный индекс, значительно упал. Быки в растерянности.

Strong index, significantly down. The bulls are confused.

Средний индекс, незначительно вырос. Рынок не поддерживает быков.

Medium index, slightly up. The market does not support the bulls.

Средний индекс, незначительно вырос. Отток средств из лонгов на высоком уровне.

Medium index, slightly up. Outflow of funds from longs at a high level.

Key Points
Dutch Bros stock has fallen 33% in 2026, even as the business keeps growing.
Sales are up 58% over three years, and free cash flow has tripled
A drive-through model makes new Dutch Bros stores faster and cheaper to build.
Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) is struggling. At least, that's the way it looks when you're checking out its stock chart. The coffee chain's share price is down 33% year-to-date as of Oct. 16. At the same time, Dutch Bros is doing pretty much everything right.
Is the fast-growing coffee stock a good buy right now?
Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
Brewing up strong results
I'm not kidding about the company's business performance.
Dutch Bros keeps beating analyst expectations across the board in every earnings report, often by a wide margin.
Trailing sales are up 58% over the last three years. The store count increased by 62% to 1,225 locations over the same period. Diluted earnings per share? Up 142%. Free cash flow tripled.
Same-store sales also tick up in almost every report, including a 3.8% year-over-year jump in Q2 2026.
And the founder-led management team has a very specific growth plan. Dutch Bros should have 2,029 stores in the year 2029. Beyond that punny target, the company could reach 7,000 domestic stores before looking for international growth.
What makes Dutch Bros different
Dutch Bros backs up its strong results and ambitious plans with concrete business advantages.
Customer-friendly baristas are kind of expected at every coffee shop, but an outgoing personality is a written requirement for this company's "broistas." A wide variety of flavoring syrups and toppings lets every customer create their own dream drink. In hot, humid states or seasons, the company sells a ton of energy refreshers and blended freeze coffees -- cold drinks for a warm day.
And the company's focus on the drive-through experience brings another important advantage. The shops don't come with sit-down dining areas that require cleaning and maintenance. Furthermore, the resulting tiny footprint makes the store construction a bit faster and cheaper. The network would expand much more slowly if Dutch Bros insisted on cozy sit-downs in the Starbucks style.
Time to grab a cup of Dutch Bros?
So yes, it's time to buy this stock. Dutch Bros is doing everything right except pleasing the stock market. The business keeps firing on all cylinders, and the market is handing out a 33% discount on a long-term growth story.
Should you buy stock in Dutch Bros right now?
Before you buy stock in Dutch Bros, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Dutch Bros wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $391,581!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,334,780!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 936% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 213% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of October 16, 2026.
Anders Bylund has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Starbucks. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Dutch Bros Has Lost a Third of Its Value in 2026. Is It Time to Buy?

Key Points
Dutch Bros is reporting robust growth and growing profits.
The company expects to nearly double store count by 2029.
Costs are rising, and high inflation implies that this will persist.
Management significantly raised capex guidance.
Dutch Bros (NYSE:BROS) stock fell 21% in September, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The company is still feeling negative market sentiment after some disappointing earnings updates in August.
Growing pains
Dutch Bros is a relatively small coffee shop chain that has ambitious expansion plans. It owns 1,177 stores as of the end of the second quarter, and it plans to reach 2,029 stores by 2029, nearly doubling today's count.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Image source: Dutch Bros.
It consistently reports robust growth, and the second quarter was fantastic, which you probably wouldn't realize based on the market's reaction. The company is still growing fast and becoming more profitable, and it's generating consumer loyalty as it expands across the country.
Revenue increased an impressive 32.5% to $550.9 million in the quarter, and company-owned same-shop sales were up 8.3%. Company-owned same-shop transactions were up 3.4%, indicating that the increase didn't come entirely from price hikes. Systemwide metrics were somewhat lower, at 5.8% and 1.7%, respectively, and Dutch Bros is transitioning from its original franchise model to new company-owned stores only.
So what didn't the market like? There's concern about rising costs, which is why negative market sentiment persisted into September, with inflation remaining strong.
The market also didn't like management's guidance. Although it slightly raised full-year guidance for total revenue and same-store sales, it significantly raised guidance for capital expenditures (capex), from a midpoint of $280 million to a midpoint of $360 million. Management explained that average capex per new store is still $1.4 million, and the higher total reflects aggressive expansion.
After the earnings release, the company announced that a deal to acquire a small restaurant chain that would have made it easy to add 65 new stores fell through, feeding into the negativity about whether Dutch Bros would be able to expand as fast as it's aiming for.
An opportunity to buy on the dip?
Dutch Bros has short-term plans to double store count and long-term plans to reach 7,000 stores. These stores are attracting fans and sales, and it's easy to see how it could reward investors despite the short-term drop.
Dutch Bros' P/E ratio has fallen dramatically along with the price, and it trades at 54 times trailing 12-month sales. That's still expensive, and it demonstrates how much the market expects from it.
The good news is that it's the cheapest P/E ratio ever. The bad news is, it's rich enough that the stock can still fall on any missteps.
I think Dutch Bros is an excellent stock with tons of long-term potential. If you can buy now and hold for at least five years, it's a good time to buy.
Should you buy stock in Dutch Bros right now?
Before you buy stock in Dutch Bros, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Dutch Bros wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $361,650!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,437,517!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 936% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 213% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of October 4, 2026.
Jennifer Saibil has positions in Dutch Bros. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Dutch Bros. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Founded in 1993 in Alexandria, VA., by brothers David and Tom Gardner, The Motley Fool is a multimedia financial-services company dedicated to building the world's greatest investment community. Reaching millions of people each month through its website, books, newspaper column, radio show, television appearances, and subscription newsletter services, The Motley Fool champions shareholder values and advocates tirelessly for the individual investor. The company's name was taken from Shakespeare, whose wise fools both instructed and amused, and could speak the truth to the king -- without getting their heads lopped off.

