Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS), Toyota Motor (NYSE: TM), and Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL) are all down big from their all-time highs.
Here's why all have sold off and why each dividend stock is a great value now despite challenges.
Two beaten-down oil stocks to buy now
Exploration and production (E&P) company Occidental Petroleum, commonly known as Oxy, is the sixth-largest holding in Warren Buffett-led Berkshire Hathaway's public equity portfolio. Meanwhile, ConocoPhillips is, by far, the most valuable U.S.-based E&P by market cap. Despite these accolades, both companies have sold off during the past few months as West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices (the U.S. benchmark) have dipped below $70 per barrel.
UPS data by YCharts
Oxy and ConocoPhillips will sport lower profit margins when oil prices are low. But both companies can still be free cash flow (FCF) positive at prices much lower than today's levels. Oxy's portfolio has a breakeven level below $50 per barrel, while ConocoPhillips is working toward being FCF positive at just $35 per barrel.
Oxy completed its $12 billion acquisition of CrownRock in August, and ConocoPhillips announced plans to buy Marathon Oil for $22.5 billion in May. The more oil prices fall, the worse those deals will look, at least in the near term.
The sell-off is a buying opportunity for investors looking to scoop up shares of top E&Ps on sale. What's more, Oxy has a dividend yield of 1.7% and ConocoPhillips has an ordinary dividend of $0.58 per share per quarter and a quarterly variable dividend based on the performance of the business. The variable dividend has been $0.20 per share for the past three quarters, so investors can estimate ConocoPhillips' yield to be about 3%.
UPS can power a passive income portfolio
One look at the following chart, and it's easy to see why UPS is down about 45% from its all-time high and is hovering near a four-year low.
UPS Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts
UPS's revenue has been falling for several years now, and margins have plummeted to 10-year lows. The main reason for the disappointing results is bloated costs due to overextended routes and higher operating expenses.
The good news is that UPS is returning to volume growth for U.S. package deliveries. It has assured investors that the dividend is safe, although it hinted that dividend raises are unlikely, given the company's high dividend expense relative to its earnings.
Add it all up, and UPS and its 4.9% dividend yield stand out as a compelling turnaround play for investors who believe the company is set to return to growth.
Toyota is making the right long-term investments
After a red-hot start to 2024 and a new all-time high for Toyota in March, Japanese automakers have sold off big time.
TM data by YCharts
Car sales in Japan and China have been falling, which is dragging down Toyota's results. So although trailing-12-month sales, operating margins, and diluted earnings per share are all at 10-year highs, the concern is that growth could slow, especially if interest rate cuts fail to spur U.S. new car sales.
Toyota is capitalizing on hybrid vehicles and debuting new low-carbon engine designs. It also pays a growing dividend. Now is a great time to scoop up shares of the world's largest automaker by global sales volume.
Estee Lauder has fallen far enough
Estee Lauder stock has been pulverized lately. The beauty brand conglomerate has been on the wrong side of just about every trend during the past few years. It depends heavily on consumer discretionary spending, which has been challenging amid inflationary pressures and higher interest rates. It relies on in-person shopping in boutique outlets, airports, and malls. It's also big in China, which hasn't been going well.
Estee Lauder's best quality is its portfolio of timeless brands, which don't have as great of a risk of falling out of favor with consumers as trending brands. If the company can improve its marketing strategy and get costs under control, it could be a worthwhile turnaround candidate for passive income investors, especially considering it has already fallen to an eight-year low and yields 3%.
Get paid to wait with dividend income
Despite their differences, there's a common thread among the five companies discussed: All are down for good reasons but have what it takes to recover and reward patient investors.
Oxy and ConocoPhillips have a nice cushion to maintain profitability even if oil prices fall. Still, investors should monitor how each company integrates its recent acquisitions and navigates a potentially volatile period.
UPS has to show it is charting a path toward higher margins and package delivery volume growth.
Toyota must navigate macroeconomic challenges while investing in innovations across low-carbon internal combustion engines, electric vehicles, and hydrogen-fueled cars.
Estee Lauder needs to revamp its sales strategy to maximize its brand lineup.
When looking at turnaround companies, the key is to know what to look for and have the patience to hold through periods of volatility. Stocks that pay dividends provide an incentive to be patient, making Oxy, ConocoPhillips, UPS, Toyota, and Estee Lauder much easier to buy and hold for at least five years.
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Daniel Foelber has positions in Estée Lauder Companies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool recommends Occidental Petroleum and United Parcel Service. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

These 5 Dividend Stocks are Down 21% to 77%. Here's Why They're Worth Buying and Holding for at Least 5 Years.