Why Dutch Bros Stock Dropped 21% in September

Key Points
Second-quarter revenue rose 32% year over year, driven by a 5.8% increase in comparable sales.
Rising costs and softer comps guidance are weighing on the stock.
The stock is trading at an attractive valuation that could set the stage for strong long-term returns.
Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) stock looks like a buy after its recent pullback. The coffee chain posted strong second-quarter results on Aug. 5, with revenue up 32% year over year and healthy margins, but as of Sept. 25, the stock is down 49% from its 52-week high after management's near-term outlook came in softer than investors wanted.
Here's why the market's focus on the third quarter is creating an attractive entry point in this company's long-term growth story.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Stock sold off on slower comparable sales growth
In the second quarter, Dutch Bros' revenue growth was driven both by 48 new shop openings and 5.8% year-over-year growth in systemwide same-shop sales (a metric that excludes locations opened within the last 15 months). This was the company's 13th straight quarter of same-store sales growth.
Profitability is also improving as the chain scales. On a trailing-12-month basis, net margin reached 7%. In the quarter, net income rose to $51.6 million from $38.4 million a year earlier.
So why did the stock sell off? Four factors stand out:
Third-quarter guidance implied slower momentum. Management expects same-shop sales growth of 4% to 5%. That deceleration in growth reflects that the company faces tougher year-over-year comparisons after last year's food program rollout.
Near-term cost pressures. Higher coffee and food costs, along with a shift toward built-to-suit leases, are expected to raise the cost of goods sold and weigh on the company's gross margin.
Higher capital spending. The company raised its capex guidance to a range of $350 million to $370 million -- up from its prior range of $270 million to $290 million -- as it aims to stay on pace to hit its goal of operating 2,029 shops by 2029.
A deal that didn't happen. On Aug. 5, Dutch Bros said it planned to buy 65 former Salad and Go locations, but later walked away after a competing bid exceeded its maximum price.
Wall Street prefers a clean, predictable growth path. When anything clouds a company's near-term outlook -- even if its long-term narrative is intact -- the market often punishes the stock.
But the opportunity hasn't changed. At its March 2025 investor day, management pegged its long-term U.S. expansion potential at over 7,000 shops. With 1,225 locations open as of June 30, 2026, Dutch Bros still has a long runway for growth ahead.
Dutch Bros is trading at 2.6 times sales
The rising profit margin and the discipline to avoid overpaying for Salad and Go suggest management is prioritizing profitable growth and long-term shareholder returns. The stock's near-term volatility has created an opening for long-term investors to buy in at a lower valuation.
Dutch Bros trades at about 2.6 times sales. Restaurant chains like Starbucks and Chipotle often commanded price-to-sales multiples in the 3 to 4 range during their early-stage, high-growth years, so 2.6 is a clear discount. For investors who can hold the stock for at least five years, Dutch Bros looks like a buy on this pullback.
Should you buy stock in Dutch Bros right now?
Before you buy stock in Dutch Bros, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Dutch Bros wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $383,680!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,382,954!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 937% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of September 29, 2026.
John Ballard has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chipotle Mexican Grill, Dutch Bros, and Starbucks. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short September 2026 $35 calls on Chipotle Mexican Grill. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Dutch Bros Stock Is Down 49% From Its High Despite Revenue Rising 32%. Should You Buy Now or Stay Away?

Key Points
Dutch Bros is a fast-growing chain that expects to go from 1,225 stores to 2,029 in the next three years.
The shares have have fallen sharply over the last three months despite posting "beat and raise" results this summer.
With positive same-store sales for almost two decades, consistency paired with opportunity sounds pretty compelling here for the next $500 you have to invest.
It started with two brothers selling espresso out of a pushcart in Oregon 34 years ago. Today, Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) has an empire of 1,225 stores offering coffees, energy drinks, and other handcrafted beverages.
If you're a fan of half and half, consider these two halves: Dutch Bros currently only has a presence in half of U.S. states. There's a lot of real estate left to cover. The stock has also been cut in half -- down 49% -- over the last three months.
Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
Getting rich at the pour house
Putting your next $500 into Dutch Bros carries risks, but a closer look at the recent collapse shows the bullish thesis for Dutch Bros remains intact. The business is still growing. You have to go all the way back to the end of 2024 to find the last time revenue rose at least 33% the way it did in the chain's latest quarter.
Investors are rightfully concerned about the impact of rising interest and inflation rates on food and beverage retail concepts, but Dutch Bros just raised its guidance this summer. Comps remain positive, a trend that has now held for 19 consecutive years.
The expansion story is still there. Dutch Bros is less than 18% of the way to the 7,000 locations it expects to open across the country. The emphasis may be on revenue growth, but it's also been profitable -- and growing those earnings -- for four consecutive years.
You will pay a premium to own Dutch Bros, as you would most growth stocks. A benefit of coming in after the recent sell-off is that you can get in at just 28 times next year's projected earnings, a discount relative to its heady growth.
A single $500 investment won't set you up for life, but it's a great way to start a position in one of the market's more dynamic retail concepts. Being opportunistic? I'll drink to that.
Should you buy stock in Dutch Bros right now?
Before you buy stock in Dutch Bros, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Dutch Bros wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $383,680!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,382,954!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 937% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of September 28, 2026.
Rick Munarriz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Dutch Bros. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Founded in 1993 in Alexandria, VA., by brothers David and Tom Gardner, The Motley Fool is a multimedia financial-services company dedicated to building the world's greatest investment community. Reaching millions of people each month through its website, books, newspaper column, radio show, television appearances, and subscription newsletter services, The Motley Fool champions shareholder values and advocates tirelessly for the individual investor. The company's name was taken from Shakespeare, whose wise fools both instructed and amused, and could speak the truth to the king -- without getting their heads lopped off.

Meet the 1 Stock I'd Buy With $500 and Never Look at Again

Key Points
Dutch Bros has 1,225 stores and plans to expand to 2,029 by 2029.
Same-shop sales have increased for 13 consecutive quarters.
Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) is expanding quickly and picking up loyal fans all over the country. Still, it's relatively small as national restaurant chains go, with only 1,225 stores in 25 states.
The coffee shop chain is planning to change that, though, and management has a long-term growth objective to reach more than 7,000 stores over an unspecified time frame. It did specify a goal to reach 2,029 stores by 2029. That would nearly double its current count in roughly three years.
Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
If you invest $10,000 today in Dutch Bros stock, what might its value be by that time?
New stores, more revenue
Each store brings in a significant amount of money that grows over time through same-shop sales increases. CEO Christine Barone noted that the 2026 second quarter was the 13th consecutive quarter of same-shop sales growth and the eighth of same-shop transaction growth.
The simple math is that as store count doubles, so does revenue. Adding on same-shop annual increases would make that revenue estimate even higher. Average unit volume continues to increase as well, reaching $2.2 million in the second quarter. Trailing 12-month revenue for the company right now is $1.9 billion, so you can make a reasonable assumption that it could be around $4 billion at that time.
At the current price, Dutch Bros stock trades at 2.6 times trailing 12-month sales, which is attractive for a company that reported a 32% year-over-year sales increase in the second quarter.
If it hits its target by 2029 and keeps that ratio, the market cap would reach $10.4 billion, or about double today's price, meaning your $10,000 investment would be worth about $20,000.
Will Dutch Bros actually hit its target? That will require a closer look at the company and its ability to perform. It would seem to be a reasonable target to hit for the short term.
Should you buy stock in Dutch Bros right now?
Before you buy stock in Dutch Bros, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Dutch Bros wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $383,680!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,382,954!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 937% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of September 27, 2026.
Jennifer Saibil has positions in Dutch Bros. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Dutch Bros. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Prediction: Here's What a $10,000 Investment in Dutch Bros Stock Could be Worth By 2029