Some investors perceive the electric vehicle revolution as an inevitability and believe that internal combustion engines will eventually go the way of the Dodo bird. That's why many EV stocks trade at higher valuations than traditional carmakers.
But what if they're wrong?
After several years of torrid growth, the electric vehicle industry saw a big slowdown over the past year, prompting questions about whether EVs can really catch on beyond their early adopters.
To make matters worse, Japanese auto companies Toyota (NYSE: TM), Subaru (OTC: FUJHY), and Mazda (OTC: MZDA.Y) made an announcement last week that could make EV-makers' tough year that much more difficult.
A new kind of combustion engine
On Tuesday, May 28, Toyota, Subaru, and Mazda announced a lineup of innovative new combustion engines that can be used either in a stand-alone or hybrid form in conjunction with a battery.
The new engines will be combustion engines but also compatible with alternative fuels such as e-fuel (synthetic fuel), biofuels, and liquid hydrogen. Liquid hydrogen, provided the hydrogen is made from electrolysis, emits zero carbon dioxide (CO2). And while both e-fuel and biofuels do emit some carbon dioxide, they're considered "carbon neutral." This is because e-fuels are made from captured CO2 from the atmosphere, which is then combined with hydrogen to produce synthetic fuel. Meanwhile, the justification for biofuels is that the plant biomass grown to make biofuels takes CO2 out of the atmosphere during photosynthesis. That may be a bit of a stretch, as all plants use photosynthesis, so at least for biofuels, there would have to be enough new plants put in the ground to offset the biofuel combustion.
Still, a future hybrid vehicle that combines a battery with one of these no-carbon or "carbon-neutral" fuels could be a killer for mainstream EV adoption.
After all, the recent year has exposed some glaring holes in the "EV revolution" thesis. For one, EVs, in general, tend to cost more than internal combustion vehicles or hybrids, scaring off budget-constrained consumers amid higher interest rates. Second, there have been fears that the widespread adoption of EVs, combined with AI data centers, could strain the electric grid to an unsustainable degree. Furthermore, if the electricity used to charge up EVs comes from either a coal or natural gas-fired power plant, that EV really isn't doing anything positive for CO2 emissions anyway.
Finally, many consumers have "range anxiety," as they worry about an EV running out of charge without having an accessible working charger close by. Compounding this is today's public charging stations, which have proven disappointingly unreliable. A 2022 study showed that about 23% of public "fast chargers" in San Francisco didn't work. And fully charging an electric vehicle takes at least two hours today, even for the fastest-charging, smallest-battery EVs.
Toyota has been ahead of the game
Years ago, Toyota's former CEO, Akio Toyoda, rejected the assertion that EVs would quickly overtake ICE vehicles, citing many of the affordability and lifestyle issues we're seeing now. Instead, he pushed Toyota to take a diversified approach, which seems to have been vindicated.
Last quarter, Toyota posted an impressive 21.4% revenue growth on the back of a shocking 138.6% growth in Prius hybrid sales. In another shocking data point, hybrid vehicle registrations outpaced electric vehicle registrations in Europe in February, reversing a long trend in one of the most EV-friendly places on earth. Meanwhile, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), the most mature EV brand, saw a 13% decline in vehicle sales in the first quarter.
The surge in hybrid sales shows the consumer does want a low-carbon and fuel-efficient vehicle, but might not be ready to make the leap to a full battery-powered EV just yet. This is especially true for one-car households that need a vehicle for both short and long drives.
Today's hybrids do burn fossil fuels, even if they are more efficient. But with Japanese automakers innovating around new combustion engines that can use low or carbon-neutral fuels in combination with a battery, the competitive pressure on pure-play EV players like Tesla, Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN), or Chinese players like Nio (NYSE: NIO) could become intense.
Winners and losers
It's pretty obvious who the losers would be if these new engines take off: those vehicle brands that have gone all-in on electric vehicles without any backup plan. And the largest and most expensive EV stock is Tesla. Of course, Tesla has the engineering talent to develop a hybrid vehicle if it chooses to, but given that it has resisted up until this point, it's an open question as to whether the company would adapt.
The winners? Not only Toyota and the other companies listed here, but also companies exposed to the burgeoning hydrogen ecosystem. These include hydrogen pure play Plug Power, as well as hydrogen production and transportation equipment provider Chart Industries, among others.
So for those looking to invest in the next generation of automotive stocks, it will be critically important to stay on top of these new alternative fuel combustion engines, and how the battery EV industry adapts -- or doesn't.
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*Stock Advisor returns as of May 28, 2024
Billy Duberstein and/or his clients have positions in Chart Industries. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chart Industries, Nio, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Toyota, Subaru, and Mazda Just Sent a Massive Warning to Tesla, Rivian, and Nio Investors

Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) closed the most recent trading day at $10.64, moving +1.24% from the previous trading session. The stock outpaced the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.65%. Meanwhile, the Dow lost 0.49%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, lost 0.96%.
The company's shares have seen a decrease of 6.48% over the last month, not keeping up with the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector's loss of 3.44% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.27%.
Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Subaru Corporation in its upcoming earnings disclosure.
Investors should also pay attention to any latest changes in analyst estimates for Subaru Corporation. These recent revisions tend to reflect the evolving nature of short-term business trends. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the company's business outlook.
Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.
Ranging from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), the Zacks Rank system has a proven, outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks returning an average of +25% annually since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 2.47% lower. Currently, Subaru Corporation is carrying a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Looking at valuation, Subaru Corporation is presently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 6.65. For comparison, its industry has an average Forward P/E of 6.07, which means Subaru Corporation is trading at a premium to the group.
Investors should also note that FUJHY has a PEG ratio of 0.27 right now. Comparable to the widely accepted P/E ratio, the PEG ratio also accounts for the company's projected earnings growth. By the end of yesterday's trading, the Automotive - Foreign industry had an average PEG ratio of 0.37.
The Automotive - Foreign industry is part of the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector. At present, this industry carries a Zacks Industry Rank of 68, placing it within the top 27% of over 250 industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the power of our distinct industry groups by determining the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks forming the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
You can find more information on all of these metrics, and much more, on Zacks.com.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know

In the latest market close, Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) reached $9.67, with a +1.9% movement compared to the previous day. The stock outperformed the S&P 500, which registered a daily gain of 0.57%. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 0.46%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 0.75%.
The company's shares have seen an increase of 5.56% over the last month, surpassing the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector's gain of 1.19% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.4%.
Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Subaru Corporation in its upcoming earnings disclosure.
Any recent changes to analyst estimates for Subaru Corporation should also be noted by investors. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. Consequently, upward revisions in estimates express analysts' positivity towards the company's business operations and its ability to generate profits.
Based on our research, we believe these estimate revisions are directly related to near-team stock moves. We developed the Zacks Rank to capitalize on this phenomenon. Our system takes these estimate changes into account and delivers a clear, actionable rating model.
The Zacks Rank system ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell). It has a remarkable, outside-audited track record of success, with #1 stocks delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, there's been no change in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. Subaru Corporation is holding a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold) right now.
With respect to valuation, Subaru Corporation is currently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 6.08. This indicates a discount in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 6.82.
It's also important to note that FUJHY currently trades at a PEG ratio of 0.24. Comparable to the widely accepted P/E ratio, the PEG ratio also accounts for the company's projected earnings growth. The average PEG ratio for the Automotive - Foreign industry stood at 0.38 at the close of the market yesterday.
The Automotive - Foreign industry is part of the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector. This industry, currently bearing a Zacks Industry Rank of 64, finds itself in the top 26% echelons of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the vigor of our specific industry groups by computing the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks incorporated in the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Be sure to use Zacks.com to monitor all these stock-influencing metrics, and more, throughout the forthcoming trading sessions.
7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days
Just released: Experts distill 7 elite stocks from the current list of 220 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buys. They deem these tickers "Most Likely for Early Price Pops."
Since 1988, the full list has beaten the market more than 2X over with an average gain of +24.0% per year. So be sure to give these hand-picked 7 your immediate attention.
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Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know

Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) ended the recent trading session at $8.99, demonstrating a +0.11% swing from the preceding day's closing price. The stock's change was more than the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.8%. Elsewhere, the Dow lost 0.76%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 1.18%.
The company's stock has dropped by 0.4% in the past month, falling short of the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector's gain of 2.6% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.4%.
Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the performance of Subaru Corporation in its upcoming earnings disclosure.
Any recent changes to analyst estimates for Subaru Corporation should also be noted by investors. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the company's business outlook.
Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has remained steady. Currently, Subaru Corporation is carrying a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Looking at valuation, Subaru Corporation is presently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 5.76. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of 6.57 for its industry.
It's also important to note that FUJHY currently trades at a PEG ratio of 0.23. This popular metric is similar to the widely-known P/E ratio, with the difference being that the PEG ratio also takes into account the company's expected earnings growth rate. The Automotive - Foreign was holding an average PEG ratio of 0.37 at yesterday's closing price.
The Automotive - Foreign industry is part of the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector. Currently, this industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 60, positioning it in the top 24% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of our separate industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks contained within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Keep in mind to rely on Zacks.com to watch all these stock-impacting metrics, and more, in the succeeding trading sessions.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Why the Market Dipped But Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) Gained Today

In trading on Tuesday, shares of Fuji Heavy Inds Ltd (Symbol: FUJHY) crossed below their 200 day moving average of $8.78, changing hands as low as $8.75 per share. Fuji Heavy Inds Ltd shares are currently trading down about 0.8% on the day. The chart below shows the one year performance of FUJHY shares, versus its 200 day moving average:
Looking at the chart above, FUJHY's low point in its 52 week range is $7.30 per share, with $10.50 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $8.83.
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Click here to find out which 9 other stocks recently crossed below their 200 day moving average »
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