Key Points
Dutch Bros’ management team believes it can have 2,029 stores open by 2029, up from 1,225 today.
Competition from massive industry peers, as well as smaller rivals, will make things difficult for the business.
Unlike its caffeinated beverages, Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) shares haven't energized investors' portfolios. They currently trade 55% off their peak (as of Sept. 24).
However, the business does have notable potential. This is precisely what the thesis rests on. For example, management believes it will have 2,029 stores open by 2029, up from 1,225 locations as of June 30.
Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
Here's what a $10,000 investment in this coffee stock could be worth by 2029 if it achieves this growth target.
Shares currently trade at a price-to-sales ratio of 2.6. If we assume that after four years, this multiple stays constant, then it implies that the stock will rise 66% by 2029 (mimicking store expansion) should it reach its store-opening goal. A starting $10,000 would be worth $16,600.
This assumes that revenue will grow at a compound annual rate of 18% over this period of time. Compared to the 30% yearly clip posted in the prior three years, this would mark a natural slowdown.
Investors must accept the fact that Dutch Bros' long-term success is far from a guarantee, despite how exciting a growth story it has been. The main headwind is how intensely competitive the retail coffee market is. There are massive rivals like Starbucks, McDonald's, and Dunkin', as well as smaller industry peers like 7 Brew Coffee, The Human Bean, and Biggby Coffee.
People have lots of choices. This will make it difficult for Dutch Bros to keep up its expansion.
Should you buy stock in Dutch Bros right now?
Before you buy stock in Dutch Bros, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Dutch Bros wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $386,781!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,379,943!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 936% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 213% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
*Stock Advisor returns as of September 25, 2026.
Neil Patel has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Dutch Bros and Starbucks. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2028 $320 calls on McDonald's and short January 2028 $340 calls on McDonald's. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Prediction: Here's What a $10,000 Investment in Dutch Bros (BROS) Stock Could Be Worth by 2029

For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – September 25, 2026 – Zacks Equity Research shares Hewlett Packard Enterprise HPE as the Bull of the Day and Tecnoglass TGLS as the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on McDonald Corp. MCD, Starbucks Corporation SBUX and Dutch Bros Inc. BROS.
Here is a synopsis of all five stocks:
Hewlett Packard Enterprise, a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), has pulled off one of the more impressive transformations in enterprise technology.
A company long dismissed as a slow-growth legacy hardware vendor has, in the span of about a year, remade itself into a genuine AI infrastructure and networking powerhouse — and the earnings estimates have been racing to catch up ever since.
The market has noticed. Shares have surged roughly 168% year to date, dramatically outpacing the broader technology sector's return of about 27%. That kind of relative strength, paired with accelerating fundamentals, is precisely what our rating system is built to identify.
A Leading Industry Group
HPE stock is part of the Zacks Computer – Integrated Systems industry group, an 11-stock cohort that currently ranks in the top 31% out of more than 250 Zacks Ranked Industries. Because it is ranked in the top half of all Zacks Ranked Industries, we expect this group to outperform over the next 3 to 6 months.
Take note of the favorable characteristics for this group below. Stocks in this industry are relatively undervalued based on traditional valuation metrics, and are also expected to experience above-average earnings growth – a combination that should lead to higher prices in the future.
Historical research studies suggest that approximately half of a stock's price appreciation is due to its industry grouping. In fact, the top 50% of Zacks Ranked Industries outperforms the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
It's no secret that investing in stocks that are part of leading industry groups can give us a leg up relative to the market. By focusing on leading stocks within the top 50% of Zacks Ranked Industries, we can dramatically improve our stock-picking success.
Company Description
Headquartered right outside of Houston, Hewlett Packard Enterprise provides servers, storage, networking, software and services to enterprises, governments and cloud providers worldwide. The business is organized around Networking, Cloud & AI, and Hybrid Cloud, supported by the HPE GreenLake platform that delivers IT as a consumption-based service.
The pivotal event was the Juniper Networks acquisition, which closed roughly a year ago and cleared its final legal hurdle in August when a federal court approved the company's settlement with the Department of Justice. Juniper transformed the scale and quality of HPE's networking business — the highest-margin part of the portfolio — and management reports integration is running ahead of schedule, with $600 million in annual run-rate synergies targeted by the end of fiscal 2028.
Alongside that, HPE has built a credible AI franchise spanning ProLiant servers co-engineered with NVIDIA, turnkey AI Factory deployments and Private Cloud AI solutions.
Earnings Trends and Future Estimates
The fiscal third quarter, reported earlier this month, was outstanding on every line. Revenue reached a record $12.21 billion, up 34% year over year and above the high end of guidance, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.99%. Non-GAAP earnings of $1.11 per share crushed the 95-cent consensus by roughly 17% and rose more than 150% from a year ago.
The profitability story is the more remarkable one. Non-GAAP operating profit of $1.98 billion more than doubled, with operating margin expanding 770 basis points to 16.2% and non-GAAP gross margin reaching 40.4% against 29.9% a year earlier.
Free cash flow of nearly $1 billion was the highest third quarter in company history. HPE has now surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, averaging a 19.6% surprise.
Demand is outrunning shipments. Orders grew 42%, backlog hit a record, AI systems orders reached $2.4 billion (up more than 30% sequentially) and AI systems backlog climbed to $6.8 billion. After quarter-end, HPE was awarded a $3.5 billion inferencing deal with a hyperscaler customer, and it announced an expanded, multiyear collaboration with Oracle to supply routing and switching for a gigawatt-scale AI cloud build-out.
Management responded by raising guidance twice over. Fiscal 2026 revenue growth is now pegged at 34-37% with non-GAAP EPS of $3.75-$3.85 and free cash flow of at least $3.75 billion. The fiscal 2027 framework moved to 13-17% revenue growth, a 14-15% operating margin, EPS of $4.40-$4.60 and free cash flow of at least $5 billion.
Analysts have followed quickly: estimates for the current fiscal year have climbed 11.73% over the past two months. The Zacks Consensus Estimate now stands at $3.81 per share, reflecting better than 96% growth relative to the prior year.
Let's Get Technical
HPE has been one of the strongest large-cap performers in technology this year. This is exactly the kind of stock we want to include in our portfolio — one that is trending well and receiving positive earnings estimate revisions.
Notice how shares reside above upward-sloping 50-day (blue line) and 200-day (red line) moving averages, the hallmark of a healthy bull trend, with momentum building steadily throughout 2026.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. As we know, HPE has recently witnessed sharp upward revisions. As long as this trend remains intact (and HPE continues to deliver earnings beats), the stock will likely continue its bullish run.
Bottom Line
Backed by a leading industry group and a flawless record of recent earnings beats, it's not difficult to see why this transformation story has captured investor attention. Currently, HPE sports the highly coveted Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
With a record backlog, a $3.5 billion hyperscaler win in hand, and more Juniper synergies still to come, HPE remains one of the best stories in the market. Be sure to put it on your watchlist.
Tecnoglass manufactures and installs architectural glass, aluminum windows and vinyl windows for residential, multi-family and commercial construction across the Americas. Operating from a large vertically integrated complex in Barranquilla, Colombia, and serving primarily the U.S. market — with Florida historically its stronghold — the company was the first Colombian business to trade on a U.S. exchange and has since redomiciled to the United States.
For most of the past decade, Tecnoglass was a genuine growth story, compounding revenue at roughly 19% annually over five years while taking share from domestic window and glass suppliers. That top-line momentum has not stopped. What has changed, dramatically, is the company's ability to convert those sales into profit.
The squeeze is coming from several directions at once. Aluminum costs have risen sharply, tariffs are adding expense the company cannot yet fully offset, and a strengthening Colombian peso is inflating the cost base of a manufacturer that produces in pesos and sells in dollars. Management has said it does not expect to fully offset the tariff impact until 2027, which is a long time for shareholders to wait.
The structural wrinkle here is worth understanding. Tecnoglass's historic advantage was labor and manufacturing cost arbitrage — building in Colombia and selling into a high-priced U.S. market. Currency and tariffs attack that advantage directly, and neither is within management's control. The company's recent redomiciling to the United States and a shifting backlog mix beyond its Florida base are also reshaping the cost structure in ways that have yet to fully settle.
The Zacks Rundown
Tecnoglass has been a clear laggard, with shares down roughly 30% year to date and recently trading in the mid-$30s. A Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), TGLS reflects sharply unfavorable earnings estimate revision trends, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has been moving lower.
Shares are part of the Zacks Building Products – Miscellaneous industry group, which currently ranks in the bottom 35% out of approximately 250 Zacks Ranked Industries. Stocks in the bottom half of Zacks Ranked Industries face a persistent headwind, and while individual names can outperform a weak group, the industry association tends to cap the size and durability of any rally.
The Zacks Style Scores reinforce the concern. Tecnoglass carries a Growth Score of F, reflecting precisely the dynamic at the heart of this story: a business whose revenue keeps expanding while its earnings go the other way.
Cracks in the Foundation: Record Revenue, Collapsing Earnings
The second quarter, reported back in August, illustrates the problem perfectly. Tecnoglass delivered record revenue of $295.3 million, up 15.6% year over year and well ahead of expectations, alongside a record backlog of roughly $1.4 billion, also up 15.6%. On the surface, an excellent quarter.
Beneath it, profitability deteriorated sharply. Adjusted earnings came in at $0.54 per share against $1.03 in the year-ago quarter — a decline of nearly 48%. GAAP earnings of $0.55 fell 41.5%, net income dropped to $24.6 million, and gross margin compressed to 37.3%. Operating cash flow was just $4.4 million for the quarter, squeezed by tax payments, tariff-related outlays and aluminum pre-purchases. Management also paused share repurchases during the quarter to preserve working capital.
This was not an isolated quarter. Tecnoglass missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.9% in the third quarter of 2025 and by a steep 26.7% in the fourth, with earnings declining year over year in each.
The forward guidance offers little relief: the company narrowed full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $1.08-$1.12 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $220-$230 million, a midpoint that sits below where analysts had been modeling. More tellingly, management guided third-quarter revenue to roughly $280 million — a sequential decline — explaining that $15-$20 million of residential orders had been pulled forward ahead of May pricing actions. Borrowing from the next quarter to make the current one is rarely a sign of strength.
The estimate picture tells the same story from another angle. Analysts are modeling a year in which Tecnoglass grows sales by double digits but faces a sharp decline in profits. Estimates have continued to drift lower over the past several months. These are precisely the types of negative trends that the bears like to see.
Technical Outlook
TGLS stock has been carving out a well-defined downtrend. Notice how both the 50-day (blue line) and 200-day (red line) moving averages are sloping lower, with shares trading below them and drifting toward the lower end of their 52-week range.
The persistent decline has produced a classic "death cross," wherein the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average — a bearish technical signal that often precedes further weakness. Shares would need to mount a serious, high-volume move to the upside and show improving earnings estimate revisions to warrant taking any long positions.
Final Thoughts
A cheap multiple on falling earnings is not the bargain it appears to be, and the estimate revision trend is what drives stock prices over the horizons we care about.
A deteriorating fundamental and technical backdrop show that this stock doesn't deserve a spot in most portfolios right now. With tariff offsets not expected until 2027, aluminum and currency pressures unresolved, and third-quarter revenue guided lower sequentially, this stock should be avoided.
Additional content:
Can McDonald's NEXT Strategy Lift Operating Margin Above +50%?
McDonald's Corp. is targeting an operating margin in the low-to-mid 50% range by 2030 through its newly outlined McDonald's > NEXT strategy. The initiative combines restaurant modernization, technology deployment and simplified operations with efforts to strengthen customer demand.
Restaurant efficiency is a key component of the plan. McDonald's targets approximately 250 basis points of gross restaurant-level efficiency gains as NEXT elements are fully deployed across the United States and International Operated Markets. Initiatives include modernizing restaurant design, simplifying operations and deploying its generative AI-enabled ArchIQ platform at scale. The company estimates that these efficiencies are equivalent to roughly $100,000 in annual cash flow benefits for the average U.S. restaurant, with the majority expected to benefit restaurant profitability over time.
Franchisee investment returns are central to the rollout, as approximately 95% of McDonald's restaurants worldwide are independently owned and operated. The company plans to provide NEXT partnering support through rent relief and capital support, totaling approximately $5 billion by 2030 and $8.5 billion by 2036. McDonald's estimates an approximately four-year payback for franchisees after accounting for this support. Implementation is expected to be tailored to market conditions, with investment priorities guided by franchisee capacity and expected returns.
The productivity program is paired with measurable demand objectives. McDonald's aims to gain 1.5 percentage points of market share in each of the chicken and beverage categories by 2030 while maintaining its beef market share leadership. Nearly 220 million 90-day active loyalty members across 70 markets provide a sizable foundation for more personalized engagement.
Overall, McDonald's NEXT strategy pairs restaurant productivity improvements with efforts to strengthen customer demand. Simpler operations and technology deployment target greater efficiency, while menu innovation, value leadership and improved hospitality are intended to support customer visits. Supported by its scale and franchisee partnering commitments, these initiatives could help McDonald's achieve its operating margin target and free cash flow conversion in the mid-to-high 80% range by 2030.
How MCD's Peers Are Tackling Costs and Margins
Starbucks Corporation is combining operational improvements under its Back to Starbucks strategy with a $2 billion gross cost savings plan through fiscal 2028. Savings span product and distribution costs, operating expenses and general and administrative expenses. In third-quarter fiscal 2026, SBUX's consolidated non-GAAP operating margin expanded approximately 430 basis points year over year to 14.4%, supported by sales leverage, cost savings, lower inflation and tariff refunds.
North America's operating margin improved more than 100 basis points even excluding tariff refunds, as sales leverage and cost savings helped offset investments in Green Apron Service and menu innovation. Starbucks expects its fiscal 2026 consolidated non-GAAP operating margin outlook to be above 11%.
Dutch Bros Inc. is improving service capacity through staffing aligned with customer demand, shop layout refinements and equipment optimization. In second-quarter 2026, company-operated shop contribution margin was approximately 31%, while labor costs as a percentage of company-operated shop revenues declined 120 basis points year over year to 25.4%, primarily due to sales leverage.
Dutch Bros expects approximately 90 basis points of adjusted selling, general and administrative expense leverage for full-year 2026, partially offsetting higher coffee and occupancy costs. BROS' revised full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $385 million to $390 million incorporates approximately 20 basis points of year-over-year adjusted EBITDA margin pressure at the midpoint.
MCD's Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates
Shares of McDonald's have declined 21.2% over the past year compared with the industry's fall of 12.4%.
From a valuation standpoint, MCD trades at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 5.77, above the industry's average of 2.93.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MCD's 2026 earnings per share (EPS) implies a year-over-year rise of 5.6%. The EPS estimates for 2026 have increased in the past 60 days.
MCD's Zacks Rank
MCD stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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Hewlett Packard and Tecnoglass have been highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day