FUJHY Crosses Below Key Moving Average Level

In trading on Thursday, shares of Fuji Heavy Inds Ltd (Symbol: FUJHY) crossed below their 200 day moving average of $8.69, changing hands as low as $8.67 per share. Fuji Heavy Inds Ltd shares are currently trading off about 1.4% on the day. The chart below shows the one year performance of FUJHY shares, versus its 200 day moving average:
Looking at the chart above, FUJHY's low point in its 52 week range is $7.30 per share, with $10.50 as the 52 week high point — that compares with a last trade of $8.67.
Click here to find out which 9 other stocks recently crossed below their 200 day moving average »
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for Fuji Heavy Inds Ltd (OTC: FUJHY), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we?
First of all, what is a "Dividend Run" anyway? This is an interesting concept which we first learned about at a past ValueForum conference. And to best explain the concept, we need to start with the expected behavior of a stock on its ex-dividend date.
For anyone unfamiliar with the term, the ex-dividend date marks the trading day when any buyer of the stock is no longer entitled to the referenced dividend — in other words, to be eligible to receive the dividend in question, one would have had to purchase their shares before the ex-dividend date.
All else equal, the stock price would be expected to drop by the dividend amount on that ex-date (remember, that's "all else equal" and naturally other factors will drive stocks higher/lower on any given day). But think about it: if a buyer is entitled to a 0.135 dividend before ex-date, but no longer entitled to that amount on or after ex-date, then this drop makes perfect sense! Because if the shares didn't drop by that same 0.135 the next day, then effectively, buyers would effectively be paying 0.135 more for the same share of stock.
But now think about this: if a stock is expected to drop by the dividend amount (all else equal) on ex-date, then in turn, shouldn't that stock be expected to rise sometime ahead of a dividend? After all, if a dividend-paying stock didn't ever rise and only fell on each and every ex-date, then eventually after enough dividend payments those shares would have fallen to zero. And that wouldn't make any sense for a company continually earning money and paying dividends. So indeed, "sometime" before a given dividend, there should be sort of a built-in "pressure" for a stock to gradually rise in expectation of that next cash dividend... in other words: pressure for the stock to have a potential Dividend Run.
And notice we put the word "sometime" in quotes in that last sentence, because there are differing views among different dividend investors about timeframe when it comes to capturing Dividend Run effects. Some like to invest (and then also to sell) on specific target dates; others like to employ some form of dollar cost averaging. Some like to invest shortly before ex-div, hold for the dividend, and then sell on or after ex-date (having actually capturing the dividend / received the income). Others like to sell the day before ex-date (the last possible day where the buyer of the shares will still be "paying for" the upcoming dividend) with the idea to try and maximize capital gain. In this capital-gain-focused scenario, one common timeframe we've seen discussed, is to buy about two weeks (ten trading days) prior to the targeted sale date.
For example, consider the 0.01915/share FUJHY dividend that went "ex-dividend" on 09/27/06. On the prior trading day — the last day where a seller knows that the buyer of their shares will be expecting that dividend amount — shares of FUJHY closed at 2.80. And two weeks (ten trading days) prior to that, on 09/12/06, shares closed at a price of 2.78. That means that in the final two-week run-up to the 0.01915 dividend, FUJHY gained 0.02 in price.
Looking back at the last four dividends paid by FUJHY, this strategy would have captured a capital gain in excess of the dividend 3 out of 4 times, with a "Divvy Run" total of +0.16 in capital gains. Incidentally, that exceeds the sum total dividend amounts across those last four dividends, of 0.080. Here's the data:
09/27/06
0.01915
09/12/06
2.78
09/26/06
2.80
+0.02
03/28/06
0.0193
03/13/06
2.81
03/27/06
2.98
+0.17
09/27/05
0.0203
09/12/05
2.22
09/26/05
2.34
+0.12
03/28/05
0.02135
03/10/05
2.54
03/24/05
2.39
-0.15
Div Total:
0.080
"Divvy Run" Total:
+0.16
In about two weeks from now, Fuji Heavy Inds Ltd (OTC: FUJHY) will go ex-dividend for its latest dividend of 0.135/share. Will Dividend Run history repeat itself?
Upcoming Dividend: 0.135/share
Ex-Div Date: 09/28/23
Payment Date: 07/07/23
Dividend Frequency: Semi-Annual
Full FUJHY Dividend History »
As the saying goes, past performance is never a guarantee of future returns. But one thing's for sure: for those investors who count Dividend Runs among the tools in their arsenal, FUJHY is a good dividend stock to know about and have on your radar screen with its implied annualized yield of 2.70%.
Stay tuned for future Dividend Run candidates, and if you'd like to receive email alerts right into your inbox, enroll in our free Dividend Alerts feature, courtesy of DividendChannel.com.
Also see:
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

	Change	Change by industry	Min.	Max.	Volume
Yesterday	-0.22%	1.03%	$9.360	$9.430	26.12K
Week	-0.22%	0.71%	$9.360	$9.430	26.12K
Month	-0.22%	0.64%	$9.360	$9.430	26.12K
3 Months	-0.22%	8.98%	$9.360	$9.430	26.12K
6 Months	-0.22%	10.10%	$9.360	$9.430	26.12K
Year	-0.22%	8.23%	$9.360	$9.430	26.12K
3 years	15.08%	101.83%	$7.450	$9.760	20.37M
5 years	-7.86%	101.33%	$7.070	$12.150	77.77M
All time	-47.84%	75.32%	$4.601	$21.560	156.75M

	FUJHY	By industry
Yesterday	8.92%	0.63%
Week	1.23%	3.03%
Month	1.25%	12.19%
3 Months	1.34%	22.40%
6 Months	1.36%	30.23%
Year	1.67%	46.64%
3 years	—	83.08%
5 years	—	111.89%
All time	—	—

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