Key Points
Dutch Bros posted its 13th straight quarter of positive same-shop sales and raised 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance.
Take-Two beat first-quarter net bookings guidance and called "Grand Theft Auto VI" pre-orders “unprecedented and astonishing."
Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) and Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) have both pulled back recently, even as their businesses continue to grow. As of Sept. 21, Dutch Bros is down 34% over the past 12-month period, while Take-Two is down about 17%. That disconnect looks like a compelling buying opportunity, with clear catalysts still ahead.
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Dutch Bros
Dutch Bros shares have sold off even after the company beat revenue and earnings estimates in the second quarter. Even with higher coffee costs pressuring near-term results, management raised its full-year guidance for revenue, same-shop sales, and adjusted EBITDA.
In Q2, revenue jumped 32% year over year to $551 million. Company-operated same-shop sales rose 8.3% from the year-ago quarter, and systemwide comp sales increased 5.8%. That was the company's 13th straight quarter of same-shop sales growth.
A key driver is the new food program, which is pulling more customers into morning visits and supporting higher repeat traffic and loyalty. Management now expects 2026 revenue of $2.1 billion to $2.13 billion, up 28% from 2025's $1.6 billion.
The company also remains on track to reach 2,029 locations by 2029. With the stock trading at a reasonable forward price-to-sales multiple of 2.5x, investors could outperform with this high-growth restaurant stock over the next decade.
Take-Two Interactive
Take-Two also beat revenue and earnings estimates in the most recent quarter, yet the stock remains below its highs. That dip is an opportunity ahead of the Nov. 19, 2026 release of Grand Theft Auto VI -- one of the most highly anticipated video game launches in a long time.
The business is heading into the release from a position of strength. Grand Theft Auto V has sold over 230 million units worldwide since 2013. CEO Strauss Zelnick said pre-orders for the new version, coming in November, have been "unprecedented and astonishing." While pre-orders can be canceled, the early demand suggests the launch is on track to meet the high sales expectations.
However, the real value creation from this release will come over several years from future content updates. Recurrent consumer spending -- in-game purchases that unlock premium features -- continues to power Take-Two's business, representing 84% of net bookings last quarter. That kind of engagement across existing titles, including NBA 2K, sets the stage for Grand Theft Auto VI to extend the momentum.
Take-Two's guidance calls for fiscal 2027 net bookings to reach approximately $8.1 billion, up from $6.7 billion in fiscal 2026 (ended in March). Analysts expect earnings to grow at an annualized rate of 27% over the next several years, while the shares trade at a reasonable forward price-to-earnings multiple of 30.
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2 Stocks Down 17% and 34% to Buy Now and Hold for the Next Decade

Starbucks Corporation SBUX is expanding digital menu boards as part of its effort to strengthen the afternoon daypart under the Back to Starbucks strategy. The company expects the technology to reach roughly 80-90% of its stores by September, giving it greater flexibility to adjust merchandising by time of day and place greater emphasis on afternoon-focused offerings. Starbucks believes this dayparting capability is already helping support afternoon demand.
The opportunity is important because afternoon transaction growth still trails the morning, which remains Starbucks’ strongest daypart. The company is relying on a combination of beverages, food and improved store routines to broaden afternoon occasions. Refreshers are emerging as a key driver, with the platform delivering double-digit year-over-year U.S. revenue growth in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
There are already signs that the afternoon business is gaining traction. U.S. comparable sales increased 7.9% in the third quarter, supported by a 4.2% rise in transactions and 3.6% growth in average ticket. Growth was broad-based across dayparts, while food attach reached a third-quarter record in U.S. company-operated stores, with the strongest gains occurring in the afternoon.
The digital rollout also fits with Starbucks’ wider effort to improve the in-store experience. Digital menu boards are being added as part of coffeehouse uplifts, allowing merchandising, store design and operating improvements to work together. Starbucks has also been refining throughput across drive-thru, cafe, mobile order pickup and delivery, which is important if higher afternoon demand is to translate into stronger sales rather than added congestion.
As the rollout approaches most of the store base, the key will be whether improved merchandising translates into more frequent afternoon visits. Combined with Refreshers, Matcha, food innovation and better store execution, digital menu boards could support Starbucks’ efforts to make the afternoon a more meaningful contributor to traffic and sales growth.
Starbucks’ Afternoon Push Faces Competition From MCD and BROS
Starbucks’ effort to build a stronger afternoon business through digital menu boards, Refreshers and food innovation comes as other beverage-focused restaurant operators are also targeting incremental occasions beyond their traditional dayparts. McDonald’s Corporation MCD is expanding its beverage platform across markets with crafted sodas, refreshers, cold coffee and energy drinks. Early results in the United States, Canada and Germany have exceeded expectations, with more than half of beverage traffic occurring after lunch. McDonald’s is also seeing strong food attachment and higher average checks on these orders, suggesting that beverages are helping create incremental later-day occasions.
Dutch Bros Inc. BROS is similarly using beverage innovation and digital engagement to deepen customer frequency across the day. Its Myst Energy Refreshers have shown particular strength in the afternoon, while the company is also seeing usage expand into the morning. Dutch Bros has made Myst a permanent menu item after strong trial and repeat rates, reinforcing its broader strategy of using customizable energy beverages to create new occasions. More than 73% of transactions flowed through Dutch Rewards in the second quarter.
SBUX’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates
Shares of Starbucks have gained 12.8% over the past year against the industry’s decline of 11.5%.
SBUX’s One-Year Price Performance
From a valuation standpoint, SBUX trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 30.43, above the industry’s average of 20.48.
SBUX’s P/E Ratio (Forward 12-Month) vs. Industry
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SBUX’s fiscal 2026 earnings per share (EPS) implies a year-over-year increase of 21.6%. EPS estimates for fiscal 2026 have increased in the past 60 days.
EPS Trend of SBUX Stock
SBUX’s Zacks Rank
SBUX stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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SBUX's Digital Menu Rollout Nears 90%: Can It Lift Afternoon Sales?

Key Points
Dutch Bros is down 47% from its June highs and off by more than 50% from its early 2025 peak.
The chain is still growing, recently posting its strongest quarterly growth since late 2024.
The company is less than 18% of the way to the 7,000 stores it ultimately expects to open.
The blueprint for investing success when it comes to quick-service concepts early in their expansion cycles is pretty clear. If you buy into a chain that is growing at a healthy clip -- with strong comps stacking on top of new openings -- you should generally do OK. A lack of profitability isn't ideal, but it's understandable when a trendy eatery or beverage shop is focused on ramping up its presence across the country.
Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) seems to be ticking all the growth-stock boxes. The chain of small-box stores handcrafting coffees, energy drinks, and other specialty beverages just posted its strongest quarterly revenue growth in more than a year. It's also in the black, working on its fourth consecutive year of growing profitability.
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The chain should be a rock star for investors, but the headline doesn't lie. Dutch Bros stock has been cut nearly in half from its June highs. It would have to soar almost 100% -- a double Dutch, if you will -- to revisit those highs. It would have to more than double to return to its all-time peak set in early 2025. This feels like a buying opportunity. Let's take a closer look.
Cool beans
No one likes it when a cup of coffee goes cold. The same can be said about a coffee chain stock. Dutch Bros used to be a market darling among beverage stocks. Investors fixated on the long drive-thru lines. Its strong grasp of young beverage sippers who flocked to their local Dutch Bros after school made it a rare beverage concept, with afternoon traffic spikes.
All of this remains the same, and it's actually better now. Its long streak of positive comps now stretches 19 years long. Annual unit volumes now top $2 million apiece, a big deal since these are small-box stores averaging a mere 900 square feet. You don't need a lot of space when 90% of your traffic comes through the drive-thru lanes.
Dutch Bros just posted another blowout quarter. Revenue rose 33% to $550.9 million, its strongest growth since the final quarter of 2024. Revenue topped $500 million for the first time. The lion's share of its growth came on the strength of its expansion. It now has 1,225 stores, 17% more than it had a year ago. It's been prioritizing higher-revenue company-owned stores over its franchising efforts, so revenue is growing even faster than the unit count.
The story gets better at the store level, where comps rose 5.8%, with an even more robust 8.3% jump for company-operated locations. Its company stores have consistently outperformed franchisee-run shops for at least the last three years.
This isn't a bottom-line story, but Dutch Bros is profitable. Net income rose 34% in its latest quarter. The shares aren't cheap, but at 30 times next year's earnings, that's a discount to its heady growth.
There are many outstretched hands waiting to hold a Dutch Bros coffee, a handcrafted energy drink, or a colorful, sweet beverage. Having 1,225 stores may seem like a lot, but the chain is sticking to its goal of 2,029 units by 2029. It now sees 7,000 eventual stores. It's a story the market isn't hearing, but grab a drink and gather 'round. Others will come later.
Should you buy stock in Dutch Bros right now?
Before you buy stock in Dutch Bros, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Dutch Bros wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $395,625!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,397,147!*
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Rick Munarriz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Dutch Bros. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.